ohhhhh boy where do i begin
AI has massively lowered the barrier to entry to orchestrate political psyops or scams - things that previously took dedicated troll farms or scam call centers can now be orchestrated by a single person with sufficient knowhow and enough money/compute.
While attempts to do so have been very clumsy thus far (grok lol), AI labs can influence the outputs of their models in ways that cannot be undone and may be challenging for the average user to detect. This puts them in a position of immense power that I believe they will try to exploit.
Over the past few years, there has been a massive increase in AI-generated content - to use the term du jour, slop - which is low-quality and drowns out higher-quality human content. I expect this to continue to accelerate if strong barriers are not put into place.
AI is currently sweeping the legs of the education system as everyone scrambles to adapt. I think this will eventually be solved to a reasonable degree, but in the meantime it has the potential to create a deficit for a full cohort that will ripple through their entire lives.
AI is currently reducing the value of entry-level white collar employees while leaving mid and senior level openings mostly untouched. In the short run, this means economic prospects for young college grads are worse than they ever have been, which will have all sorts of unpleasant ripple effects. In the long run, you can't get new mid and senior level employees without a pipeline, and if that pipeline collapses, it will be difficult or impossible to rebuild.
A small but visible portion of the population (1 in 10000, maybe?) are susceptible to what is starting to be called LLM psychosis, where interaction with an LLM and their naturally sycophantic natures reinforces delusions and pulls the person into a dangerous fantasy. These people were almost always mentally ill in some sense prior to the LLM, but the LLM triggers an episode in a specific way that has to be quite harmful.
To restrain things like LLM psychosis, LLMs are increasingly monitored and have the capacity to take more and more actions. I think it's likely that, with attempts to hold AI companies liable for people who killed themselves after talking to an LLM, LLMs will be equipped with the capacity to call the cops if your chat messages to them meet some arbitrary bar that triggers a "mandatory reporting" behavior, and that this is only the beginning. In the long run, I suspect this will represent a massive expansion of the surveillance state, where any internet-connected model is a snitch.
Related to the previous, LLMs enable processing of an immense amount of information in a reasonably humanlike, intelligent way. While I doubt we'll hear about it for a while, this almost certainly enables widespread surveillance in a way that used to be impossible, enabling isolation of signal from noise at a scale that would be prohibitively expensive if you were relying on human analysts.
The US stock market performance (the largest market in the world) is increasingly concentrated in companies that are making huge bets on AI. If AI does not end up being profitable enough to justify this level of investment and those valuations, this is a systemic risk for the US economy and risks plunging us into a recession that will make 2008 look like a cakewalk.
If AI does pan out, the most likely way it could do so would be by being "AGI" - sufficiently intelligent and reliable to replace a massive chunk of white-collar workers in the US. This would cause a different kind of economic (and political) crisis that could potentially be an even worse outcome than the recession (to say nothing of tail concerns about AI risk). The line where some kind of major economic upheaval due to AI doesn't happen in the next ten years is pretty thin.
i could come up with more but those are the main ones that keep me up at night.