This is really just a stream of consciousness, it might not be the most insightful or coherent. I just kind of feel the need to write it.
So male privilege exists, right? We all know this, we all agree on it? Men are generally treated better/with more respect both interpersonally and institutionally. Obviously there are many axes of privilege/oppression and this is only one, but all other things being equal, a man is going to have some social/institutional power over a woman.
And then people started having some extremely heated arguments about whether and how transmascs are oppressed as much as transfems are, and I had to question that framework a little. If you stick to that basic throughline, all other things being equal, a trans man should have some social/institutional power over a trans woman. And I wasn't convinced of that. Trans men are generally not considered by society at large to be men at all- not just "the wrong kind of man" like gay or racialized men, not men at all. If they pass well enough, they may be treated better interpersonally, but even then, they might be treated very differently by people who know they're trans- not to mention doctors.
I read a pretty good post going over some statistics and linking to studies that basically found trans men to have it easier in some areas, harder in others, and usually not by a ton. So I revised my concept of male privilege to "all other things being equal, men have power over women- but trans people, who are generally placed in a third category of 'deviant freak', can't really be said to adhere to this, because there's so much variation in how individual trans people are perceived and therefore treated that it's hard to say one group of trans people has concrete power over another".
I was comfortable with this framework for a while. I still really, really want it to be true, honestly. But the arguments kept happening, and I kept reading them, and I couldn't help this nagging feeling that something was really off. I thought the people on the "trans women are oppressed by trans men and trans men should not get to Have A Word because it's insulting to act like they experience the same or more discrimination" side of the argument were just zealously adhering to "all other things being equal, a man is going to have some social/institutional power over a woman" and refusing to acknowledge the nuance because admitting that other people don't view you the way you want to be viewed can be really difficult, and I think maybe some of them are, but there is a vocal and growing contingent that is arguing something else.
The idea that gender nonconformity is more accepted in people perceived as female. The idea that perceived femaleness automatically grants someone an assumption of innocence, harmlessness, virtue. The idea that this aura of innocence or purity can be and often is used to bolster false rape accusations and ruin the lives of innocent people. These are the most egregious points, but I saw it over and over again- the idea that being born with a vagina meant going through life coddled and presumed to be a good person. And people usually stopped short of saying that AFABs(TM) oppress cis men, but it sure was interesting how cis men seemed to get absolutely no shit from this community of alleged misandrists.
I think what really broke me was the issue of forced pregnancy. Trans men brought it up from time to time, usually in their own spaces/tags, but at one point I saw them accused of talking about it to trigger trans womens' dysphoria. As though there could be no other reason to talk about one of the worst things that can happen to a person.
And it hit me: trans women will never deal with that. Ever. Any bad thing that commonly happens to trans women (the ones that get brought up a lot as uniquely transfem problems are murder and prison rape/"V-Coding") can happen to trans men, even if it happens less often, but the reverse isn't true. Trans women cannot be forcibly impregnated as a means to control them. Ever.
More to the point, trans women can, hypothetically, forcibly impregnate trans men (under some circumstances, obviously surgery and hormones can complicate fertility for both parties quite a bit). That doesn't mean a trans man can't subject a trans woman to truly horrifying abuse, just that a trans woman might be able to do all that and more. There are plenty of things that might give a trans man more social power than a trans woman- wealth, whiteness, passing status, just having more friends- but, well, all other things being equal...