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inspired by @gaytanic-panic's poll, I decided to make one that puts all the major metros on the same list, to hopefully get less sample bias
Had to move it off site though, but this one is open to all trans people (please do not click the link if you are cisgender)
I'll start putting together results once they start coming in
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Do you think Tumblr as a whole is considered "sampling bias" when it comes to most polls in general, because the majority of Tumblr users are a group of people with similar views and opinions, therefore most polls on Tumblr tend to NOT be a reflection of how the real world outside of Tumblr actually is?
Yes
No
I have no strong opinion on this
*This poll was submitted to us and we simply posted it so people could vote and discuss their opinions on the matter. If you’d like for us to ask the internet a question for you, feel free to drop the poll of your choice in our inbox and we’ll post them anonymously (for more info, please check our pinned post).
do you like marvey and
like mike ross
tolerate mike ross
hate mike ross
haha sampling bias
I love voting in polls!
I tend to scroll past polls / not vote
My pet peeve is people who tag their polls in a way that would bias their sample. Like, for example, if you make a "how much do you like anime" poll, and tag it as "anime", then it's going to be shown to disproportionally more people who strongly like anime, since those are typically the people who browse this tag. Sometimes it doesn't matter, because you may only care about the opinion of people who browse certain tags, or the poll isn't supposed to be serious. Or maybe you just want qualitative data. But if you want to get a sample that is representative of a larger population (of Tumblr users who do polls for fun), or if you want to interpret the results as if that was the case, then you have to keep tag-induced sampling bias in mind.
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I really wonder about the difference between online and offline leftist voting discussion. Online, I see a TON of "no votes for genocide kamala!" posts, but I've just... never met anyone IRL who is like that?
It's literally always been "I hate her and wish 'no genocide' was an option, but she's a lot better than trump so I'm voting for her" [paraphrased].
Maybe this is a swing state thing? Maybe it's because almost all my IRLs are queer and know the stakes? I have a decent sample size but my sampling bias is high.
New favorite gif
I feel like sampling bias tumblr would like to know about how I saw my third “sampling bias” based post today and my immediate thought was “damn the new thing is sampling bias” followed by “what kind of (reactions to) polls have these people been seeing that they’re so up in arms about tumblr needing to understand sampling bias so bad” and then “haha. Experience bias, I need to post this.”
Edit: I saw yet another post about it and like. I always knew it was about the ‘is Tumblr gay’ polls, but I figured there HAD to be something more going on cause like. I swear I’ve seen more of the sampling bias posts than I have straight up “are you queer” polls. Maybe that’s recency bias tho. All sorts of bias.
