After todays streams the big question that falls to us is:
Who is the traitor among the DreamSMP?
Okay so we can rule out a bunch of people as not being impactful enough to the main story. Dream has said it would be bigger than Eret which means it can not be one of the less involved people. This rules out:
Awesamdude (unclear side, not involved)
Alyssa (unclear side, not involved)
Antfrost (unclear side, not involved)
Callahan (unclear side, not involved)
HBomb (unclear side, not involved)
Thunder (unclear side, not involved)
Skeppy (unclear side, not involved)
We can also rule out people who have been on Schlatt’s side before, or at least been questionable. This rules out:
Eret (clearly favors Pogtopia but a second betrayal wouldn’t make sense)
Fundy (favors Pogtopia, again though, another betrayal wouldn’t make sense)
Quackity (may betray, but it wouldn’t be impactful, he is too connected to Schlatt)
George (favors both Schlatt and Dream, might not even show up at all)
Sapnap (unclear side, not involved)
Karl (favors schlatt, not involved)
Bad (unclear side, has swapped, favors dream/george)
Dream has said it would be bigger than Eret which leaves few people.
Niki: Now a Niki betrayal would hurt Wilbur, but it just wouldn’t make sense. She suffered so much under Schlatt and has only just returned to find Wilbur is not the same. Perhaps this would cause her hesitation, but after the festival, I believe she would stick by Tommy and Tubbo to the end. She is loyal (almost to a fault) and I doubt she would betray.
Tubbo: I firmly believe he doesn’t want to betray Tommy. Multiple times it has been set up as a “Tommy and Tubbo v. the world” and after seeing how the festival went, it would be weird to backtrack and try to switch back.
Now, for the main Pogtopia boys.
Wilbur: As has been stated by him, it wouldn’t be a surprise. He has always been outspoken of his master plan, even if he was the only one for it. You can’t betray a side if you aren’t really on it. He is on his own side of chaos. He is over this and just wants to end it all in one big explosion. In a way he has already betrayed Tommy. Even if he still fights for L’manberg, he doesn’t care about it the way the others do. He is not the traitor.
Tommy: A classic case of protagonist, I don’t think Tommy could betray. At this point his entire drive is against Schlatt in an effort to return L’manberg back to its former being. He has said he wouldn’t betray Tubbo, and despite having the perfect opportunity to betray Will, he’s stuck by his side. While he may not agree he doesn’t think Wilbur is too far gone. He wants to save Will almost as much as he wants to save L’manberg. Besides that, there is no way he would be able to do so much on the server and hide his true intentions from everyone. As much as this would impact everyone, there is no doubt in my mind that Tommy would never.
Technoblade: My thoughts are that it’s definitely Techno. He has been 100% clear multiple times about wanting to betray if too many people were on their side. He said “Which ever side had him fighting more people is the side he would be on.” When he joined, it was because as he was aware, it was Tommy and Will against the server. As more people revealed to be against Schlatt he has stated that he would rather fight on the team with less men, wanting more people to kill. Also, as shown at the festival, he clearly doesn’t care who is on what side. His only loyalty is to chaos. [Though it can be noted that he has shown to listen and favor Wilbur over near everyone else, even when faced against a mob of people still defending him and putting himself between Will and the mob. Perhaps evidence of loyalty?]
More evidence to point to Techno is the secret base under his secret base. Underneath his base when mining one of the walls he revealed a blackstone brick block. He quickly covered it up remarking “You saw nothing” and moving on. He later said it was something chat would have to eventually figure out. Sus.
As shocking as a Techno betrayal is, it would almost be expected. Will said in his stream, Techno has been pretty upfront about being on his own side. Not only is it obvious, fans have been cautious of it since the moment he joined. Despite the wariness, it would be one of the biggest upsets of the server, and definitely fits the narrative of being more impactful than Eret.
Having said that, I want to call into question the way Dream phrased it. “You may have traitors in your ranks.” It was odd and kinda implied multiple traitors?
I think Techno is an obvious traitor. I think there is only one person though who would have the biggest impact on the story as a whole.
Now hear me out. I am aware that he isn’t on the SMP. Despite not being whitelisted though, in the canon he exists and has affected the lore (more than some of the people on the server even). Now, why do I think that Phil could be the traitor?
Fans have been very outspoken about wanting him to get whitelisted. Multiple times they’ve trend #WhitelistPhilza and when asked Phil has said that he would like to join, and that he had asked in the past. No one from the SMP has commented on any of this.
Will's biggest thing he’s tried to push is the idea of “ be careful who you trust”. Despite his distrust and unease, the one person he hasn’t doubted is Phil. He has clearly shown to trust him, having said multiple times “I wonder if Phil would be proud?” He has mentioned this enough times to be notable.
Phil has said on his stream (in response to the question of “is he proud”) that he disagrees strongly with Will and his actions. When asked "What's the first thing you'd do on DreamSMP?" he said "I'd slap Wilbur, he needs to knock it off".
Think of the betrayal. It'd hurt so much more than Eret. They trusted Eret, but Phil? He is like the father figure to at least half of the Pogtopia members. Dividing the sleepy bois in the worst way possible? Imagine the angst.
Possible coincidence but the date scheduled is a Monday, when Phil streams. (Again, could be nothing, as he has streamed during multiple SMP events)
Finally, Phil and Techno team up. The return of the Antarctic Empire. It would just be so good. I want it so bad.
Now that I’ve proposed that, perhaps it's wishful thinking, but I predict Phil and Techno are the traitors. If it is not either of them, then at this point? I have no idea.
A bonus theory: What if Dream is lying? He said there is a traitor but with no evidence and after announcing that he was on the enemy side. Is he trying to warn them? Or trying to raise distrust and cause internal conflict all the while, there is no traitor? It is just like him to want to play mind games, can we really trust what he says?
