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Most of this came to me in the shower in the early hours of December 25th — the doc with my planning was literally created at 4:44 a.m. It also joins a sizable list of my firsts with Heated Rivalry, as my first ever edit! 😄
More about my approach under the cut 😊
My Predictions Masterpost, Pre-2x08
For posterity at this point, this is an update on all my predictions after episodes 6 and 7! Here are the compilations from before the season, before 2x04, and before 2x06.
In new material is this promo.
THIS POST CONTAINS SPOILERS FOR 2x06-2x07.
I just finished watching the season finale and was thinking about how I would go comfort myself by watching something else less evocative, and how I'm alone through all of that, and then was like, but a bunch of people are feeling similar stuff, and they're online, where I can step in too. I want to write about that, but easily, for once, which fits how in-the-moment it is, so just pretend it's an eloquent expression of how endings of increments of content are a loss and always hurt and fandoms can involve a sense of socialization, community and belonging but their activities are SO time-sensitive that I wrote an essay for uni notably about their transience and how I've almost never really felt like part of any, as if I'm engaging with people's ideas and experiences from the other side of a glass wall and how they're kind of a full-time job that I've never had the characteristics or space to take on
Gonna go ahead and get ahead of the finale discourse, here are my opinions on the 00% authentic finale plot points that David Jenkins beamed directly into my brain.
It was a bold choice for the Ed and Stede sex scene to feature a full BDSM scene before we even got a vanilla scene, but I respect it
Say what you will about Izzy, but I thought it was cool when he took his horsey leg off and used it to beat Prince Ricky to death
Rory Kinnear is great and all, but I question if we really needed four Badmintons in this one episode
The full song and dance number was nice but it did not need to be half the total runtime
It was a bit on the nose when all the characters looked directly into the camera and said "wow! I can't believe we're all gay and trans! Trans people deserve support at all levels of society and anyone who thinks otherwise is a total loser and we hate you personally." Important and topical point otherwise though

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My Season 2 Bingo Pre-2x08
New from episode 6 alone are Izzy making everyone do a spit-take, as I knew he would, Frenchie playing a musical instrument, as I thought he might at the party, and someone getting an animal companion, specifically a goat 🥺
I'm pretty confident that whatever they're disguising themselves for will count as a fuckery, and the only other way I could reasonably get a bingo is through unconventional pirating technique, which I don't expect. So it's uncertain all the way to the end, which is my ideal scenario for a predictions bingo! 😄👏 Besides that, I think Ed might say that he loves Stede, just because it's the season finale 🙂
🎶 "Can you feel the ass tonight?" 🎶 🤭
My Predictions Masterpost, Pre-2x06
This is an update on all my predictions after episodes 4 and 5! Here are the compilations from before the season and before 2x04.
In new material are this ad and two BTS videos. There is too much information to make it all make sense *exhaling Spongebob meme*.
Once again, I'm sure I missed some brilliant theories from other people because I'm so darn busy, and now the latest I've been with these 🫢
THIS POST CONTAINS SPOILERS FOR 2x04-2x05.
My Season 2 Bingo Pre-2x06
New from the last drop are someone giving their love a gift, because Anne referred that way to the poison, so I think I have to count it, and canon WLW. That one was pretty much guaranteed:
Based on Izzy in the promo saying that whatever happens will probably just turn him on, technicality is the only reason I'm not checking off one more 😅
We might also see Frenchie playing a musical instrument at the performance they're having, unconventional pirating technique in the new conflicts, spoken Chinese with the return of Zheng and co., and Ed saying that he loves Stede, because episode 7 is pretty late in the season, and when I would expect a sexual scene between them, if there is one.
My Season 2 Bingo Pre-2x04
I only finished making it yesterday, so I figured, no point posting it blank, and I'll keep updating it after every new batch of episodes!
These range from almost certain to pretty unlikely, and I deliberately positioned them so that a bingo is not guaranteed 😏

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I figured my handy-dandy chart of the ~2x06-2x08 timeline should be more easily accessible than in my bulky predictions masterpost 😁 Keep in mind as well that there's Before Earring and With Earring for Stede.
My Predictions Masterpost, Pre-2x04
This is an update on all my predictions after the first batch of episodes! Here's the compilation pre-2x01.
In new promotional material is this ad; I haven't gone through all the photos on the Warner Bros. website that I haven't seen, because at a glance, they seem to give too much away. And as last time, I'm sure there are some great theories out there that I have to miss because I'm running late! Hopefully for the last time this season :)
THIS POST CONTAINS SPOILERS FOR 2x01-2x03.
Me @ the OFMD creators after finally catching up on the show, starting to look at viewer response, and quickly running into discussion of Izzy and Ed's relationship:
My Predictions Masterpost, Pre-2x01
This is a compilation of all my predictions prior to watching season 2! I'll post updated versions before watching every new batch where I'll round up what I predicted correctly and incorrectly and adjust predictions for future episodes. There are also some observations with no clear prediction in here that I want to remember in case I get ideas later.
I basically went through all the promotional material – the Vanity Fair first look photos, teaser, trailer, TV spots, photos and behind-the-scenes featurette — and wrote any ideas in chronological order. I did not watch the clip from 2x01, because that's straight-up the show, but I know in a sentence what it's about. I also read, like, a sentence from a review and ventured into the Vanity Fair article without realizing they're pretty spoilery; I pretend I do not see it, but I do, so
THIS POST CONTAINS SPOILERS FOR 2x01-2x03.
I'm sure there are many spot-on analyses and theories I haven't seen, but I figured I would use my own thinking first, and now I'm late. Plus the season premiered, so I'll stay out of everywhere until I'm caught up. I did get some ideas from this post by chaotic-neutral-knitter and this post by naranjapetrificada, which are galaxy brain (linking to my reblogs for my thoughts in the tags).
LISTEN
not only are they running towards each other (or fighting together, this might just be editing, but they're clearly there together)
but also:
Stede is wearing the same shirt here and he's lying on the sand!
I know we like to joke he's getting railed, but I'm thinking he gets wounded and Ed patches him up, give us that sweet hurt/comfort! And then they set up a campfire and Stede whispers to Ed that he loves everything about him and loves being near him and breathing the same air.......
(or, you know, he's getting railed after the battle)

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@chaotic-neutral-knitter suggested "eight predictions for eight episodes" should be a tag game and I could not agree more. You should read their predictions first because some of mine will also cover similar ground and because number 8 seems so perfect but literally hadn't crossed my mind somehow. Anyway here are my 8, which I honestly don't feel that confident about but I want to swing for the fences a bit:
I agree with OP that Ed's first scene will be crashing the wedding, but I would also buy it as the first scene of the entire first episode. Like with some lead up showing how nice all the wedding stuff is. My actual prediction is this though: I also agree that the auxiliary wardrobe's survival will be revealed in the scene we see with Ed playing with the cake toppers (💔) although I think that could be the final scene in the episode. I've made a song prediction in the past for revealing the auxiliary wardrobe but I'm not gonna put it here in case I get it very wrong lol. Rest assured if I do get it right you'll never hear the end of it.
I'm not 100% on this, but I feel like episode 2 will be when Ed goes overboard during a storm. I wouldn't be surprised at all if this is episode gives us all of Ed's Island Healing Journey, which is important but doesn't need to stretch across multiple eps given a) how little time we have in this season and b) how this show handles important backstory reveals, even for major characters. This is where Ed will have a figurative rebirth out of the sea, do some pining, and confront a ghost of captains past that's almost certainly Hornigold.
Unfortunately for the lovely parallel of them seeing each other in person in episode 3, I don't think that can happen yet on the tail of my prediction for episode 2. Maybe, maybe it happens at the very end but if it does, it won't be them running across the beach to each other (because as much as I'm hoping to be wrong, I'm starting to believe that is a dream sequence, which I can talk about in another post/send me an ask or something). [This is the one I feel the least secure about actually, and if I'm wrong I'm going to be very, extremely wrong. If I'm wrong it messes with the pacing of every other prediction on this list. If I'm wrong we'll get our beautiful scene where they run to each other, Ed will have to treat an injured Stede in The Cave, and they'll make up there. If I'm wrong I want to read a million fics about this anyway.]
I think this is when we'll meet Anne Bonney, and I don't think it's controversial to say that that scene we see of her in Stede's lap is just after she kisses him. Whatever motivation she has for kissing him will be something like making a point or proving something, most likely to whoever she looks at immediately afterwards (Mary Read maybe?). I also think whatever is going on, it will be funny because of the spit chain between her and Stede via Ed and Jack.
Anne takes the crew somewhere, probably the Republic of Pirates or following another lead? Or they come across the Revenge, and this is when they learn Ed has gone overboard. Izzy is unsurprisingly not into being captain because it almost got him killed last time, and this is the start of his begrudging training of Stede. Stede refuses to believe Ed has drowned and honestly, maybe Izzy feels exactly the same? Anyway if Izzy gets a redemption arc it starts here.
Ed has been exploring the island or doing some star navigation or whatever, and maybe he figures out where he is and a way to get to civilization again. I know a lot of people have said he's wearing Buttons' jacket in the scene where we see him with Jackie, but iirc Buttons's jacket isn't especially uncommon? Like what if he finds it on a dead body on the island? The camp looks like it's made of a lot of man-made stuff so there has to have been a wreck or something nearby. Anyway this specific part is important to me because what if it's the same episode where Stede gets his fancy red outfit? What if they both get new clothes in the colors associated with each other in the previous season? WHAT THEN DAVID JENKINS?
It would be so cruel for them to not reunite before this episode but they didn't kiss until the penultimate episode last time either. Maybe the previous episode will be what puts them on track to meet The Torturer under whatever circumstances that happens, and this episode will involve how they escape that situation. I think the aftermath of that rescue/escape will be when Ed and Stede see each other again, and I don't think they'll be falling into each other's arms immediately. This could be the party at Jackie's place though, and maybe Ed gets that fond look despite himself and later they get a minute alone to talk and that's when Stede whispers the whole "I love everything about you" thing and its devastatingly romantic and they finally fuck? But uh oh, we need the episode to end with a tiny bit of menace of some kind. Whatever is the Big Threat that's been haunting the rest of the season will be shown to not be quite vanquished yet!
We need a cliffhanger so whatever the big unresolved issue from the previous episode is will come roaring back to life. This is when we'll see Jackie wake up in bed with the Swede. If Ed and Stede don't fuck in episode 7 they will in episode 8, but it will be a much more bittersweet scene because maybe it's a "we have to separate again tomorrow to safely escape" scene or a "this could be our last night on earth" scene. It will be heartbreaking and we'll all spend weeks crying and screaming and climbing through DJ's walls, but it feels like there's a non-zero chance. If they already fucked in episode 7, we might get to have a nice romcom morning after scene as a treat, and to lull us into a false sense of security. Maybe they'll talk about their hopes for the future and be sickening (as they deserve!) before bad news arrives. Maybe the morning goes wrong because of everything still left to resolve between them and like Ed's not leaving leaving but he needs to take a walk because jesus Stede I can't believe you said that. And while on his walk Ed will learn something external has gone wrong because unfortunately, we do still need that cliffhanger. In the second act something has to get in the way of their happiness again, even if they've made up with each other (which I don't think one night can fix).
It feels so naked throwing all these predictions out like this and as I wrote I got less and less confident, especially about the order of events. But if I didn't like pain I wouldn't be in this fandom. Time to tag 8 people to do their own, assuming no one else has tagged you in the 1000 hours it took me to write this up: @saltpepperbeard @epersonae @chocolatepot @let-me-dream-with-the-stars @likethehotsauce @givefangapuppy @red-sky-in-mourning @knifeturtlelives