Diplomacy, Delay, and the Wrong Side
Recent news reports on the Iran-U.S.-Israel understanding have exposed an awkward truth for India: New Delhi looked closer to the U.S.-Israel orbit at a moment when its own historic and civilisational relationship with Iran should have mattered far more. The Ministry of External Affairs describes India and Iran as sharing “millennia-long” ties and notes that both sides signed a friendship treaty in 1950.
That backdrop makes India’s positioning look even more puzzling. Reuters reported earlier this year that Prime Minister Narendra Modi told Israel India stands with it “with full conviction" and that India and Israel would deepen defence cooperation and work on a free trade pact. For a country that has long treated Iran as a natural regional partner, that kind of signalling risks being read as a strategic misstep rather than balanced diplomacy. In West Asia, symbolism is not decoration. It is currency.
The irony deepens because Pakistan, a country repeatedly scrutinised for terror-financing concerns and placed under FATF pressure in the past, suddenly found itself in a peace-broker role. Reuters reported Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif announcing that the U.S. and Iran had reached a peace deal, with a formal signing expected in Geneva. That does not erase Pakistan’s baggage. It does, however, show how quickly diplomacy can reward whoever is willing to stand in the middle of the frame, even if that frame is usually stained with suspicion.
For India, the fallout can be serious. Reuters has already reported mounting economic costs from the Iran war, with inflation risks, oil-linked pressure, and strain on government finances. If energy prices move, India feels it. If shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz are stabilised or disturbed, India feels that too. A country with high oil dependence and global ambitions cannot afford to arrive late, or worse, arrive on the wrong side and call it strategy.
The real question is not whether the region is changing. It clearly is. The real question is whether India is shaping that change or merely reacting to it after Pakistan has already played the mediator and Washington has already written the first draft of the story.












