The witch looking for her neighbor's cat in the Swiss Alps is starting to realize that people in rural German-speaking communities have some interesting opinions about Jews
Sade Olutola
AnasAbdin
Mike Driver
YOU ARE THE REASON
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Alisa U Zemlji Chuda
Cosmic Funnies
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Today's Document
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i don't do bad sauce passes
Keni

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@bayesic-bitch
The witch looking for her neighbor's cat in the Swiss Alps is starting to realize that people in rural German-speaking communities have some interesting opinions about Jews

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it's a shame that housing supply is a cause that only seems to appeal to policy wonks when it's like. at a society-killing level of bad in most of the Anglosphere. anyone with any level of passion just doesn't seem to be interested, or is actively on the NIMBY side
I think it’s hard for people to accept that something so boring and prosaic can be the cause of so much ill. They want the profound malaise they experience to have an equally profound explanation, like Late-Stage Capitalism (TM) or reverse racism or whatever. Everyone knows you’re supposed to lift the curse on your homeland by slaying the dragon, not tweaking some numbers on a spreadsheet.
It is sad in a lot of ways, but the reality of politics is such that it has honestly been a partial blessing in the US; by being "non partisan" YIMBY groups have been racking up a string of wins across state and local governments. We even have the Senate seeming ready to pass a bipartisan housing reform bill. It had a tumultuous story behind it and is of course not perfect, but looks promising and is an *extremely* rare instance of bipartisan reform today precisely because neither side has succeeded in making it a wedge issue via popular engagement. Policy wonks can get a lot done on their own by just being Correct On The Merits on topics voters are ignoring!
There are limits to that strategy of course, and particularly in some states like California limits are being hit and we need more of a knock-down fight. Just good to see the benefits alongside the costs.
Should it be illegal to raise prices on essential goods?
Yes, across the board
Depends on the product
No, not for any product
Should it be illegal to raise prices on essential goods?
Yes, across the board
Depends on the product
No, not for any product
sometimes i am glad tumblr users have zero political power
my strongest claudes would kill you, traveler
you legally have to tell me if it's satire, or it's entrapment

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For me the biggest thing that makes the Fable shutdown a Leopards Eating People's Faces moment is not the fact that Anthropic asked for regulation and got regulated (although there is some of that) but that Anthropic has gone out of their way to make "AI safety" into a specifically nationalist issue, about ensuring US technological dominance. For example from a few days ago:
“These safeguards prevent foreign adversaries from using our most capable models in ways that pose severe safety risks. The US and its allies hold an edge in frontier chips and the highly optimized software that runs them at full potential,” the company said in a statement to WIRED. “These safeguards ensure Claude isn't used to erode that advantage—by optimizing chips developed by those adversaries, for example.”
and now Anthropic's noncitizen employees can't use Mythos! Which isn't to say that there is a direct causal link there or that Anthropic is responsible for the Trump administration's actions, but one might hope that it would make Anthropic warier of that kind of framing in the future.
...not that I'm holding my breath. I would have expected that getting penalized by the US government for refusing to enable autonomous killbots and domestic surveillance would have already tempered Dario Amodei's nationalism somewhat, but it doesn't really seem to have.
I don't think this is a Leopard Party Moment; this is just a failed forced gambit. Heavy AI national security regulation was 100%, absolutely, fully locked in on every world line, a thing that was going to happen. Not this specific form or anything, but the Pentagon and all that crew were guaranteed to bring every big AI company to the table. And when Trump was elected - something Anthropic as a company or Amodei specifically didn't do anything notable to bring about - the angle of that regulation was almost certainly going to be about nationalist power.
Anthropic was just trying to get ahead of the curve on the issue - it is going to happen, best be at the table when it does so we can have a voice. It isn't like OpenAI opposes all regulation themselves either; they are opposing state-level efforts at regulation by backed federal-level regulations, and have gone in almost entirely on the "national security" angle. Because they have to! This is a done deal.
Honestly what is happening right now is a pretty decent argument (from Anthropic's perspective) for the regulatory regime they are pushing for. If Congress actually passed a compromise AI regulation framework, then it would (hopefully) define explicitly what the national security obligations & risks are, and Anthropic could build a legal compliance team that reliably meets those obligations and make easy arguments in court. The fact that the field is a legal grey area is part of the reason the Trump administration can do whatever the fuck it wants and bully them around (Ofc it is Trump, fundamental disregard for the law is the other reason and there isn't anything companies can do about that). If Congress had passed a bill specifying the roles AI could have in autonomous kill strikes, for example, Anthropic could possibly not be in this mess to begin with because instead of having to make a "principled stand" they could have just said their hands were tied by the law. Congress is just too slow to act on the timescales needed for an industry moving as fast as theirs.
must feel good as fuck to curse a prince for being rude to you while you were larping as an old woman for no reason
I have got to get an RLVF job stat
Soulslike boss fight that riffs on the Black Knight sketch from Monty Python's Quest for the Holy Grail where every time you hit a new phase you hack off a limb, and somehow it just keeps getting harder. Most guides recommend cheesing burst DPS to skip the hopping-on-one-leg phase because it's just plain unfair.
This week, I get to show somebody one of my favorite math book figures, illustrating Liouville's theorem in Hamiltonian mechanics:

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ime pure sociopaths get put out of doors pretty quickly, the people who float to the top are people with very active yet very mercenary emotional lives, thats the new meta
once in a while you see someone whos overcome with pity and horror-at-all-pain the moment their friend is getting shit, whos swamped with tics and trembles whenever they need to look weak, who relaxes into smooth /b/tard cruelism whenever someone inconvenient needs to go. and never hesitates and never gets self-conscious and never feels their opponent threw a nice punch. and look as long as you like these feelings are all completely authentic. every chord of human experience is there but here the instrument's in tune
blogger basically making the argument that the cultural revolution is what allowed china to later experience such meteoric economic growth. it's nice to see contrarian opinions like this. I've played enough victoria to be sympathetic to this idea that the destruction of the peasant is the ultimate good, but you know. none of this is horribly rigorous
HARMFUL GAY STEREOTYPES EMBODIED BY MOHG
lives in sewer
kidnaps children actually he was cleared of this one
blood magic
never stops being funny
https://arxiv.org/html/2604.03071v1
I think we might actually be there for math formalization now. It's not to the point where it's super cheap to do whole textbooks, but we're getting to where if you have a specific theorem that you need formalized to check your paper, you can pull the supporting lemmas and get it formalized with a few days and a Claude subscription. And then you can have it formalize your paper from there
It's insanely lucky that there were these two research areas, type theory for formal verification and reasoning AI models, each of which was of very limited usefulness to math research on its own, each happened to be reaching maturity at almost the exact same time. Math has such a high standard of rigor that can basically never just use an ai generated proof. And proof assistants like Lean are so incredibly arduous to work with that nobody wants to actually use them. But slap them together and you get a closed feedback loop where the model gets checked against an extremely rigorous formalism, and the model abstracts away enough that you don't have to learn homotopic type theory to use it. And you end up with something that is both easier and more rigorous than doing the proof fully by hand. And both of these went from deeply underpowered to pretty useable since 2023, just in time to be practical when paired together
Update on this. I've been working on a bandit theory paper, and I was using Claude to typeset it in latex. When pinning down some of the lower bound arguments, it comes back and tells me that it found a log(t) improvement on the lower bound while writing it up. That's great, but I still don't have a good intuition for the bandit lower bound arguments in the first place, so while I can check it's proof, I don't feel 100% confident that I'll catch the more subtle errors it could have made.
So I set it up in a lean environment and tell it to formalize the argument. The only problem is that MathLib is ofc not at all focused on bandit theory. There's a GitHub repo which has like two very basic results in it, and that's it. No matter. Three days later, and it's formalized a bunch of information theory background theorems, Bretagnolle-Huber, the divergence decomposition lemma, the minimax lower bound, and all the lower bounds in my paper. I guess the argument goes through!
How easy is it to know that there aren't any errors in the lean formalization? I know that lean guards against logic errors but that doesn't prevent errors in problem statements or in others' theorem statements? Not at all my field so I'm curious
Basically it just comes down to checking the theorem statement and the supporting definitions, which is pretty easy bc that's the part where Lean goes out of its way to make sure it looks the same as the mathematical statement. Its simple enough that as long as you ask the model to formalize the statement first and then follow the proof, the big models (ie, not aristotle) don't seem to make many errors. Might be different in something like geometry that requires a visual sense they're not good at.
https://arxiv.org/html/2604.03071v1
I think we might actually be there for math formalization now. It's not to the point where it's super cheap to do whole textbooks, but we're getting to where if you have a specific theorem that you need formalized to check your paper, you can pull the supporting lemmas and get it formalized with a few days and a Claude subscription. And then you can have it formalize your paper from there
It's insanely lucky that there were these two research areas, type theory for formal verification and reasoning AI models, each of which was of very limited usefulness to math research on its own, each happened to be reaching maturity at almost the exact same time. Math has such a high standard of rigor that can basically never just use an ai generated proof. And proof assistants like Lean are so incredibly arduous to work with that nobody wants to actually use them. But slap them together and you get a closed feedback loop where the model gets checked against an extremely rigorous formalism, and the model abstracts away enough that you don't have to learn homotopic type theory to use it. And you end up with something that is both easier and more rigorous than doing the proof fully by hand. And both of these went from deeply underpowered to pretty useable since 2023, just in time to be practical when paired together
Update on this. I've been working on a bandit theory paper, and I was using Claude to typeset it in latex. When pinning down some of the lower bound arguments, it comes back and tells me that it found a log(t) improvement on the lower bound while writing it up. That's great, but I still don't have a good intuition for the bandit lower bound arguments in the first place, so while I can check it's proof, I don't feel 100% confident that I'll catch the more subtle errors it could have made.
So I set it up in a lean environment and tell it to formalize the argument. The only problem is that MathLib is ofc not at all focused on bandit theory. There's a GitHub repo which has like two very basic results in it, and that's it. No matter. Three days later, and it's formalized a bunch of information theory background theorems, Bretagnolle-Huber, the divergence decomposition lemma, the minimax lower bound, and all the lower bounds in my paper. I guess the argument goes through!

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> The Stalker says he can take me to the Zone
> I ask if the Zone is creepy or wet
> He doesn't understand
> I light a cigarette and make my speech about what constitutes something being creepy or wet
> He does not laugh and says "The Zone demands respect"
> it's creepy AND wet
https://arxiv.org/html/2604.03071v1
I think we might actually be there for math formalization now. It's not to the point where it's super cheap to do whole textbooks, but we're getting to where if you have a specific theorem that you need formalized to check your paper, you can pull the supporting lemmas and get it formalized with a few days and a Claude subscription. And then you can have it formalize your paper from there
It's insanely lucky that there were these two research areas, type theory for formal verification and reasoning AI models, each of which was of very limited usefulness to math research on its own, each happened to be reaching maturity at almost the exact same time. Math has such a high standard of rigor that can basically never just use an ai generated proof. And proof assistants like Lean are so incredibly arduous to work with that nobody wants to actually use them. But slap them together and you get a closed feedback loop where the model gets checked against an extremely rigorous formalism, and the model abstracts away enough that you don't have to learn homotopic type theory to use it. And you end up with something that is both easier and more rigorous than doing the proof fully by hand. And both of these went from deeply underpowered to pretty useable since 2023, just in time to be practical when paired together