👑 mcc brainrot 👑

hello! my name is jay (18, they/them), and this is a blog dedicated to talking about minecraft championship (mcc)!

general things

this is a sideblog!! all likes, follows, replies, and asks come from my main, @lejaybleu.

i exclusively post mcc-related content on here- the bulk of my posts are about mcc predictions* or statistics, or other mcc analysis posts, but i also post memes and reblog fanart from time to time!

if you disagree with a prediction or want to tell me something you think i've missed or haven't taken into consideration, feel free to send me an ask! (responses in reblogs/tags are also welcome!!) nothing is too ranty for me and i enjoy reading other people's thoughts on my predictions :))

*relating to predictions: ALL MY PREDICTIONS ARE FOR FUN. it is never my intention to hurt a creator who takes part in the event in any way. since many of my posts are analysis of people's performance in the event, i will sometimes talk about weaknesses or pitfalls for certain players or teams, but in no way is that meant to insult them as a creator (or as a player, for that matter). if you engage with this blog, i will expect you to afford them the same level of respect as i.

dni

- anyone who has deliberately and continually broken a cc's boundaries (you know who you are)

- misogynists, queerphobes, terfs, swerfs

important tags

predictions - #mcc predictions

statistics - #mcc statistics

spoilers - #mcc [INSERT MCC# (ex. 19)] spoilers

mcc games - #mcc games

memes - #mcc memes

fanart - #fanart

asks - #any askers

reblogs - #reblog

not mcc - #not mcc

MCC is back which is SO so exciting. i'm super hype :DD

however, i'm still really really busy- i don't want to commit to running the blog right now when i've got so much going on with it being the end of senior year.

(MCC 19 Top 10 Individual Recap)

we have a fruit, sapnap, and punz top 3, all of which are staples of the top 5, so that's pretty unsurprising. definitely funny that fruit got first individual as a substitute in the event, lmao!

then, we have ranboo- the fact that ranboo got 4th individual is absolutely insane, considering it's only his 5th mcc (and considering the performance of his team!) he has definitely cemented his place as one of the best players in the event.

tommy made the top 5 as well, which is awesome to see, which is his highest canon placement of the season (and of all time, not counting mcc2.)

we have philza right behind him in 6th, also with his highest placement this season, and then dream in 7th, which doesn't quite measure up to some of his placements so far, but is definitely solid, seeing as how he's in the top 10.

then we have george, who did exceptionally well for himself this event, and is another person with a record individual placement for the season. pete has returned to the top 10 after mcc 18, and krinios has his first top 10 performance of the season as well.

LET'S GOOOOOOOOO

and now, ladies/gentlemen/cool people, the moment you've all been waiting for: the statistics!!

ALL the stats here are courtesy of @ultrasheeplord on twitter, and their mcc teambuilder spreadsheet.

i'm going to be going over who has the most likely chance of winning with different types of game orders (obviously i can't run every game order, so i will be generalizing games to their categories for the most part to make it easier!) i'm also going to be looking at dodgebolt statistics, comparing team statistics, and giving you all a NEW predictions list fully based on the statistics!

Coin Averages

Red Rabbits: 9,290

Ginger Breadmen: 9,045

Yellow Yetis: 9,286

Mint Mistletoes: 7,619

Emerald Elves: 9,053

Teal Turkeys: 9,764

Cerulean Candy Canes: 9,264

Sapphire Santas: 4,051

Purple Penguins: 7,973

Pink Presents: 8,075

the highest coin average is teal's, and teal also has a high chance of winning dodgebolt.

with all three PvP games being played and build mart being skipped, and with the PvP games concentrated in the latter half of the event, we get a Teal v Emerald dodgebolt.

if build mart is played as the finale game with all three PvP games, we get a Teal v Red dodgebolt.

if only two PvP games are played with a build mart finale, we get a Ginger v Emerald dodgebolt. if the same is done with a grid runners finale, we get a Teal v Emerald dodgebolt (again).

if all three PvP games are played late, we have a Teal v Red dodgebolt. with all three PvP games played early and a SoT finale, we get a Ginger v Teal dodgebolt.

with all three movement games played late and all three PvP games included, we have another Teal v Emerald dodgebolt.

you might start to see a pattern here- when there's a high emphasis on PvP games especially, but also on movement games, Teal almost always makes it to dodgebolt. if team synergy games are the finale, the teams that make it to dodgebolt are Teal and Red.

most of the time, Teal makes it to dodgebolt or is rightttt on the cusp of being able to. the teams that consistently end up in the top two are Red, Ginger, Emerald and Teal. so, without further ado, the upgraded, stats-based prediction:

Teal Turkeys

Emerald Elves

Ginger Breadmen

Red Rabbits

Yellow Yetis

Pink Presents

Purple Penguins

Cerulean Candy Canes

Mint Mistletoes

Sapphire Santas

we'll see if this prediction holds up tomorrow, but most likely we'll see teal winning the event and winning dodgebolt!! i am out for a portion of the event tomorrow, but i will watch everything i missed as soon as i get home and post my thoughts later into the evening. hope you all have a good day and have loads of fun watching the event! :D

(analysis)

alright! now that we've gone over the games, it's time to get into the nitty gritty stuff- the analysis.

first of all, let's address the elephant in the room: THERE IS NO ACE RACE THIS MCC. this means no wilbur monologue... :(

more importantly, it means players like pete, fruit, and teams that overall perform well at the game (which includes wilbur's team, funnily enough), don't have the extra coin boost from ace race. the only team that's hugely affected by this is the pink presents (sadly)- most other teams aren't affected.

the games we do have in the event are split this way:

- 3 PvP focused games (Sky Battle, SG, Battle Box)

- 3 team synergy focused games (Grid Runners, Build Mart, SoT)

- 3 movement focused games (TGTTOS, Hole in the Wall, Parkour Tag)

there are only two games based on individual performance- TGTTOS and Hole in the Wall- and TGTTOS has team bonuses, so overall team performance is still a huge part of it.

the split in the game roster is fully even, and so in terms of strengths, all-around and balanced teams have a good shot at doing well. this could also tip in any team's favor, really, depending on the game order- i would recommend checking out all things mcc's keys to victory video to look at which game orders statistically benefit which teams!

the event always relies on team coordination, cooperation and synergy, but this time that's especially emphasized (doubly so by the absence of ace race.) grid runners especially might decide a lot of teams' fates if it's played late- it's quite a polarizing game, with most teams either being really good at it or not good at it at all. now that the games have been announced, i'm leaning more towards a teal turkeys / red reindeer dodgebolt rather than teal turkeys / emerald elves, with emerald coming in third in lieu of first. also, i think that based on the composition of the teams, all three pvp games will get played, which is especially good for teal and red. the audience lockout will for sure be controlled by the emerald elves, so it'll be fun to see what they choose to go with.

all in all, this is a really interesting combo of games- i'm intrigued to see how mcc goes without ace race!