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Today's Document
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2025 on Tumblr: Trends That Defined the Year

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Tv shows are like
[stock footage establishing shot of a sunny day in Washington DC. Look you can see the Washington monument]
[cut to the characters talking on a park bench on a foggy grey day in Vancouver, Canada]
snapshots from 1922
Oh baby fight
See them jousting
So cute, I love it!

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Phoenixflare week day 1: Science/experiments
mermaid joshua be upon you, the companion fic to this piece will be uploaded later…i kind of havent finished it…yet
for the record im not technially 100% anti-AI, in the sense that its a broad category of tech being lumped under one umbrella term so it feels over-zealous to say i hate all of it all the time forever. but i also think trying to discuss what it actually IS good for is difficult right now when i cant take one step without something trying to convince me to use chatgpt to summarize my life and speed up my hobbies and turn my friends into chatbots and optimize my life into oblivion. i am certain there is nuance to the topic but can we stop cramming the square peg into the round hole before you start trying to sell me on the legitimate benefits of the square peg. please.
Neural Nets have existed for decades and are genuinely useful. It's a form of AI that recognizes patterns, and can do stuff like identify cancer cells, tell whether an egg is fertilized or not, detect fraud, and optimize routes.
Those are Expert Systems, tuned to do exactly one thing. If you (say) ask a medical expert system a question about financial law, it's useless. The autopilot that flies a 787 has no idea how to drive a truck on the freeway. A Coulter Counter is excellent at identifying lymphocytes in a blood sample but can't predict the next card in a blackjack game.
And so on.
The problem with so-called generalized AI (AGI) is that we don't have that yet. It doesn't exist. It MIGHT some day, but AGI has been "10 years away" since the 1980s. The goals keep moving as we learn more about how people and machines process data.
But the current crop of AI techbros have been selling generative Large Language Model AI (LLM) as AGI because generative systems do a good job of faking it. There's no actual thought going on, merely the illusion of thought via predicting the next word in a sentence accurately.
If you let a human toddler listen to 800 hours of YouTube car influencer videos, that toddler might end up sounding like a car influencer. They'd parrot horsepower numbers and 0 to 60 times, mention EV range and MSRP numbers.
But they wouldn't understand any of it.
That's ChatGPT.
And yeah, it's worse than useless because it doesn't even know when it's lying or hallucinating. It just babbles convincingly until you stop it.
But for techbros to make money selling that as "AI"? It's the perfect scam, especially if you don't understand how it works.
I fucking hate it.
I'm gonna say it: we NEED to start discussing AI in more meaningful terms. Tech bros advertising LLMs as AGI, and people against gen AI lumping all AI together are both not helping the current situation.
AI is the hype that's talked about everywhere right now. Every single conference I've attended in the past bunch of years has had programming about AI. It was very easy to distinguish the actually meaningful discussions from the ones that just wanted to ride the hype: experts specify what kind of AI they're talking about, while the hype people use "AI" to mean "generative AI/LLMs" (and if you ask them "what kind of AI?" they look at you like you've grown two heads, because "duh, ChatGPT!").
"Are you a young person for or against AI?", asked a popular Tumblr poll that popped up on my timeline no fewer than six times. Yeah, that's not a productive stance.
At my last AI workshop, the main consensus we reached was that 'AI' is too broad of a label that doesn't have a definition or specific purpose. It's more like one of those marketing names that strongly implies it is something else, but is also broad enough to fit a lot of categories (for example, what is intelligence?)
Since then I have been trying not to use "AI" because it is essentially meaningless. I am trying to use more precise language. If the conversation goes to ChatGPT, I call it a large language model, and if the person Im speaking to is still confused, I say 'you know how when you write your emails, sometimes they try to help you out by predicting the next word? Well, thats what this is except it just writes the prediction for you based on your prompt."
If it is about Gemini, I say it has LLM capabilities now but otherwise it is a bit like an interactive desktop that connects you to Google's many services from one place. Instead of navigating and clicking though, you speak to it - "Remember when you would speak to your phone and say 'ok google, please set a timer for 10 minutes'? Well...same thing, except now that is called Gemini."
I think it helps for us to talk about our tools (no matter how simple or sophisticated) based on the type of assistance we want, and that can remove some of the buzz around the marketing scheme.
Obviously we cant ever forget about the cost of using it, but I think that ought to apply to anything we consume, whether it is food or gas/coal, our own energy, water etc,. That doesn't mean trying to give up consumption and starve, or the other extreme of saying everything is consumed anyway so why bother trying to manage it, it just means having more understanding about what things cost in more than just money or in the immediate sense. This enables us to plan our needs better. We look at cost management anytime we make up a shopping list or distribute our time in a day. Knowing exactly what an LLM or our laptops or our heating etc requires from our society to get powered helps us make decisions about what services are most important to us and what we are willing to give up to have these provided.
For example, what LLMs cost in terms of water, energy, intellectual property, youth unemployment, in return for what it provides: saved labor on the rough first draft of a difficult letter, a faster way to search through a mountain of data, getting something summarized and spoken to you, etc. Then we can think "okay what is valuable and how much of that am I using/getting, and am I overpaying for this?" Obviously those of us more directly affected by unemployment due to bad tech will feel more strongly about it, but even those who think sacrificing a generation for convenience is a good idea will face the very real pain of that and re-evaluate.
I mean, all that was essentially just me saying "I think we need to be more informed about what we use in our lives and what that costs in more than just cash terms." Because once we know that, it will be harder to be sold the wrong product, or the fake product. On that note, yes the biggest threat is that a handful of tech companies control so much of our information and what we have access to, but on the other hand, that knowledge and information comes from us. We can do better at directly speaking to each other as long as we are going in equally willing to listen to each other (for e.g., I know theres many services I would never need or think of as useful, but are actually important to someone else, and vice versa).
> turns on my computer
> disables a new AI feature that was turned on by default
> opens my email
> disables a new AI feature that was turned on by default
> launches a software
> disables a new AI fea
Honestly, at this point, if you're still bitching about AI but not moving to open-source and nonprofit software/tech/services, you deserve it. Shut up or stop using it. Those of us who've put in the effort to switch to non-evil tech are sick of the purposeless whining.
I've been nicely letting everyone suggest open source on this post because it might genuinely be useful to someone but because you've decided to be a condescending little bastard- this might be a hard concept to grasp, but some of us actually have jobs. Some of those jobs also provide us with computers equipped with an OS we have zero say over, to use software we also have zero say over. Kindly get off your high horse and suck my dick.
As someone who has worked in IT for the past 17 years, I'd also like to say that there is often a higher barrier of entry for open-source software / operating systems when it comes to technical knowledge and ability, and those who can't jump that barrier still deserve to not have AI programs installed on their devices without their knowledge or consent. Someone who struggles with Windows is not going to be able to just hop into Linux, especially when they probably have other things going on in their lives and don't have the time to sit down and learn a brand new operating system. Someone who doesn't even recognize that there are different browsers, much less open-source ones that aren't Chromium forks, isn't going to be able to seek out one they can both a.) safely download, b.) install, and c.) use instead of the shortcut they know as The Internet.
And sure, you can dismiss these people as lazy, as stupid, as being elderly and so who cares. But from my 17 years of experience, I can tell you that technical instinct and ability varies widely across the entire adult spectrum. And I can also tell you that people have different strengths, and that just because someone isn't good with computers doesn't mean they aren't smart as hell.
And I can also say, again, that it really doesn't matter.
Companies like Microsoft and Google sneaking AI software into devices and software without the consent of those using the software or devices is wrong. It's invasive and raises major security concerns. People should not have to learn entirely new operating systems to escape this nonsense. It's an unreasonable expectation, and it fails to hold companies like Microsoft and Google accountable for their malicious behavior.
As a Millennial, I'm also going to point out that my generation (at least the second half of it) was taught in school how to use computers.
Gen Z did not get that privilege.
They were called "digital natives" and people assumed they'd "just pick it up" without ever considering that everything else we ever "just pick up" is taught to us. We don't just sing the alphabet one day, someone taught us the song and that the letters mean things. We don't just start talking out of nowhere, we learn it by observing how the people around us do it, which is why you do not see a Mexican toddler spontaneously speaking Chinese.
At the same time that we decided we could throw Gen Z to the digital wolves, companies like Microsoft and Apple started making their software harder to access. When I was a kid, we could (and did!) poke around our computers' virtual guts for fun. We learned to download custom desktop icons and screensavers and where to put those things to make them work; we ran Napster and Limewire and had to sort the resulting files; we had to know where stuff went because autosave didn't exist yet.
Today's kids and teens are not having that experience. Indeed, today's kids and teens don't know how to access hidden files because there's no toggle for it anymore. I met a teenager last year who had no idea what "local memory" was because her entire life she'd been encouraged to "save to the cloud." If she had to set up Steam she'd be fucked.
A lot of the younger generations literally don't know they can do this, because they've been let down by an educational system that decided you could learn computer literacy the same way you learn to walk. And megacorps have taken advantage of that all the way to the stock market.
For fuck's sake don't be an ass to people who don't know. Teach them. Or direct them to someone who can.
Somebody had to teach you, too.
dearly departed fung wah bus may she rest in POWER 🫡 obsessed with ayo's go-to bit in her last press cycle being the great molasses flood and this time around it's the fung wah bus. real bostonian representation 🙂↕️
now you gotta pay like $35 for a bus to new york and it STILL will probably break down and leave you stranded at an ihop in connecticut :(
imagine this 💭: open your eyes 🫵 CLOSE 'EM 🙂↕️ now open your MENTAL EYE 👁️ right? you are in a BUS DEPOT 🚏🚌 in the DEPTHS of boston chinatown 🏮🌆 you get the opportunity to take a $10-15 💸 bus that will take you to new york 🗽 in UNDER four hours ⏱️ sometimes THREE 🏃💨 it's like the concorde of buses ✈️ this thing's going a hundred miles— BIG bus, too🫸↔️🫷not a small bus 🤏 BIG ol' bus 🙌💪 HUNDRED miles an hour 💯 on the speedway 🛣️ sometimes? catching fire 🔥🧯 don't sit in the back 👈 don't sit in the front 👉 you will hit things 🧳⚠️ and things will hit you 🤕🔨 the bus? might explode 💥💥💥 THAT'S NOT YOUR BUSINESS ✋ your business is GETTING TO NEW YORK 🫡 and then you do :)
Last quest before bed?
Artoirel: "please look after Emmanellain while I am away."
Me: ...riiiiight. time to call it a night.

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Gambit and Rogue from last year
Been a hot minute since I drew these two~ ❤️❤️
Started shipping Artoirel and Aymeric in Endwalker but now that I'm replaying Heavensward and patches, I'm wondering how didn't ship them earlier.
I mean I missed a lot during my first playthrough because there's so much going on in this game to learn about and take in. (ARR Arenvald I am so sorry I didn't interact with you the first timw around. I didnt speak to any NPCs then bc I was just trying to figure out what to do and where to go! I'm not making that mistake again)
Thinking "what if" Emmanellain actually died during that first mission in the Sea of Clouds. I think Count Fortemps would have also collapsed, but in sad rage instead of the sorrow collapse he did for Haurchefant. He would have also blamed himself and Artoirel for not getting Emmanellain more battle ready.
Even before his "grow up" moment, there must have been very dark moments when Emmanellain got them to laugh against their will.
I have been thinking of Emm a lot lately, even though I dont love his character. His is just a very intriguing character.
Artoirel is never going to let either of them live this down. He's doing his best not to fall out laughing.

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FINAL FANTASY XIV: HEAVENSWARD ↪ The Final Steps of Faith
endwalker mage role quest summary
aymeric: For had you not vanquished King Thordan, or had I erred in but one of my choices... I may well have been the first to succumb to despair. To be reborn a blasphemy.
wol, really intense all of a sudden: You wouldn't have turned. Not you.
artoirel: hey guys im here too