Confidence Game
Iâve heard a lot of people say that âgaining confidenceâ is a big reason they train in a martial art. Â Itâs a huge benefit of training. Â Long-term martial artists carry themselves differently, and âconfidenceâ is probably the word most of us would use to describe that difference. Iâve been thinking about confidence lately. Â Deconstructing it. Â When I asked some friends what the word means to them, one person surprised me by describing it in a negative way, as arrogance. Â Another described it as a kind of self-acceptance, that weâre ok being who we are. Â Those are both nuances I hadnât been focused on as âconfidenceâ but both added to my understanding of the term. Â So I want to be precise. Â
I think there are several kinds of âconfidence,â and that some of them are useful, and others are not. Â Iâm not a psychologist, Iâm just a martial artist and instructor. Â Iâm speaking from my own experience and what others have told me of their experience. Â If itâs helpful, take it, if itâs not then leave it. Please add to my thinking by offering yours. The arbitrary categories I care about right now I'll call: âfalseâ confidence, âbravado,â ârealâ confidence, and âdetermination.â What prompted me to write about confidence is seeing a discussion in which senior martial artists tried to help a junior with a âconfidence problem,â and the way they helped was by building what I would call âfalseâ confidence. Thatâs not an isolated incident. Â It happens all the time. It happens for a lot of reasons, many of them perhaps good ones. Â It occurs innocently enough most of the time, but I think itâs a bigger problem than I hear discussed in MA circles.Â
Students come to believe they have more capability than they really do. Or, more generally, students believe that the âhammerâ they have been taught will serve them in all situations. That everything is a nail.
When I say âfalse confidenceâ what I mean is a mental state where someone has done a piss poor risk evaluation. They are deluded about their abilities in relation to reality. Â If you sat and had a calm conversation with them they would express confidence in their ability to succeed where any informed person would say theyâre fooling themselves. Â
Young and inexperienced people often have false confidence because they just donât know better. Â I think training can create false confidence. Â And while the name sounds bad, a friend pointed out to me that it isnât necessarily bad. Â If you donât want a stranger to pick you out of a crowd as a target, walking with confidence is a good thing, and false confidence is indistinguishable from real confidence until itâs tested.Â
False confidence comes from a lot of places in our training.
Training partners facilitate it. When we âgo withâ a technique because our friend is frustrated or itâs âclose enoughâ or just because weâre building up their trust in the technique as our friend is learning it. Or maybe we donât know weâre doing it. Our own faith in the technique is so strong we just fall. Factors working against us include our own desire to be confident.  Itâs a good feeling.  We seek it out.  But we also rationalize in order to achieve it.  Weâre happy to nail a technique.  And if our partner lets it happen, we cooperate with that deception.
Itâs a difficult game. Balancing conflicting goals for ourselves and for our students is a hard thing. Â Teachers give students motivation or even belts for many reasons, which may not be the reasons we or our students think.
Schools are mostly businesses. Â Students with broken confidence leave. Â And itâs really hard to predict a personâs threshold. Â Learning resilience means getting comfortable with failure, but most people are bad at that and lots of them never learn it. Â Using doses of confidence to train resilience is built into martial arts methodology in every art Iâm aware of. Â But thatâs not always confidence based on reality. Â Teachers do what they have to do to keep people training, knowingly or not. Â
None of this is a secret. Â Itâs a challenge, and itâs just part of training. Â
What worries me is the many bad outcomes. Â For example: Â Youth students with black-belts and a boatload of false-confidence. Â An untrained adult could sit on most (even very competent) youth martial artists. Â Itâs not obvious that the kids know that. (Itâs a wildly rare kid who knows that, and the ones who do usually have the opposite problem with confidence...a lack of it.)Â
Size and strength do matter, thatâs why professional competitions use weight classes. Â But parents want their kids taught âconfidenceâ and schools oblige. So kids think they can fight when really their skills are mostly decorative until they get the weight and muscle of adulthood.
We also have teens going off to college with confidence, totally unaware that theyâve been training for low-likelihood risks and have no training for high-percentage risks (Iâve posted about this before). Â Believing that whatever they learned is a âtoolboxâ they can apply to any problem...with no practice doing that. Â Recipe for disaster. And unless they come report back, MA schools donât know how badly theyâve failed those kids.
Itâs not just kids and teens though. Adults often keep training, seeking those hits of âfeeling confident.â  Throwing people around the mat successfully, showing off and getting new belts, hitting a technique youâve been working for months.  Thatâs good stuff for the self-esteem.  Heck, itâs good stuff.  But when itâs false confidence, when you think just because you can throw a guy you know on a mat in broad daylight that you can do the same after youâve had a couple of drinks when someone surprises you in the dark... The result can be people taking risks they wouldnât otherwise take. Or choosing to fight rather than run. An outcome of false-confidence is people being decimated when they bump up against real situations and their sky castles collapse.  Itâs worse when those people have been training for a long time.  When youâve built your confidence around martial arts skills and those fail you, thatâs a rough situation.  Victims blame themselves because they âshould haveâ been able to âhandleâ whatever problem it was they could never have been rationally expected to handle. (Problems created by others, itâs important to recall.)
Some things Iâve heard friends say recently have spurred me to deconstruct our idea of âconfidence.â What we do for ourselves in training, and how teachers manage studentsâ morale can only be effective if we think it through. Â We need to be as honest with ourselves as itâs possible to be. Â
Iâve heard the argument from some teachers that we shouldnât discuss these things, that itâs like the placebo effect. Â That teachers are like puppetmasters apparently, manipulating students to become more âconfidentâ which makes them better, and if students saw the man behind the curtain it wouldnât work. Â
Iâm going to call foul on that. Â In fact, one thing we now know about the placebo effect is that it works even when people know what theyâre taking is a placebo. Â That what matters is the trust they have in the doctor who gives it to them. Â I think itâs the same with training. Â A teacher can work a technique slowly with cooperative partners, and give students a taste of success without pretending that success is anything more than it is. Â
But if we dismantle false-confidence, it needs to be replaced with something. One option, I think, is what Iâm calling here âBravado.â
Bravado is different than false confidence. Â In its bad form, itâs a coward acting like a bully. Â But in its good form, itâs a brave person who is afraid but âfaking it until they make it.â Â Itâs often possible to see someone showing more confidence than they feel. Â Some schools train this, usually the âgoodâ form. Showing confidence can be a tactic. Â If I had to choose for a student of mine, I would rather that they walk with bravado than with false confidence. Â It might look like enough to make them less of a target, but with none of the down-sides of being out of touch with reality. Â Food for thought anyway. But the gold standard in my opinion is what Iâll call ârealâ confidence. Â It comes in flavors. I mean that which comes from experience, mastery, and tested use of skills. Â A serious and experienced martial artist can feel confidence about hitting techniques in training conditions. Â They can rationally evaluate their likelihood of success and make fast flowing decisions about which techniques to use. Â They can be calm and collected under the pressure theyâre familiar with. Â And when a real-life scenario comes at them, their likelihood of success (if it matches what theyâve trained) is probably high (or at least higher than an untrained person). Â They can measure how confident to be with some degree of accuracy.
This is what we try to achieve with training, confidence that matches reality. Â That means not walking around feeling as if you can handle anything 24x7, but walking around humble about the scenarios you know you canât handle. Â
My best firearms instructor, and one of the best martial artists Iâve ever known describes good training as âlearning what you *canât* do.â When you get a real handle on the limits of your abilities, you can execute calmly and confidently within those limits. I just spouted that off as if itâs easy. Â Itâs the hardest thing to achieve. Â It takes years of painstaking work, and thatâs not a guarantee. Â Painstaking work with a teacher willing to sacrifice your connection to reality by building false confidence, or one who is unable to make that distinction, or with training partners who donât do their level best to keep themselves and you honest, or a âhammerâ art that helps you believe you can solve any problem with the thing they teach, or a decorative art never intended to solve real-world problems, or just a little too much willingness to believe that your capacity is more than it is...any of that undermines your ability to get to the holy grail of real confidence. But itâs a knife-edge, even if you avoid every trap of false confidence, itâs much too easy to fall into believing you have no capacity. Â Low confidence ends martial arts careers. But if the confidence that comes from decades of challenging and honest training is maybe too much a brass ring, I also think thereâs another kind of ârealâ confidence. Maybe this is the saving grace. Iâll call it âdeterminationâ just to distinguish it from the other kinds. Â And this, I think, is a mindset that can be learned through martial arts training. Â But it comes naturally too. I think you can start with it.Â
When an untrained person blazes into action in a bad situation, itâs using this kind of confidence. Â This is the thing that happens to some parents when their children are threatened. No one is kidding when they talk about mothers being intimidating in defense of their kids. Â Trained or not, thereâs a confidence that can rise to push away all doubt when a moment of action is called for. Â The âordinary peopleâ who run toward active shooters or calmly hide a class full of children in a closet arenât deluded, theyâre determined. Â When pressed, a person who trains determination will flip on 100% confidence when itâs needed. Â Itâs not âfalseâ by the terms Iâm using, because theyâre choosing it. Â Theyâre choosing to believe without qualm or doubt or possibility of failure that they will hit their techniques perfectly, choose their best options smoothly. Â But because theyâre not deluding themselves, when failure happens, when they lose or get hurt, they have the possibility of resilience. Â They can let go and keep believing that they will nail the next attempt. Â I think thatâs the goal. Realism, with the ability to flip that switch. Â And that seems to be trainable.
I think teachers often make the mistake of training people up into false confidence when a better goal is determination. Â And the difference is easy to distinguish. Â If you sit with a student and run a tabletop exercise with various scenarios you know are overwhelming, the difference will come out. Â Iâve known a lot of students who will talk through those multiple-attacker scenarios, the unarmed-versus-armed, the bigger attacker, the better-trained attacker...and theyâll tell you how theyâll use âsurpriseâ or âquicknessâ or âbetter techniqueâ or (bless their hearts) âkicking them in the balls.â Â
Or they may pretend to be humble because thatâs what theyâre expected to do, but you can hear or see it in their eyes that they feel they could handle the situation.  In contrast, a clear-seeing student will give a better answer like âwell, Iâd probably die, but here are the things I would try to do to escape/win/achieve-the-goal.â  Realistic risk assessment.  Knowing what you canât do. Being suitably wary of scenarios outside of your experience.
But I think itâs important to distinguish those mindsets, and articulate the goal(s). Â No one wants to crush a childâs spirit by making it clear that nothing theyâre learning is really going to work in an actual fight. Â The âfight for an escapeâ and ârun and find helpâ training is the limit of what kids can reasonably expect to execute in a real-life scenario, and that is definitely not the fun stuff. Parents want to think their kids are being prepared to be little superheroes who will always be safe, and parents pay for that self-delusion. Â But good teachers handle it deftly. Â Smacking down false-confidence like playing whack-a-mole. Teaching kids their limits so theyâll make good choices, and teaching them to fight with determination in a worst-case scenario. For adult martial artists, itâs on us. Â Some of us seek out more and more ârealisticâ training. Force-on-force. Training in more than one school to counter âdojo-itis.â Â Seeking failure in training to practice resilience. Practicing the mindset of determination and taking pride in training to personal limits. Â Learning our real limits and how to assess risk effectively. Â Choosing teachers who may use the placebo effect of dosing us with confidence to build trust in technique, but who are transparent about it. Â Doing extra reading or training or talking with survivors to compare what we know with what reality might present. Considering our own behaviors and watching ourselves as if we were strangers.
Do we exhibit false confidence? Bravado? Â Is it intentional? What are our areas of expertise where we feel real confidence? How can we test those areas to be sure itâs real? Can we remember that even the best training doesnât mean winning every time? Do we have friends who hold up a mirror when weâre delusional or do we push away the people who tell us what they see? Â Do we pat ourselves on the back and stay complicit in our own delusions? Â Martial arts has the potential to change lives for the better. Â But itâs a knife-edge. Itâs also easy to gain bad confidence. Becoming arrogant or a bully, taking stupid risks because our belief in ourselves doesnât match reality, setting ourselves up for bigger misery by building castles in the sky. Â Itâs so easy to build one of those bad kinds of confidence, or to give up. Â Itâs a game, but one we can win if we understand how itâs played. Confidence though, is a single-player game. In the end, itâs all in our own head, good or bad.















