Hey Anon! I hope you donât mind me copy-pasting the answer I gave to someone else who asked the same question privately a few days ago. :3
First of all, the one with the gun that Soma mistook for Ciel was confirmed to be real!Ciel thanks to message he left on the wall and the flashback. As for the guy who finished the job, using knivesâŚ
itâs most likely Polaris, âSiriusââ butler or so he said he was in ch123, because the same knives can be seen in his room in ch117.Â
The question remains as to who Polaris really is, if heâs a new random character (brought back from the dead) or not, but we have no way to know for now (I was hoping the new chapter would confirm something so that I could make a theory but I will have to do without xD).Â
So weâll have to see for his real identity, probably in a few more months seeing the pacing lately, but you can definitely consider that Polaris was Agniâs killer, acting on orders from Sirius aka real!Ciel.
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This is purely theoretical seeing as weâre not even sure that the person who tried to kill Soma is Cielâs twin but, assuming it is in fact the Twin and that heâs after revenge against his own brother for what happened four years ago, Iâm wondering if Yanaâs purpose in having the twins confronting each other precisely in this arc isnât because itâs finally time for our!Ciel to reflect on himself and several choices that he made ever since their parentsâ death.
What I mean by that is that if Somaâs shooter is in fact the Twin...
...then you can feel his dead cold anger and vengeful intent through the violence of the attack against both Soma and Agni.
Even if Agni was ultimately killed by the other man, if the Twin is Lord Sirius then Lord Polaris, as his butler and Agniâs killer, is obeying him anyway, so if ch126/127 were all about the Twinâs revenge, then you can just see how angry he is at his brother, which is why Agni was killed so violently.
And thatâs precisely where the Twin could be different from our!Ciel, if thatâs indeed him.
After all, we donât know exactly what the Twinâs existence could have been like during these last 4 years and we donât even know what he currently is (BD-like? still alive?), but whatâs certain is that he wasnât surrounded by what was left of his family all this time, unlike our!Ciel.
And thatâs the thing, our!Ciel pretends that he only cares about revenge, that itâs the only reason he is still alive and I donât doubt that he actually really believes it deep inside, but at the same time, Soma is right when he says...
...that Ciel is aware of the love around him, but that he refuses to accept it.
However, if the shooter of ch126/127 is Cielâs Twin, then he wasnât as lucky as Ciel during the last 4 years: from being sacrificed to being... revived/cared after by the blue sect, he didnât get to be looked after by Lizzie, he didnât get to meet the same people as his brother who cared about our!Ciel even if he always pushed them away...
So maybe thatâs why his vengeful and murderous intent is greater than our!Ciel at this moment.
Because sure, our!Ciel believes he only lives for his revenge and he pushes people away because heâs indeed terrified of being happy, but at least he knows that he has people caring about him, which is not his twinâs case at all.
So if the two brothers indeed face each other in this arc, Iâm thinking it might make Ciel realize that Soma is right when he says that Ciel only keeps trying to be alone with his revenge, but he definitely canât manage to be doing that as well as his brother, since his brother truly has no one at all to divert his mind from revenge.
You could say that itâs as if Cielâs twin would be revenge personified, because thatâs truly all that he really cares about, whereas our!Ciel, despite inwardly believing that he only cares about revenge, might be lying to himself because âthe love around himâ ended up having an effect on him after all.Â
We already had hints before that our!Ciel was more selfless than he thought + that he lied to himself during the previous arc when he said...
...because he endangered his life more than once trying to protect Lizzie (amongst other things).
So facing his twin might be what will trigger more development for Ciel, because it might force him to realize that if he truly was only living for revenge (without a care of anything besides that), then he would be a lot more like how his brother currently acts.
Not to confound, I donât think Ciel will ever stop wishing for revenge, but reflecting back on all the choices that he made ever since his parentsâ death is an important part of his character development, and maybe facing his twin is the only way to trigger that (besides the involvement of Soma and possibly Lizzie in his everyday life).
Finally, if the twin really is all about revenge (as I believe he could be) then...
...Lizzie is probably used (or going to be used) as a way to hurt our!Ciel as well, just like it was supposed to go with Soma and Agni.
Maybe the twin intends on making Ciel experience what it feels like to really be alone, like himself was ever since he was sacrificed on the altar, while Ciel managed to escape and stole his identity.
Obviously though, Lizzie probably doesnât know about that part (and about Soma and Agni being attacked) and she stays with the twin because sheâs confused about his revival (?) and pained at the thought of our!Ciel lying for the last 4 years. However, there is a strong possibility that the twin doesnât care at all and sheâs nothing but a pawn in order to get to our!Ciel and hurt him.Â
TL;DR character development and self reflection for our!Ciel is probably a sure thing in case the one who almost shot Soma is indeed his twin and heâs looking for revenge against our!Ciel for everything that happened 4 years ago.Â
John Brown as the mastermind behind the Blue Sect and the recent sad events?
Disclaimer: Spoilers and long post. As such, this theory will initially be a little chronological to try and make the explanation simpler.
If any point is unclear, feel free to ask @thedarkestcrow or me about it as it is something we discussed together. :)
First of all, hereâs what we know about the current arc (ch127 happens mid-November 1889):
Bravat (whoâs most likely human) knew from the beginning that Ciel is the Watchdog (âEarl Phantomhiveâ), that Seb is a demon, that Lizzie is Cielâs fiancĂŠe and that the Starlight Four committed crimes at Weston.
Bravatâs sect is at least one and a half year/two years old (ch125). However, seeing as there was no hint of massive blood collects and death before August/September 1889, weâll assume for this theory that the 4 star lords were put in Bravatâs care at some point during Summer 1889, which is when Bravat started using the S4 to promote the Sphere music hall in order to collect as much blood as possible.
Othello said that, considering the anormal progress of the sectâs technology, a supernatural being is most likely behind it (ch119/ch125). This supernatural mastermind is very probably the reason Bravat knew about Sebastian being a demon (and about Lizzie and Ciel).Â
While the reason tying Lizzie to the sect is still unclear, weâre going to assume for this theory that Bravatâs mention of her to Ciel (ch123) might mean that sheâs seen as a possible hostage to use against him.Â
Lastly, about the 2CT: it seems like itâs almost confirmed.
Lord Sirius being Cielâs twin (aka Real!Ciel, a âbizarre dollâ) is a popular theory
Agniâs reaction when he found the burnt picture of Cielâs family (ch126) was quite telling that something was unexpected about this picture.
I hope all of this makes sense for you guys! Onto the theory about John Brown...
1) Going back in time...
...To December 1885, Vincent is killed and his sons are bought by a satanic cult that intends on using them as sacrifices in order to summon a demon.
In January 1886, Real!Ciel is sacrificed on the altar and our!Ciel manages to summon Sebastian, selling his soul to him in order to survive and get revenge. He then becomes the new Queenâs Watchdog in March 1886.
Fastforwarding a bit, ch125 told us that the old Lords whom Bravat used to transfuse regularly should have died more than one and a half year ago, meaning that Bravatâs sect has been at least existing ever since Winter 1887/Spring 1888.
A possible link to Ryanâs Aurora Society or the mysterious Osiris company mentioned during the Campania arc is possible but we donât have any hint vouching for it yet.
Fastforwarding again, itâs February 1889 and the Circus arc happens, resulting in a messy ending, with Ciel lying to the Queen about his report for this case, not knowing that the Double Charles and John Brown (as well as the Undertaker) witnessed what he truly did.
As a result, Queen Victoria organizes a grand punishment in March 1889, starring Charles Grey killing an important German lord and trying to have Ciel take the fall for the murder in front of witnesses. This ends rather well though, as Ciel manages to trick Grey and blame someone else for the murder.
In April 1889, itâs the Campania arc, where the Undertaker introduces for the first time his Bizarre Doll project, indirectly mass-murdering many people seemingly without a care in the world. He manages to run away, leaving his chain of lockets to Ciel and with Sebastian concluding the arc on...
They obviously did run into him again though, in June 1889, when they end up facing ameliorated BDs, because of several murders committed by 4 students (the Starlight 4).Â
At the end of this arc, Ciel makes his report to Queen Victoria, telling her about the S4â˛s crimes but also about the Undertakerâs Bizarre Dolls. Strangely enough though, she doesnât find Cielâs explanation to be senseless and once he left, this discussion about BDs happens between her and John Brown:
So, Queen Victoria seems to find the idea of having BDs as âalliesâ to be very fancy. And, as the following arc happening in Germany in August 1889 will show, it seems that Queen Victoria finds that idea to be oh! so very interesting because sheâs actually preparing for a war against Germany, which is also why she asks Ciel to bring Sieglinde and her latest deadly invention (the SULIN gas) back to England, so that Sieglinde can invent new war weapons that the Queen will then use against Germany.  Â
At least that was how the clever plan getting Victoria new deadly war weapons was supposed to go.Â
Because two slight problems arose:
the Undertaker unfortunately doesnât happen to be Victoriaâs greatest fan (most likely because sheâs the reason Vincent, and maybe Claudia Phantomhive, ended up dead thanks to the Watchdog duty), so trying to make friends with UT to get the BDs probably wouldnât work at all.
Ciel unfortunately saw through Victoriaâs plan for Sieglinde and the SULIN and he tasked Sebastian with getting rid of the very deadly gas in ch108, double crossing âhis masterâ by doing so.
Unfortunately though, Cielâs plan kind of backfired at him, since Queen Victoria and John Brown made it rather obvious in ch108 (late August 1889) that they saw through his little game, which means that itâs the second mistake (or act of defiance) that Ciel made as the Watchdog in less than a year, causing Brown/King Albert to...
...compare him to his very murdered father.Â
@thedarkestcrowâ and I (and other readers of course) took this as a rather serious threat against Ciel (something he probably realized as well), perfectly fitting with the theory that the Queen and John Brown might have something to do with the murders of Vincent and Rachel, for a reason thatâs still unknown. [x] [x]
In any case, while Victoria saw through Cielâs little game with the SULIN quite obviously, she doesnât appear to have punished him (yet?) and anyway, ch114 told us that she was actually visiting Sieglinde often, probably because she hasnât given up on Sieglinde creating something useful for her war.Â
As for her desire to get allies in the form of Bizarre Dolls, if the one who initially had the idea (the Undertaker) canât be found and convinced to help her, maybe she could ask another supernatural being to make them for her?
One she already knows; one she trusts because he comforts her when sheâs sad and missing her husband; one who knows about her war plans and who promised to protect her; one who traveled in record time from England to Germany without riding his horse and without triggering the traps in the forest; one whose eyes are always hidden, hinting that maybe they would give away his true nature should they be seen...
...Or maybe John Brown is making it all a surprise in this arc because heâs very dedicated to her...?
2) John Brown (and Queen Victoria?) as the mastermind behind this arc
Starting from here, this is all hypothetical, but maybe I should say now that @thedarkestcrowâ and I started considering that the supernatural mastermind Othello hinted at had to be someone who was not the Undertaker ever since Ciel became targeted in the recent events.
For now, itâs unclear whether Soma really was the target of the attack of ch126/127 or if Ciel was, but, even if the target was Soma, it most likely inherently had to do with Ciel.Â
So, considering the Undertakerâs attachment to the P family, we tend to agree with Sebastian when he once said that the Undertaker âdoesnât seem to want to cause [Ciel] harmâ. Besides, so far, the Undertakerâs BD project mostly was based on alterations of cinematic records, so the fact that the 4 Lords (if theyâre indeed supposed to be BDs) seemed to be dependent of blood always made us wonder why heâd change his methods now (especially after BD!Algares who was almost perfect).Â
However, John Brown if heâs the mastermind trying to âmake things go according to her majestyâs wishesâ (no matter what kind of supernatural being he is), wouldnât know how UT managed to create his BDs, so maybe thatâs why the 4 Lords seem to be different, needing blood when UTâs dolls didnât.Â
John Brown could also be behind Bravatâs technology ever since the old Lords started to be transfused at least two years ago, simply because Victoria is preparing for war and as Wolfram put it in ch114...
So after researching about blood transfusion, Brown used these important old Lords to experiment his blood transfusion technique by the intermediary of Bravatâs sect, thanks to the technology he developed as a supernatural being (that device that Othello was impressed with in ch125).Â
Brown as Victoriaâs footman and as the supernatural mastermind behind Bravat would also be aware of:
Ciel being the watchdog
Seb being a demon
Lizzie being Cielâs fiancĂŠe
the S4 having committed crimes and making for useful pawns.
Finally, if weâre saying that the blue sect is a cover for Brown researching how to make bizarre doll-like beings that will be used as war weapons, I know it does sound strange (if she is aware of what he is doing) that Queen Victoria deliberately put Ciel on Bravatâs trail.Â
So, this part is really a wild idea but what if it all was a part of her plan, because no one can know what she and John Brown tried to create using the Sphere music hall as a cover? After all, imagine the scandal if people were to learn that the Queen is indirectly responsible for bleeding to death a part of London, because sheâs involved with senseless experiments!Â
Which is why she asked Ciel to go investigate the Sphere music hall...
...even giving him the list of these old Lords that were being transfused by Bravat over the last two years...
...maybe hoping that Bravat purposedly endangering Lizzie by making her join the sect at the same time would be a good way for him to focus on settling this case with as much efficiency as possible?
Settling the case might not be what sheâs expecting of him at all... Rather she wants him to get rid of Bravat and his sect, Lizzie used âas a hostageâ being what should motivate Ciel to do anything to eliminate the ones who endangered her (and obviously Bravat wouldnât know that heâs expandable). And itâs not such a crazy bet when we see how Ciel solved most of the other cases given to him.
Of course, if John Brown has his own agenda (or if the Queen doesnât know that he might be supernatural), itâs possible that the Queen might not have known that Brown was trying to create the âbizarre dollsâ that they talked about back in ch84, hence why she put Ciel on the case.
That being said, considering how she didnât seem surprised that things as strange as Bizarre Dolls could exist back in ch84, if Brown is supernatural then she might be aware of it.
3) About the events of ch126/127
A really hypothetical part yet again, just to point out that...
...Whoever Agniâs killer is, heâs stronger than a normal human because Agni himself was a very good fighter and he almost couldnât fight back.
So, while weâre not 100% sure of who this man is yet (Lord Polaris? maybe John Brown himself?) and same for the gunman, it would make sense to think that theyâre linked to the Sphere music hall.
If the two men who attacked Soma and Agni are Lord Polaris and Lord Sirius then, if theyâre really supposed to be equivalents of UTâs BDs, maybe the fact they need a lot blood could also have to do with a possible enhancement of their physical capacities. That would explain the strength of Agniâs killer.
Take Finny for example. Do you remember where Finny is from? A German research institute that the Queen had Ciel raid, for the same reason she sent him to Sieglindeâs village. So if Germany had found a way to enhance physical capacities, itâs not impossible for England to have found it as well, especially since it would be very useful for war.Â
In any case, the fact that Cielâs house was targeted might have been for a simple reason: maybe it was a way to experiment if the âdollsâ (Lord Polaris and Lord Sirius in that case) were following orders correctly as well as how they would manage against a strong fighter like Agni (or maybe even Sebastian).
As for why choosing Cielâs house as the target of the experimental attack... well, maybe this (hurting Soma and killing Agni) is Cielâs punishment for taking the SULIN away from the Queen... Unless itâs an initiative by Bravat of course, because heâs tired of Ciel trying to stop him. ÂŻ\_(ă)_/ÂŻ
Thanks for reading and sorry that it was so long!
As always, this post could be totally off (the theory about Cielâs twin wanting revenge still holds, even if I just canât see UT as the mastermind behind the sect anymore after the events of ch126/127) especially since this theory doesnât completely explain everything, so please take everything with a grain of salt and feel free to share your thoughts about this theory if you feel like it.Â
Weâll see if this will go anywhere next month. :)
Could the shooter maybe be one of ciel's servants? That would be mind fuck
Hello Anon!Â
I still havenât read ch127, but nope, I really think the ones who attacked Soma and Agni in ch126/127 are Lord Polaris and Lord Sirius from the Sphere music hall, if just because the knives used by one of the two killers are the same as the ones in Lord Polarisâ room.
Besides, no one in Cielâs household has any reason to be murderous towards Soma and Agni, whereas targeting Soma & Agni to send a message to Ciel makes more sense coming from Bravatâs side, since Ciel is currently after them.
Sorry Anon, I just donât see it, even if I canât blame you for considering the craziest possibilities at this point, since we never know. :)
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1/2 Kuro spoilers: Wouldn't it be funny if the killer of Agni was Charles Grey? Maybe he, and another perpetrator, someone from the sect, went to the Mansion in hopes of getting Ciel, but when only Soma and Agni were there, he and his accomplice got angry, and went for Soma and Agni instead. Grey is a hot tempered, he's skilled with the swords, incredibly fast, even faster than Mey-rin's gun skills, and he has a dislikes for Ciel and some of Ciel's friends. I'm not too serious about the idea,
Hey Anon! And I donât know about funny (T_T) but I remember last month that I had briefly considered the idea of Grey, since Soma & Agni had met with the Double Charles during the Easter chapter.Â
That being said, the knives really reminded me of Polaris, even if there is no real certainty on the matter as long as Soma doesnât say whether we readers actually met those characters before or not. I also donât think Lizzie is involved with the events of ch126/127, since there is no way sheâd be able to kill Soma and Agni.
However there is one other thing that you said, even though you added youâre not serious about it butâŚ
See, while for now I think that the one who stabbed Agni might be Lord Polaris, Iâm considering that you might not be too far off about the Queen and about someone from her close circle being involved in this.
I promise that there is a detailed post coming up to explain, probably next week as Iâm very busy these days, but maybe you should be more serious about that idea. ;) Letâs just say that Agniâs murder convinced me that the Undertaker (the character we read about so far at least) couldnât be behind this, 2CT or not.Â
If you really canât wait or if you understand what Iâm talking about, Iâll try and finish the post sooner, so you and I can talk more about this idea. Itâs been a long time since I last wrote a serious post for Kuro though, so Iâm trying to make it as readable as possible, to avoid boring the few people who will want to read it. xD
Anyway Anon, I promise, more on the subject soon! I just want for everyone to read the chapter and to let people cope with Agniâs death first.
Thanks for sharing your thoughts! Have a nice day :))
Hey Anon! And wow, thanks for the explanation!
Iâll have to take your word for it though, since Iâm really shitty at symbolism but thanks a lot for sharing: the way you put it makes it sound beautiful despite how sad the entire chapter was⌠;_;
