What if Sister Location was the 2012 election...?

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What if Sister Location was the 2012 election...?

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In 2012, I seriously considered accepting an offer from the Obama campaign that would have required me to drop everything and move to somewhere in North Carolina for 4 months just to try to help beat Mitt Romney.
Do you realize how bad things have had to get for me to be genuinely frustrated (and worried!) that he's retiring and won't at least be around trying to talk some sense into his fellow Republicans?
We donât want to have a recount in any of the battleground states. Obama will steal it.
Donald Trump, 2012
I swear people here only get their news and political discussions only from low res twitter screenshots because its fucking showing and its bad.
Pollak: Barack Obama Wrote the Playbook on Political Division
Pollak: Barack Obama Wrote the Playbook on Political Division
Left-wing pundits have accused President Donald Trump of using his tweets last weekend to launch a divisive re-election campaign.
David Axelrod, former adviser to President Barack Obama, tweeted: âWith his deliberate, racist outburst, @realDonaldTrump wants to raise the profile of his targets, drive Dems to defend them and make them emblematic of the entire party. Itâs a cold, hard strategy.â
ThâŠ
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Editorâs note: Originally, I was going to save this quote until Bernie Sanders declared he was running for President in 2020, but I think thereâs enough evidence that heâll eventually declare now to confidently proceed with this write up - if he chickens out, I guess Iâll just have to deal with this post being thrown in my face for a while.
Todayâs quotation comes from Matt Taibbiâs 2016 US Presidential election campaign book, âInsane Clown President: Dispatches from the 2016 Circusâ - a volume that mostly consists of essays Taibbi released over the course of the entire campaign (Primaries and General Election) with some glue in the introduction and concluding portions of the book, to tie the whole thing together.
As those of you who regularly read my work here on Canât You Read are no doubt already aware, Iâm a big fan of Matt Taibbiâs writing - both in terms of style and the value of the content he provides. While nobody who can effectively work in mainstream media for over a decade should be trusted completely, I think itâs fair to say that Taibbi is, by the comparatively poor standards of his industry, an honest, rational observer of an institution (U.S. politics) that is anything but honest and rational. He is also, despite the numerous attempts to smear him, a fundamentally decent human being and that still matters a little bit in the world of American politics - although, maybe not as much as it should.
As for the book itself - Insane Clown President is ultimately a frustrating collection of writing; while two thirds of the book represents Taibbi at the absolutely height of his powers and easily ranks among his best work, the remaining third feels like a bunch of social media posts and fan mail cobbled into something resembling a narrative, then inserted into the book to fill out the page count. For example, while hashing out the rules of the GOP debate drinking game and conducting unofficial primary polls was probably a lot of fun for Taibbiâs followers on Twitter, it simply doesnât translate into an enjoyable experience when transported onto the written page - the effect is actually quite jarring and somehow manages to detract from the rest of the extremely high-quality analysis Matt brings to the table.
The upshot here, are of course passages like the one quoted above, from a chapter appropriately and presciently titled - âJune 9th, 2016: Democrats Will Learn All the Wrong Lessons from Their Brush with Bernie.â It is in moments like these that Taibbi seems to have his finger directly on the pulse of the class conflict between the voting public and the political elite (of which the mainstream media is effectively a public relations arm) in the United States. Unfortunately, despite Mattâs incisive analysis of the problems that would eventually define the entire 2016 election, the authorâs (somewhat myopic) attachment to a liberalized ideal of previous editions of the Democratic Party, ultimately prevents him from drawing the obvious conclusion his own writing exposes throughout the book - that Trump is going to win, because American politics and its political media, are both fundamentally broken.
Despite these issues however, Insane Clown Presidentâs most important contribution to understanding the current US political environment is Taibbiâs ability to recognize both swine emperor Trump and Bernie Sanders as symptoms of a populist insurgency waged not against internal factions within the normal framework of U.S. politics, but in opposition to the entire elite American ruling class and its institutions - our âestablishmentâ if you will.
Before I go any further into what this means for the 2020 Democratic Party nomination race however, Iâd like to talk a little bit about the false media narrative that the left wing populist movement behind Bernie Sanders is somehow âthe sameâ as the revanchist, reactionary right wing movement that propelled Herr Donald to the White House in 2016 - a narrative which is, in a word, bullsh*t. While both political phenomenon are motivated to some degree by a mistrust of, alienation from and even outright loathing of the U.S. establishment and its institutions, the reasons for that mistrust, the overall end goals and the origin point of these respective insurgencies are totally different.
The far right âpopulistâ movement that Trump was able to usurp during the 2016 Republican primaries, has its roots in Paleoconservatism and the largely AstroTurf, billionaire-funded conservative âTea Party movement.â It is a fundamentally reactionary movement, created by the rich to blame Americaâs ills not on deregulated capitalism and an absurdly greedy ruling class, but instead on the proverbial âotherâ - brown-skinned immigrants, Muslims, the gay and transgender community, women, African Americans, the Jewish left, political correctness, big government and most of all, the dreaded âsocialists, communists and liberals.â At its core, what we now call âTrumpismâ is a revanchist Frankensteinâs Monster; the result of decades of weaponized and fetishistic worship of American exceptionalism, white supremacy and the absolute rule of capital - the only problem for the architects of this movement is that Trump managed to hack the code and establish his own mini-cult of personality by being more explicitly fascist and hateful than they were.
The movement propelling Sanders to the forefront of American politics by contrast is a genuine, grass roots endeavor. Although itâs easy enough to make the argument that the anti-globalization movement, Occupy Wall Street, anti-fracking activists, and the Black Lives Matter protests have all provided inspiration and ideological underpinnings for this democratic socialist wave, the fact is that there is no unseen hand at work here; no billionaire backers, no guerrilla marketing wunderkinds, and no AstroTurf corporate media campaigns can claim responsibility for the phenomenon Sanders has helped embody in American politics. I say helped, because this too represents a key difference between the DemSoc wave and Trumpism; as a policy-focused movement, this new American left isnât just about Bernie Sanders and already weâve seen inspiring young leaders like Lee Carter, Rashida Tlaib, and especially Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez step to the front with their own democratic socialist message.
Finally, unlike Trumpism, this Sanders-inspired DemSoc insurgency is a movement whose policy proposals match their rhetoric; striving for economic equality, environmental protections, universal health coverage, increased educational opportunities for all, a restoration of democratic rights, better jobs with improved working conditions, the right to collectively bargain, affordable housing, ending mass incarceration, womenâs rights, civil rights, and yes, despite what youâve heard in corporate media owned by rich white people - ending racism and injustice against all marginalized people. Indeed, particularly on the issues of supporting Palestinians living under Israeli apartheid and ending American imperialism abroad, the movement Sanders helped to inspire appears to be driving him further to the left on the political spectrum; although not as much as some, myself included, would like.
In short, if Trumpism is about dragging the country back to a more explicitly white supremacist era, the movement Sanders helps represent is about establishing a fairer, more compassionate and more democratic America than the world has ever known - even under FDR.
There is however, one potential analogue between these two insurgencies and this is where I think the above quote from Taibbiâs book comes in; while there are no real similarities between Trumpism and the Sanders movement, there are a great deal of similarities between the ways both established U.S. political factions and their media minions have responded to an insurgent voterâs revolt.
In 2012, and fresh off the heels of a traumatizing insurgent Tea Party revolt within the party, the Republican establishment put all its chips down on making Barrack Obama a one term president. Expending what would turn out to be the last of their political capital, the GOP establishment managed to force through the Butcher of Bain Capital, âcenter-rightâ candidate Mitt Romney during the GOP primary process - a choice distinctly divorced from the anti-elite sentiment (if not reality) of a Tea-Party base now openly indulging in Birtherism and starting to warm up to, you guessed it, Donald Trump. It was the type of calculated bet the party elite would only have been prepared to make if they were sure Romney would win the 2012 presidential election, because they were essentially gambling that deposing the hated Obama would quell the rage their reactionary base felt at being betrayed by the GOP elite, embodied in the form of Romney.
In retrospect, it seems obvious now that when (despite all of Karl Roveâs rosy projections) Romney went down in flames, the GOP establishment was fatally fractured; having demonized Obama as literally an enemy of the American people, when the Republican brain trust failed to deliver his head on a platter that morning in 2012, they effectively lost the revanchist right whoâd powered their surge back to political relevance only two years before.
From the outside however, this was not immediately apparent; the Republican leadership quickly announced an election autopsy and soon enough the same people whoâd failed Republican voters in 2012 were offering their prescriptions for how to win the next one in 2016. Putting their mighty heads together, these elite GOP power brokers came back with arguably the only candidate more Republican establishment than Romney, Jeb Bush.
It was as we now know, a drastic miscalculation but one that should have been recognized long before Trump won the GOP nomination. When Party leaders lacked the ability to preemptively weed a wild and opportunistic seventeen candidate Republican nomination field, including, incredibly, a credible âcenter-rightâ candidate from anointed establishment GOP champion Jeb Bushâs *own* state - the writing was already on the wall for a party leadership group that was only keeping up appearances after exiting 2012 essentially politically bankrupt and broken.
Moving the timeline forward four years, itâs extremely difficult not to see strong parallels on the Democratic side of the ledger. Here too we see a party that barely staved off a radical insurgency by expending an enormous amount of political capital to ram through a highly-unpopular candidate, all the while dismissing the growing outrage from the left wing portion of their base as irrelevant because Hillary Clinton would definitely be the next President of the United States. After losing the 2016 election, the Democratic establishment quickly conducted an autopsy, made some vague platitudes about listening to the angry left-wingers that backed Bernie Sanders and ultimately decided to keep doing the same things theyâve always done before; just like the Republican Party in 2012. Yet, as the 2020 Democratic Party race opens, it is clear that the liberal establishment no longer has enough control over the party to weed the field, and prevent more than a dozen nearly-identical centrist candidates from splitting a vote that would otherwise be united under one candidate, preordained to fight off Bernie Sanders once again.
Can a broken, politically bankrupt Democratic Party hold off Sanders a second time doing essentially the exact same things that failed to hold off Trumpism on the GOP side of aisle?
I wouldnât bet on it - as beloved American author Samuel Clemens is often (and perhaps falsely) reputed to have said, âHistory doesnât repeat itself, but it often rhymes.â
- nina illingworth
You weren't a fan of Romney's candidacy in '12?
I'm an Obama guy from way back, but even in 2012, I wasn't horrified at the idea of Romney being President in the same way that I was worried about people like Trump or Cruz or Ben Carson in 2016. I figured he would have at least been competent.
But I was not a fan. He and his family were a blast to make fun of during the 2012 Republican National Convention. I remember saying that all of Romney's sons looked like "meteorologists from some mid-sized American city like Spokane, Washington or Boulder, Colorado" and that he was like a broken Muppet whose eyebrows and facial expressions never synced up with the emotions he was trying to convey.
But I wasn't scared of Romney, and I can't say the same thing about many of today's leading Republicans.
I was still pretty young during the 2012 election, so when I finally read Game Change and Double Down a few months ago, I was struck by just how preoccupied so many people were with Mitt Romney's Mormonism. In retrospect, do you think religious prejudice played a role in him losing the election?
You know, I donât really remember Romneyâs religion being that big of a deal in 2012, especially in the general election. I feel like it was brought up more during the primaries, but even then I donât remember it being a major issue.
Maybe Iâve just totally forgotten and it was a bigger issue that I remember, but the only memory I have of Romneyâs religion being a significant subject during the 2012 campaign was when Romney gave a speech about religious freedom at the George H.W. Bush Presidential Library. It was Romneyâs version of the speech John F. Kennedy gave to ministers in Houston in 1960 where he addressed the fact that many people questioned whether a Catholic should be President. JFKâs Catholicism was a much bigger issue when he ran for President than Romneyâs Mormon faith. In 1960, there were still many people who worried that a Catholicâs allegiance was to the Vatican before anything else and that a Catholic President could be influence, if not controlled, by the Pope. Romneyâs speech wasnât as memorable as Kennedyâs, but he did reference it to remind Americans that one fo the foundations of our nation was religious freedom and that the Constitution explicitly prohibits any religious test being required for holding office.
As Kennedy said in that 1960 speech on the âso-called religious Issueâ:
âI believe in an American where the separation of church and state is absolute, where no Catholic prelate would tell the President -- should he be Catholic -- how to act, and no Protestant minister would tell his parishioners for whom to vote; where no church or church school is granted any public funds or political preference; and where no man is denied public office merely because his religion differs from the President who might appoint him or the people who might elect him...That is the kind of America in which I believe. And it represents the kind of Presidency in which I believe....I believe in a President whose religious views are his own private affair, neither imposed by him upon the nation, or imposed by the nation upon him as a condition to holding that office.â
As I remember it, Romneyâs message in 2012 on the religious issue sent the same message and echoed the most powerful words from JFKâs 1960 speech:
âI am not the Catholic candidate for President. I am the Democratic Partyâs candidate for President, who happens also to be a Catholic. I do not speak for my church on public matters, and the church does not speak for me.â