2032 is a whole different kettle of fish. In the 2030 census, something in the range of 8-12 House seats (and thus electoral votes) will move from states Democrats can win to red states, mostly Florida and Texas. Based on current population trends if Democrats win all the usual blue states and also Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin in 2032, they will have about 260 electoral votes and lose. ... This is a five-alarm fire and dealing with it has to start now.
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One thing they could do if they get the federal trifecta in 2028 is pass a law requiring all states to have an independent commission to draw the maps. They will also have to pass a law stripping the Supreme Court of appellate jurisdiction on cases involving election maps.
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A different approach, which would be longer lasting, is to start competing for House seats in all of the above states and a few others, where they have a chance. ... This would require dropping all litmus tests and running candidates who were good fits for their districts.
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Another thing Democrats can try to do is win more state legislative chambers, something certainly possible if gerrymandering can be abolished in 2028.