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Global Risks - a review of recent history

#global risk #supply chain shock #price shock #economic shock #credit cruch

Weather Disruption to California Trade - all forms of transportation (blue), tornado paths in green and red, 2007.

source: US DOT, NOAA

#california #trade flows #interstate commerce #intermodal #weather #supply chain disruption

Cash Flow Risk Management

www.ermsymposium.org/2011/pdf/Sabbadini.pdf

#cash flow risk management #hedging #risk reduction #sharpe ratio #optimal hedge ratio

Inter industry trade flows

#heavy industry trade flows #inter industry trade flows #economy

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Correlation Analysis - futures market prices, metals in focus, 2000-2009.

#futures market #prices #volatility #correlation #matrix #historical #moving average #rolling correlation

Coffee Industry Cost Structure, 2010, 2011.

#coffee industry #cost structure #comparison

Volatility is Expensive

#volatility #dangers of risk #tsunami #great wave of kanagawa

High Risk = lost profit

#high risk #low profit #dangers of volatility #underinvestment #bankruptcy

Low Risk = more profit

#risk management #volatility smoothing #production smoothing #profit management

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reducing risk, powering profit

#sharpe ratio #risk management #benefit of volatility reduction

factory network

#factory network #manufacturing #automotive

Hedged Profit Distribution

#simulation #GARCH #hedging #monte carlo simulation

Machine Shop.

#machine shop #google sketch up #machine tools #steel machining

Raw Materials.

#industrial supply chain #metals #steel #aluminum #copper #forex #foreign exchange #futures markets #natural gas #oil #wind #energy #agriculture #wheat

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Manufacturing Portfolio Theory

#manufacturing #portfolio theory #markowitz #mpt #efficient frontier

risk v. risk management

#risk management #tax management #hedging #cash flow risk management

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