my advice for the youth of today is go to bed at 10pm. literally nothing else matters
#cool tip: you can go to bed even earlier if you want!
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Today's Document
2025 on Tumblr: Trends That Defined the Year

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@stuckonfckingyou
my advice for the youth of today is go to bed at 10pm. literally nothing else matters
#cool tip: you can go to bed even earlier if you want!

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"oh sorry, i guess i was infodumping again" - sad, shy, apologetic
"you sly dog, you got me monologuing" - cool, strong, confident
ššššš
you know what. i am physically sick as hell this week so i'll bite. i read the original slate article, which is free to read so i don't know why OP chose to screenshot instead of let people draw their own conclusions. i agree with MANY of the writer's points on the need for comprehensive criminal justice reform, but i also care a lot about numbers and stats and increasingly, this bullshit "democrats are the same as republicans" messaging is straight-up delivered using propaganda tactics
this is going to be an incredibly long post and i had to use GOOGLE SLIDES and GOOGLE SHEETS which i hate so so much so in the words of twitter kpop stans please don't let this flop
let's look at the numbers, claim by claim
claim #1: "the number of people held in ICE detention has increased by 70 percent since Biden took office"
if you click through 3 link layers from the slate you land at cbs as the source for this which tells you that mainstream media is certainly not immune to playing with stats to make the democrats look bad
fortunately ICE detention stats are easily publicly available thanks to the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse, which does the lord's work of crawling through federal agency publications and submitting tedious FOIA requests to collate useful data
here is the data -- not only was cbs not wrong about the total number of detainees at the time of publication (25k in aug 2021), but the increase from when biden was inaugurated is actually 90%, not 70%. look:
well holy shit!!! that's terrible. biden is the worst and he hates immigration reform and the democrats are no different from trump, right?
but if you zoom out
actually, Jan/Feb 2021 was at the absolute low for detainees, after a full year of covid restrictions slowing down or minimizing gov't operations of all kinds AND reducing border volume
and if you actually want to compare the biden admin to the trump admin?
relative to Aug of 2019, after 18 months the biden admin has reached a 56% decrease in the number of detainees. even if you look at only the month before COVID lockdowns really hit, it's still nearly a 40% decrease
and to put the total numbers in perspective, at NO point before COVID did the trump admin have fewer than 30k people in ICE detention. most of the time it was well above 40k, or about 2x more than under biden
that's not to say that immigration reform isn't still needed, but it IS to say that myopically comparing current-state to january 2021, aka one of the WEIRDEST months statistically on record ever, is going to give you crap perspective
claim #2: "the federal prison population has grown for the first time in a decade"
by now we know that federal data is public so let's go look for it
and indeed the federal bureau of prisons has made 45 years of federal prison data available for download
so this should be straightforward! it looks like the inmate population did in fact peak in 2013, the start of obama's second term, before decreasing. obama made reducing the number of people in prison one of his key focuses and was in fact the first president since jimmy carter (term 1977-1981) to leave office with fewer inmates than when he started
this trend continued under trump. in fact, the rate of decrease at the end of trump's presidency was even bigger than obama's -- turns out the republicans were BETTER than the democrats at criminal justice reform?!
(it is worth noting at this moment of sarcasm that a bipartisan group of senators did actually manage to get the First Step Act bill through the senate gauntlet and onto trump's desk for signature, which lowered some sentences)
(note i've only included data from 2005 onward so it's easier to actually see what's going on in the last 10 years. for those who like math, these are CAGRs calculated over each presidential term)
but there it is -- decline in populations accelerated under trump. surely both parties same. surely democrats actually worse than republicans
but wait, what's that?
that can't be ...
SPIDERS GEORG????
WHAT ARE YOU DOING HERE
ARE YOU SAYING THAT ... THERE IS AN OUTLIER?
THAT SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN COUNTED?
so it turns out that under trump, the trend had decelerated to less than half the rate of change at the end of obama's last term
that precipitous drop we see is ... covid. it's pretty much just covid, during which federal prisons stopped accepting new prisoners, courts were closed and couldn't hand down sentences, and parole officers weren't sending people in for minor violations
here's what things might have looked like had there been no covid outlier:
now that assumes trump wasn't successful at slowing down the momentum from the obama years
this is what it might have looked like had we perhaps ended up with a second trump term:
again this isn't to say that biden is pure and perfect on criminal justice, even if there were some agreed-upon definition of what pure and perfect legislative or policy priorities would look like
it's to put the context back into place around the data
are the democrats and republicans actually the same or are we being fed a diet of pruned stats and catchphrases to make us simultaneously angry and disempowered
last claim: "federal covid relief funds are being used to pad local police budgets"
you know what, this one is relatively not decontextualized
for example, $10B of ARPA grants to state and local gov'ts has been committed to āpublic safety programs, including domestic violence prevention efforts, drug abuse and mental health services, and bonuses for hiring and retaining police officersā
it's hard to know how much went to cops, but knowing how much cops take up of local jurisdiction budgets it's unfortunately probably a significant share
biden doesn't help his case by going on record telling states and local jurisdictions to use ARPA funds to shore up before summer, when crime typically goes up (same source as link above)
that said in the grand scheme of even just ARPA funds, this is what $10B looks like, so like ... is this the hill to die on
SO all of that to say
we don't stop pushing for immigration or criminal justice reform
or any other reform that is sorely needed
but using data in incredibly selective ways, out of context, to promote a narrative that somehow democrats are the same or even worse than republicans
ESPECIALLY the republicans of today
is literally propaganda
propaganda by definition uses kernels of truth and then presents it in a biased way to attempt to push a narrative
pretending that the democrats are exactly the same as the republicans is propaganda, and i'm like 80% sure it's right-wing propaganda designed to discourage left-wing turnout that has somehow been accepted by an online population that doesn't understand statistics
so like
understand statistics
do a bit of research
draw conclusions that you can back up
and for fuck's sake, vote
God thank you so much for this detail. I knew OP was bullshit but didn't have the time or energy for this level of clap back. Bless.
The left is not immune to propaganda. If you see something that enrages you... Maybe read the article? Do your own research? Don't just believe everything you read on Tumblr?
Also OP literally just copies tweets that make it seem like Democrats Are Bad with no context. Which, in 2016, was a Russian psyop play. It's helpful to know what agenda someone has when they post things.
I love how Spiders Georg has become a standard illustrative example for why outliers matter and can lead to misleading statistics.
As my Grandma always said,Ā āFigures donāt lie, but liars can figure.ā
"we voted a faceless character as tumblr's number one sexyman" false. cecil HAS a face, we just haven't seen it and thus all have to guess. the faceless old woman who secretly lives in your home, however,
You try to see Cecil's selfies and all you can see is this:
and while weāre at it, fuck this idea that ONE ACCOUNT has to belong uniquely to ONE PERSON. This is the same thing these silicon valley fucks want; their vision of the future where everyone has a unique biometric ID code implanted in their body is the ultimate extension of Netflixās āno password sharingā policy. You want to use your friendās car? Sorry, you canāt, you need to be an authorized user. Your mother wants to let you look something up on her OED account? Too bad! Thatās only for her! The concept of perfect market efficiency gives them greedy little money bag eyes.
If I pay money to have a newspaper sent to my house, they donāt charge me extra when I show it to my dad. This password sharing thing isnāt just a Netflix problem; donāt be surprised if it shows up elsewhere in other forms. Stamp this idea out now or weāll be stuck with it.

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I know itās on purpose but still every dead choreographer is spinning in their grave
this is so brilliant but how many times did they just crash and send each other ass over teakettle during rehearsal
Omfg this is PRISTINE
As several others have already said in the notes, this is Jerome RobbinsāĀ āMistake Waltz,ā and it is GLORIOUS. And so much respect for the dancers, because having to do something intentionally wrong is frequently harder than trying to do it right.
Mom didn't plan this, but my sister went to Cedar Point September 15, 2001.
Because the hotel was non refundable.
The lines for everything were so short my mother eventually started letting a 7-year-old ride alone because she couldn't handle 6 rides an hour on Millenium Force.
but really, not going to cedar point would have been letting the terrorists win. riding millenium force twenty times in a row as an expression of the indomitable american spirit, etc
love how all these homeschooling/unschooling tiktok moms just admit their problem with public school is not stress and bullying but that their children might end up disagreeing with their political views and lifestyle.
it's not a coincidence homeschooling in the US is heavily tied to evangelicals and promoted by far right think tanks lol. they know they'll lose if their kids leave home.
this is literally on the abeka homeschool curriculum site
tumblr is the root of half the internets trends and memes
the curse of being on this website is knowing that shit like cottagecore and dark academia and the obsession with mushrooms and whatnot started on this godforsaken platform and not tiktok
the mushroom thing started with a fucking shitpost where it ends with "you cannot kill me in a way that matters" "im not fucking scared of you!"
"op what does this mean" "decay is an extant form of life"
I KID YOU NOT
are any three little words more romantically devastating thanĀ āNot like thisā
the bone deep agony of someone wanting something so, so, so badly and finally having it within reach but knowing that theyād never forgive themselves if they got it in This way, if they took it or were given it when it couldnāt last or wasnāt real or the other person is only giving for the wrong reasons, maybe doesnāt actually want Them, just Someoneā¦
and having to say that they want this butā¦. but not like this.
#all the people tagging fandom shit⦠go outside š (via @trueduelist)
hey, fuck u buddy, I wrote this for them. this is fandom shit in the first place, u go outside.

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the zootopia abortion comic isnt even the worst zootopia comic. not by a long shot
You guys don't know about the comic where Nick confesses his love to Judy and she shoots him down to get dicked down by another rabbit who leaves her when she gets pregnant and now Nick says he'll help raise her kids while hoping that he'll convince her to fuck him
Or about the one where Judy and Nick are married want to have a kid so Judy starts fucking rabbits to get pregnant but secretly keeps taking her birth control bc she likes cheating on Nick and convinces him that they should have a cuckoldry relationship that involves another fox and Nick is no longer allowed to have sex at all
Or the one where Judy tries to go undercover at a strip club to find a drug ring and she becomes an addict to the point of stealing drugs from the police evidence lockers and getting her holes prolapsed by drug dealers
Or the one where Nick meets up with the otter lady from the beginning of the movie who was trying to find her missing husband, and he convinces her to fuck him while lying to her husband and kids and getting her pregnant
Bc I hate myself
january is one of those months where you experience every feeling on the human spectrum and you just have to go about your day like that isn't happening
-_- and :/ are irreplaceable emoticons that emojis will never be able to touch
literally š & š
if you think š has the same power as :/ you are a blind fool
Allistic people really need to stop phrasing requests as questions because it's fucking with me
"Do you want to help me cook dinner?"
No, I'm still overwhelmed from earlier and want to stay in my room.
"well fine, dinner will be ready when it's done." And now they're upset with me
And I'm just here like ???????
Oh God I hate it when they frame it like that because it sounds like a choice, but if you say no they get all offended. Itās an illusion of choice and itās so annoying.
If I ever ask something, itās an offer, not a demand. āHey, wanna watch a movie with me? No? Okay, Iāll go watch it, you chill here and I hope you feel better.ā
I can't count the times I got in trouble because of that as a kid while never having any idea what exactly I did wrong.
Those requests with only one correct response disguised as questions with multiple answers just made me think I couldn't actually say "no" to anything (because I had no idea which ones were the secret requests), something I still have trouble to this day.
Also when they just make an observation but they expect you to know that theyāre asking for something. Like āOh the trash can is pretty full.ā But they really mean āCould you take the trash out?ā Just fuckign say what you mean š
Here's the thing. They've literally been trained since childhood to do it this way, and probably do not realize that what they're saying can be interpreted another way. It's an Ask vs Guess problem. In particular, a lot of women are taught to phrase things is a Guess way. The way they were taught to speak, they are saying what they mean.
If you want someone in your life to switch from Guess to Ask with you, then you need to have a discussion with them, Ask them to meet you somewhere in the middle on this, possibly explain the difference in cultures, definitely explain, "When you say $THING, it does not mean to me what it means to you", and then understand that it will take them time and work to change, and that you may need to be an active participant in that change. You can do this by remembering that things do not mean the same to them that they do to you, and, when they say, "Do you want to cook dinner with me?" replying with, "Are you asking me to do that, or are you asking me if I'd like it?"
Yes, I understand that this will be hard for you also. You and this person in your life will both need to work on this, together, and be forgiving of one another.
This is not something the other person is intentionally doing to you, or at you. They are speaking as they were taught to speak, that's all. It happens to conflict with your neurodivergence. That happens. It can be dealt with.
the feminine urge to delete all social media except tumblr

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āif sherlock is public domain than bbc sherlockāā NO. I donāt want to hear it. if any of the bitches gonna kiss itās gotta be them
so many ppl in the notes asking āwhy not both?ā bc obviously I donāt think bbc sherlock deserves rights. next