Ilya:

ilya knowing that shane was gay (as is strongly implied by ilya's "oh, what makes you say that??" line in ep5, which-- don't get me fucking started) requires such a drastic break in point of view and logic that it baffles my mind.

by the time shane & ilya reconnect in tampa, ilya only has a few data points:

shane hollander is never seen romantically tangled with ANYONE. (ep's 1-6)

shane hollander lacked experience with men prior to ilya. (ep1)

shane hollander is incredibly private about his sexual life. (ep's 1-6)

shane hollander is something of a dark horse -- there's no clear correlation between his public persona and his preferences in bed. (ep's 1-6)

shane hollander likes to bottom with ilya. no data on how he sleeps with others. (ep's 2-6)

shane hollander has said to ilya's face that he likes women. (ep4)

shane hollander got shifty when ilya asked about other sexual partners, especially women. (ep4)

after shane spooked and dipped, he was spotted out with rose landry and seemed to enjoy immediate intimacy with her (ep4 + 5)

shane hollander does not begin sexual entanglements easily or without a considerably time commitment (ep's 1-2)

shane and rose never formally announced that they were split (ep5)

shane and rose split because of a lack of "compatibility" (ep5) the cambridge dictionary definition of compatibility defines two things as compatible if they are able to "exist, live, or work successfully." crucially, this definition (and most others) provides almost zero clarification on WHY SPECIFICALLY rose and shane split up. not to mention: shane and ilya aren't compatible by that definition either thanks to the rampant homophobia in the nhl and their status as rival captains.

you would have to stretch #7 to its absolutely logical limit and ignore everything else ilya knows about shane for ilya to somehow magically knew shane was exclusively attracted to men. AND YOU WOULD ALSO HAVE TO IGNORE (as op pointed out) THAT ILYA WAS GENUINELY TORN UP ABOUT ROSE LANDRY AND FULLY EXPECTED SHANE TO BRING ROSE TO THE ASG !!

i am not a huge fan of the tampa hotel scene for a lot of reasons, but one of them is that marks a MASSIVE break in ilya's pov and the logic of the rose arc entirely. as the audience, we're close to shane's internal life: we see his fears, the pressure he's under, the lack of attraction he experiences to Rose. WE know that shane is lying. but ILYA lacks the data to say as such !! ilya would somehow have to believe that there are no other bi men in the NHL at all to immediately jump to the conclusion that shane is gay. if ilya knew shane was gay, he also wouldn't be particularly concerned about the shane/rose narrative. he'd intuit that their relationship would collapse (why tf would an a-list movie star stay with a man she met three seconds ago who isn't in her industry and who isn't attracted to her when she could just date a man attracted to women??) and would shrug it off the way he shrugged off all their lulls.

THE TRAGEDY OF THE ROSE ARC IS THAT SHANE CANNOT CONVINCE HIMSELF BUT HE CONVINCES (almost) EVERYONE ELSE ! INCLUDING ILYA !!!

more thoughts under the cut b/c this is already getting long.

he'd never even think to look over a video before posting it to make sure there was nothing secret in the background. he would never think about what one video, one still image, one interaction could do to his image, his life. he hasn't spent ten years knowing that the second he drops his guard the vultures swoop. he hasn't had to, because he's not gay, and he's not asian, and he's never had anything to be ashamed of or anything to hide and no one has been breathing down his neck waiting for him to show a weak spot for again, the past ten years.