#plausible

It's been awhile since we did one of these.

As a reminder, the format is: rumor - source, date (justification)

Confirmed

Charles to take back Duke of York titles and/or Royal Lodge. - TLF, September 2022

Andrew to lose more titles and be cast out of the family. - Christian Dion, September 2022

Yorkies evicted/forced to move from Royal Lodge by Charles. - Tumblr tarot, September 2022

Meghan to develop her own wine brand. - CDAN, August 2023

Meghan dropped by WME in spring 2024; it's a one year contract, no renewal. - Twitter, September 2024

Kate getting her own royal warrants as Princess of Wales. - General speculation, February 2024

Kate to have a new medical/health focus in charity work when she recovers. - Tumblr tarot, March 2024 (Royal Marsden patronage)

Andrew to be reimplicated in Epstein mess. - Tumblr, May 2024

Andrew losing Royal Lodge, will get financial compensation instead. - Reddit, October 2024

Plausible

William and Kate will move into/take over Windsor Castle after Queen Elizabeth passes - Royal Reporters, February 2022. (Charles doesn't really have a presence at Windsor Castle the way The Queen did - he seems to favor Sandringham while the Waleses use Windsor rooms for their work events.)

Harry wants to be the first royal to visit Zelensky in Ukraine; UK government and Zelensky are wary and keep denying his overtures. - Tumblr, March 2023

Oprah and Gayle are done with Meghan, no more interviews or public comments supporting her - SMM, May 2023

Charles's cancer is terminal. - General speculation, July 2024.

Partially Confirmed

Netflix looking to cut losses with Sussexes - TLF, August 2022. (First look deal instead of contract renewal.)

Andrew to move to the countryside and attempt to repair his image via a new relationship. - Christian Dion, September 2022. (Andrew moving to Sandringham countryside. No info yet on a new relationship.)

Harry to be permanently exiled if memoirs published as planned. - Tina Brown, October 2022. (Charles seems to have tolerated Harry, rest of family has PNG'd him.)

Sussexes' downfall will start with the Diana car chase stunt in NYC, see loss of deals and contracts, media scrutiny, and celeb friends distancing themselves. - SMM, May 2023

Harry's African charities being called out for human trafficking and abuse, Harry will be called out with them, and his reaction will be the straw that breaks the camel's back; dirt will start flowing and BRF will make decisions about status. - General speculation, January 2024

Kate returning to work in October 2024 - Royal reporters, May 2024 (she did return with very limited appearances)

Kate back officially in 2025 - Royal reporters, May 2024 (still on limited appearance schedule)

Meghan to change ARO name to something less pretentious on advice of partners. - Tumblr - June 2024

Sussexes to be loved up during Vancouver IG and drop divorce news immediately after. - General speculation, November 2024 (they were loved up, but no divorce news)

BRF to overhaul website, Sussexes to be majorly downgraded. - TLF, June 2025 (website updated, Sussexes still there)

British royal has died, no palace announcements - Tumblr, 3 September 2025 (Duchess of Kent died Sept 4th; no palace announcement about the illness preceding her death)

Sussexes and Yorks booted from website by December 31, 2025. - Neil Sean, October 2025. (Andrew booted in November; Sussexes still there.)

Partially Busted

Cambridges won't move into Buckingham Palace on William's accession, will remain at Kensington Palace. - General speculation, July 2022. (Partially busted because it's Windsor, not KP.)

Jimmy Carter's death to overshadow Meghan's return to social media. - tumblr, April 2023 (it took her thunder for WLM)

Charles has health issues, will be announced by the palace before September 2023 and he will make public remarks about it. - Tiktok, May 2023 (it ended up being January 2024)

William to attend funerals of Jimmy Carter and Harald V. - Tumblr, May 2023 (Edward went to Carter; Harald still thriving)

Peace talks mid-September between Sussexes and BRF - Daily Mail, August 2023 (they were off by 2 years)

Meghan to start rumors that William is gay/has sex with men since Rose rumors failed to break up Cambridge marriage. - Lady C, October 2023 (Partially busted because there is a rumor about William and Jason Knauf, but unsure if it came from Meghan or Sussex Squad.)

Meghan's first official product for ARO is rose wine. - General speculation, June 2024 (her first wine product was rose, though not her first actual product)

Netflix is over, no renewal. - General speculation, December 2024 (contract wasn't renewed, but they got a first look deal)

Busted

Spotify is taking legal action against the Sussexes - Tumblr, February 2022. (didn't happen)

The Queen bought Harry an apartment in Turtle Bay, NYC, near the UN - Tumblr, March 2022. (It was reported the Crown Estate purchased an embassy outposting for staff, not the Sussexes.)

Andrew moving to Scotland and will take over maintenance of Balmoral Castle - Royal Reporters, June 2022. (Didn't happen)

Harry to be called to testify during Sam's lawsuit and during testimony, he will confirm some of Meghan's secrets/rumors - YouTube tarot, June 2022. (Didn't happen)

Meghan will pay Samantha to drop the lawsuit. - YouTube tarot, June 2022. (didn't happen)

Middletons invited to William's investiture. - General speculation, September 2022. (didn't happen)

Oprah advising Meghan after The Queen's death. - Twitter, September 2022. (didn't happen)

Permanent exile for both Meghan and Harry by Charles after Harry's book is published. - TLF, September 2022. (Harry has had audiences with Charles several times after Spare was published.)

William to have a scaled-down investiture, likely to just be a church service of some kind in Wales with close family, no international guests or anything on scale of Charles's investiture. - Royal reporters, October 2022. (didn't happen)

Sussexes have begun divorce proceedings and separated. - SMM, October 2022. (didn't happen)

Meghan to invite Kate to be on the podcast. - Meghan's PR, November 2022 (didn't happen)

Harry suspending his lawsuits against the press means divorce is on the way. - Tumblr, December 2022 (didn't happen; no divorce)

Meghan to appear in a documentary about Beyonce. - Twitter, January 2023 (didn't happen)

Eugenie and Jack to move to Montecito or California. - Daily Mail, February 2023 (didn't happen)

Sussexes to sue Comedy Central and South Park for the Worldwide Privacy Tour. - Meghan's PR, February 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan and Harry to travel to Australia for royal tour. - Aussie Good Day, February 2023 (didn't happen, but they certainly tried)

Sussexes to lose significant chunk of money in Silicon Valley Bank collapse. - Twitter, March 2023. (didn't happen)

Harry involved and implicated in Aspen Institute's censorship of Musk Twitter takeover and he will lose titles. - Kinsey Schofield, March 2023. (didn't happen)

Sussexes to turn Archewell into a Hallmark-lite production company for cheesy romcoms. - SMM, March 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to demand invite for Doria to coronation. - SMM, March 2023 (didn't happen)

Harry to go to coronation without Meghan, Meghan to leave him after, on parallel to Trevor attending the Oscars without Meghan and her leaving him after. - Tumblr tarot, April 2023 (didn't happen)

Royal family to drop leaks about Meghan's behavior after the coronation. - Benjamin Smallbrook, April 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan snubbed Harry on the kiss cam at the Lakers game as precursor to announcement of divorce like when Diana snubbed Charles at polo. - SMM, April 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to resume acting, producing partnership with Mindy Kaling. - CDAN, April 2023 (busted)

Harry is unable to return to the UK until April 2026 for tax purposes in accordance with the Finance Act of 2013. - Lady C, May 2023 (Harry has returned to the UK several times)

Meghan to appear on Property Brothers IOU. - SMM, May 2023 (didn't happen)

Sussexes to be sued for the Diana car chase stunt. - SMM, May 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan and Harry to sue Backgrid for photos and videos of the Diana car chase stunt after Backgrid refused to participate. - Meghan's PR, May 2023 (didn't happen)

Harry to change family surname to Spencer. - Meghan's PR, June 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to launch a subscription box service - Page Six, June 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to partner with Hilary Baldwin on subscription box project. - CDAN, July 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to divorce Harry this fall and petition for full custody - DeuxMoi, July 2023 (didn't happen)

Harry started divorce papers in March when he went to London for pre-trial hearings. - Lady C, August 2023 (didn't happen)

Fergie getting a US talk show - Daily Mail, October 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan on RHOBH relaunch - Andy Cohen, November 2023 (didn't happen)

Meghan to appear on Aaron Korsh's Suits spinoff. - General speculation, January 2024 (didn't happen. And the show got cancelled.)

Sussexes to get a streaming deal with Paramount+. - Meghan's PR, January 2024

Sussexes to use Montecito burglary chain to justify downsizing, blaming it on security concerns. - General speculation, January 2024 (no downsizing)

William to receive throne in June 2025. - TikTok, February 2025

Fourth pregnancy for Kate at the end of 2024 - Tumblr tarot, March 2024 (didn't happen)

Sussexes begin divorce proceedings in January 2025 and Charles downgrades Harry's titles via LP to Earl of Dumbarton. - SMM, March 2024 (didn't happen; I think this was someone making fun of people's divorce predictions)

Harry to move to Carnarvon after Sussex divorce in February. - SMM, March 2024 (didn't happen; I think this was someone just making fun of people's divorce predictions, not an actual theory)

Harry's HRH being removed in Summer 2024. - TikTok, April 2024 (didn't happen)

Circumstances of Archie's birth revealed before July 1, 2025. - SMM, May 2024 (didn't happen)

William engaged in shady business deals during 2023; Kate's illness is a cover-up. Exposed August - November 2024. - Reddit, July 2024 (didn't happen)

Sussexes divorcing in October/November 2024. - Tumblr tarot, July 2024

Sussexes divorcing - Reddit, September 2024 (didn't happen)

Spencers invited Sussexes to Christmas at Althorp. - SMM, September 2024 (didn't happen)

Meghan partnering with Kardashians on sex toys - November 2024 (didn't happen; I don't remember where I found this...maybe SMM? Lady C?)

Scandal for William and Kate between July - September 2025. - Tumblr astrology, December 2024. (didn't happen)

Paid product placement for Meghan's wine at Wimbledon 2025. - Meghan's PR June 2025 (didn't happen)

Hypnosis isn't about whether something is real or not, but whether it feels possible.

Example: • "Your hand is going to magically stick" → this sounds ridiculous to someone. • "Your muscles are tensing and locking up" → that sounds physiologically plausible.

The difference isn't in the phenomenon. It's in the framework.

So let's talk about frameworks.

A certain Swiss gentleman obsessed with symbols once suggested that the unconscious responds to symbols that are credible to the psyche. If you're curious about who that was — yes, our friend Jung.

Let's recap:

The framework itself matters less than whether the subject experiences it as coherent with their worldview.

Jung and Erickson knew this well.

If someone believes in neuroscience → "we are activating other brain systems" works. If someone is in a narrative game → "the power of Anubis" can work.

From this perspective, the framework is a symbolic vehicle. Plausibility is an emotional bridge. It's not a guarantee of reality.

And when someone starts talking about the "art" of plausibility, one might ask:

Is it the art of facilitating understanding? Or the art of making something sound convincing?

Caution: This piece dissects the psychology of domination— how control consumes the one who seeks it. Engage critically. Shadows distort easily.

✦ ᚺ ᚢ ᚲ ᚺ ✦

A response to a question raised elsewhere

This is where the "art of plausibility" splits into two very different paths. The technique may look identical from the outside. The difference lies in direction — inward, toward the subject’s own experience, or outward, toward the operator’s agenda.

• The Art of Facilitating Understanding (The Path of the Healer/Teacher): ◦ Intent: To help someone access their own inner resources, gain clarity, or heal. ◦ Process: The framework is a temporary scaffold. It's offered with a spirit of "Let's try this on and see if it fits" or "Does this way of looking at things help?" The goal is to empower the individual to find their own truth. ◦ Plausibility's Role: It's the bridge to self-discovery. A plausible framework reduces resistance, allowing the person to lower their critical guard and explore new possibilities within themselves. The hypnotic suggestion "your muscles are tensing and locking up" works because it's a plausible explanation for an experience they are now having. It facilitates the experience of their own physiological processes.

• The Art of Making Something Sound Convincing (The Path of the Salesman/Demagogue): ◦ Intent: To persuade someone to accept your conclusion, buy your product, or adopt your belief. ◦ Process: The framework is a trap. It's designed to sound so good, so coherent, that the person doesn't notice the leap in logic or the lack of evidence. Plausibility is used to bypass critical thinking. ◦ Plausibility's Role: It's the gilding on the pill. A smooth-talking salesman makes an improbable investment opportunity sound plausible. A demagogue makes a conspiracy theory sound plausible by weaving it into a framework of "us vs. them" and "hidden truths." The experience isn't one of self-discovery, but of being led.

✦ᛉumeᛋᛇ✦

“Plausible” and “possible” are related terms but have distinct meanings:

Possible:

“Possible” refers to something that can happen or exist within the realm of feasibility or theoretical capability.

It indicates that an event or outcome has the potential to occur, even if it’s not guaranteed or likely.

For something to be possible, there should be no inherent contradiction or logical impossibility involved.

Example: It is possible for it to rain tomorrow, but it’s not guaranteed.

2. Plausible:

. “Plausible” refers to something that is believable or reasonable based on available evidence, knowledge, or circumstances.

It implies that an idea, explanation, or argument is likely to be true or valid because it aligns with what is known or makes sense in a given context.

Plausibility is often associated with a higher degree of credibility or likelihood compared to mere possibility.

Example: The explanation for the missing keys seems plausible because they were last seen on the kitchen counter.

Plausible. It’s a word that dances on the edge of reason and belief, often evoking images of smooth-talking salesmen or convincing arguments. But what does it truly mean to be plausible? At its core, plausibility is about appearing worthy of belief; it's that comforting feeling when an idea resonates with our understanding of reality.

Interestingly, the roots of 'plausible' stretch back to Latin—specifically from 'plausibilis,' which means 'worthy of applause.' This connection hints at something deeper: being plausible isn’t just about sounding good; it’s also about earning recognition for coherence and fairness in thought.

✦ · · · ✦

Hypnosis isn't about whether something is real or not, but whether it feels possible.

Example:

• "Your hand is going to magically stick" → this sounds ridiculous to someone.

• "Your muscles are tensing and locking up" → that sounds physiologically plausible.

The difference isn't in the phenomenon. It's in the framework.

So let's talk about frameworks.

A certain Swiss gentleman obsessed with symbols once suggested that the unconscious responds to symbols that are credible to the psyche. If you're curious about who that was — yes, our friend Jung.

Let's recap:

The framework itself matters less than whether the subject experiences it as coherent with their worldview.

Jung and Erickson knew this well.

If someone believes in neuroscience → "we are activating other brain systems" works. If someone is in a narrative game → "the power of Anubis" can work.

From this perspective, the framework is a symbolic vehicle. Plausibility is an emotional bridge. It's not a guarantee of reality.

And when someone starts talking about the "art" of plausibility, one might ask:

Is it the art of facilitating understanding? Or the art of making something sound convincing?

✦ · · · ✦

A response to a question raised elsewhere

This is where the "art of plausibility" splits into two very different paths. The technique may look identical from the outside. The difference lies in direction — inward, toward the subject’s own experience, or outward, toward the operator’s agenda.

• The Art of Facilitating Understanding (The Path of the Healer/Teacher):

◦ Intent: To help someone access their own inner resources, gain clarity, or heal.

◦ Process: The framework is a temporary scaffold. It's offered with a spirit of "Let's try this on and see if it fits" or "Does this way of looking at things help?" The goal is to empower the individual to find their own truth.

◦ Plausibility's Role: It's the bridge to self-discovery. A plausible framework reduces resistance, allowing the person to lower their critical guard and explore new possibilities within themselves. The hypnotic suggestion "your muscles are tensing and locking up" works because it's a plausible explanation for an experience they are now having. It facilitates the experience of their own physiological processes.

• The Art of Making Something Sound Convincing (The Path of the Salesman/Demagogue):

◦ Intent: To persuade someone to accept your conclusion, buy your product, or adopt your belief.

◦ Process: The framework is a trap. It's designed to sound so good, so coherent, that the person doesn't notice the leap in logic or the lack of evidence. Plausibility is used to bypass critical thinking.

◦ Plausibility's Role: It's the gilding on the pill. A smooth-talking salesman makes an improbable investment opportunity sound plausible. A demagogue makes a conspiracy theory sound plausible by weaving it into a framework of "us vs. them" and "hidden truths." The experience isn't one of self-discovery, but of being led.

✦ — — — — — — — — — — ✦

✦ Source: Yume Desu

✦ Date: 2026-04-13

✦ Status: Fragment

✦ Record: Complete