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@derangedchameleon
the mockingjay

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caleb wittebane hai
Love this artstyle :)
“If a society puts half its children into short skirts and warns them not to move in ways that reveal their panties, while putting the other half into jeans and overalls and encouraging them to climb trees, play ball, and participate in other vigorous outdoor games; if later, during adolescence, the children who have been wearing trousers are urged to “eat like growing boys,” while the children in skirts are warned to watch their weight and not get fat; if the half in jeans runs around in sneakers or boots, while the half in skirts totters about on spike heels, then these two groups of people will be biologically as well as socially different. Their muscles will be different, as will their reflexes, posture, arms, legs and feet, hand-eye coordination, and so on. Similarly, people who spend eight hours a day in an office working at a typewriter or a visual display terminal will be biologically different from those who work on construction jobs. There is no way to sort the biological and social components that produce these differences. We cannot sort nature from nurture when we confront group differences in societies in which people from different races, classes, and sexes do not have equal access to resources and power, and therefore live in different environments. Sex-typed generalizations, such as that men are heavier, taller, or stronger than women, obscure the diversity among women and among men and the extensive overlaps between them… Most women and men fall within the same range of heights, weights, and strengths, three variables that depend a great deal on how we have grown up and live. We all know that first-generation Americans, on average, are taller than their immigrant parents and that men who do physical labor, on average, are stronger than male college professors. But we forget to look for the obvious reasons for differences when confronted with assertions like ‘Men are stronger than women.’ We should be asking: ‘Which men?’ and ‘What do they do?’ There may be biologically based average differences between women and men, but these are interwoven with a host of social differences from which we cannot disentangle them.”
— Ruth Hubbard, “The Political Nature of ‘Human Nature’“
“what if kids identify with something and it ends up just being a phase-?” good. stop teaching and expecting kids (and adults honestly) to formulate permanent traits and ideas of themselves. everything in life is a phase. that doesn’t make it any less legitimate while you experience it. let people explore themselves and know it’s okay if what you think about yourself changes.
You are an unreliable narrator because your coping mechanisms for your deep-seated trauma forbid you from acknowledging the reality of the situation. I am an unreliable narrator because I sincerely have no idea what the fuck is going on.
," Katniss snarled at President Snow.

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Don‘t know entirely how I feel about Snow‘s casting in sotr… however I have to admit he gives off similar vibes as doctor Gaul in the tbosas movie. I like that. It‘s like you can see how she influenced him. But then Donald Sutherland should have had that same energy and I feel like he… didn‘t.
finnicks death being "unnecessary" is exactly why it WAS necessary btw
No casualties of war are ever „nessecary“.
Listen. I know Katniss loves Peeta. But some people say that the berries was proof of that. That Snow‘s whole „convince me that it was love“ behaviour was silly because it obviously was an act of love. She wouldn‘t just do this for a friend right?
Bullshit. Katniss doesn‘t need to be in love with Peeta. She deeply cares about him, that‘s for sure, but whether she loves him romantically or not is up for interpretation. Don’t tell me she wouldn‘t have done the same thing if it were her and Rue as the last remaining two.
You know the sad thing? Lucy Gray may have thought her performing for the capitol and showmanship could put an end to future games.
She was humanising herself. There was no such thing as sponsor gifts yet and she was already being sweet with the audience. In a sort of Maysilee Donner „If you let them treat you like an animal, they will, so don‘t let them“ way. They carted her to the capitol in a dirty livestock cart, threw her in a monkey cage in a zoo and starved her. Her way of standing up to all that, was to not let it show that it got to her. No amount of being treated like an animal would make her one.
She may have thought that, if she could show the capitol people that she was just like them, their empathy would kick in. They‘d feel bad. They‘d stop this. Maybe not her games, but future ones.
Fast forward a few years… and now the tributes are simply dehumanised in a different way. Forced to perform for, appeal to, and please their future murderers. All because of the example she set. The games continued because of her. Not in spite of her.
If she died in those woods, at least she didn‘t live to see it.
when they ask me about my roman empire but its an exploited brown teenage survivor of genocide, who is near-universally hated because of white women's projection of their toxic ex-boyfriends on him...
This is about gale hawthorne,
He watched his father die in exploitation, he watched his best friend's father die in exploitation, he took on the responsibility of 4 people, and then 6 when katniss was in the games, he watched his best friend suffer in the games, he watched his people get bombed and nearly genocided.
And you want me to think he's the villain for having his hatred for his oppressors exploited?
Gtfo my face.

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Haymitch trying to coach Maysilee and Wyatt into not scaring away potential allies in training. Haymitch being blatantly ignored. Haymitch watching them behave as their natural selves, no performance, and touching people anyway.
Feels familiar.
No but imagine Silka’s last moments thinking she was going to win. She missed home, she was terrified, so much that she even cried for it. I think is one of the few examples where we read about the careers not being killers, but kids. It also says a lot about Haymitch as a narrator; he saw this human side on every other tribute. Unlike Katniss (and probably thanks to his different upbringing), he started the game as a fighter, not as a survivor. He never intended to win, so he didn’t see the others as his enemies, but rather as other people trapped in the same fate as him. He didn’t want to win, so he could afford to be empathic, could afford to be kind.
As of Silka, she accepted his chocolate (a true, kind gesture). She was vulnerable but he didn’t take advantage of that, even if he could. It was one of the many ways he painted his poster: by being human.
She knew the only thing that stood before her and her home was Haymitch and Wellie. How it must have felt when she felt the dart and saw her. Silka was probably erratic, traumatised, shocked (of all she had seen) and relieved as well. The way Haymitch describes her in the last fight it sounds as if she was having some sort of panic induced episode, or even psychotic. She probably was barely aware of what she was doing and acting on instinct and survival need. When the axe bounced back she was so close to killing Haymitch, of winning the games, that she probably could taste of home.
You know. Snow letting Haymitch survive the games never really made sense to me. That boy was so rebellious, murdering his entire family risked him burning everything to the ground just as much as him collapsing into the depressed, suicidal man we meet in the original trilogy.
I used to hold on to the belief that Snow purposefully kept Haymitch around to torment him for „i hate the covey so much“ reasons. And there‘s probably some of that. But this man hasn‘t been in power for close to 40 years by being a fool and so easily influenced.
So follow me on my ramble as I try to figure this out.
1) Right after the flooding:
Something slipped onto the live cameras while Haymitch flooded the arena. Something that‘d made some people maybe suspect that Haymitch was up to more than just some harmless rascal mischief. If there‘s a five minute delay in the districts I‘m sure there‘s a five minute delay in the arena. But maybe something still slipped by. So the gamemakers targeting him right then might emphasize that. Then again… they targeted Ampert right then. And he was doing the rebelliousness right along with Haymitch. Maybe Haymitch not getting targeted soon after the flooding simply had to do with the fact that Ampert already had mutts preprogrammed for him, and the gamemakers would need a little bit to program some mutts for Haymitch. Ampert was always gonna die by squirrel.
2) The „they needed time to program mutts“ theory falls apart during the next part of the games. Haymitch is alone. Trapped in a gamemaker maze trying to find the North of the arena. What better time to torture him to death gruesomely? I guess one explanation for this is that the gamemakers were all scrambling to make sure the arena didn‘t combust while making sure the cameras didn‘t catch any of it. So any deaths that happened between Ampert (the arena flooding) and the porcupine attack was natural and not gamemaker orchestrated. Because they were so preoccupied.
3) Haymitch takes out two careers. His popularity with the audience soars. People love him. Leaving Snow and the gamemakers hesitant to take him out just yet. He‘s also with Maysilee now, who has been proven to be lethal with her blowgun. She‘s most likely also popular. For the sake of the show, they let the alliance be.
4) Once only Haymitch, Maysilee, Maritte, Silka and Wellie are left, the gamemakers know. Maritte or Silka will be the victor. Haymitch and Maysilee have been talking so much shit. And Wellie? She‘s dying up that tree. For her to win either the other tributes wound each other so mortally they all die before Wellie does, or the gamemakers would need to take out all four of the other tributes themselves. And why do that? What a let down ending for the 50th Hunger Games. But then Maritte and Maysilee kill the gamemaker teens. And therefore immediately eliminate themselves from being potential victors and mark themselves for death.
5) Haymitch‘s popularity wouldn‘t save him from here on out. I‘m sure Maritte was hugely popular (girl scored a Katniss level 11 in training). They targeted her anyway. So I think what was going on here, was indeed a mixture between „We need an epic final showdown to end the 50th. It can‘t be Maysilee or Maritte, and Wellie isn‘t going to give us that anyway. So we leave Haymitch alive for that. Haymitch froze and didn’t attack the gamemakers. IF he wins… he can propably be subdued into implicite submission. The other two? Absolutely not.
Here I think Snow‘s weird fascination with Haymitch also comes into play. We’ve seen Snow do silly things filled with hubris to prove his own little theory of „everyone kills everyone when it comes down to it“ before. That’s what the whole „two can win! oops nevermind, guess you have to kill eachother afterall!“ business was all about in the originals. He wanted to prove to people that this is what humanity is. But he also wanted to prove it to himself, especially because Katniss was covey, projecting Lucy Gray onto her. I‘m not saying the „two can win“ came in to play exlusively because of Katniss. Afterall, Cato and Clove could have been the last survivors. But oh was it convenient when Peeta and Katniss were the final pair.
In Haymitch‘s case though, it may not even entirely a covey motivated thing. At least not as much as with Katniss. Afterall, Haymitch isn‘t covey. Yes the covey connection got his attention. But now? Now I think it‘s about Haymitch himself. Snow wants to manipulate this kid. That‘s what the milk pitcher was. The milk wasn‘t an outright „kill yourself“ order. It was a way to trap Haymitch. Because if he drank the milk, that would ruin his image of „I‘m doing my absolute best to save Wellie“ and if he gave it to her… well his image would be intact, but Wellie would die. Snow wanted to watch Haymitch struggle. He wanted to trap him psychologically. I do think Snow thought Haymitch would end up drinking it. He‘s seen how much of a bleeding heart Haymitch is and how attached he gets to the kids this entire games through. Haymitch would rather mess up his image than kill Wellie.
6) Once Wellie dies, the final showdown begins. The Gamemakers don‘t want to intervene here. They want to show this entire battle and if they send in mutts to target Haymitch that would be so, SO obvious. So they let it play out.
7) Haymitch is the victor. And they need their victor. Well shit. Now Snow REALLY has to do everything in his power to make sure he breaks this 16 year old‘s mind (in the direction of submission, not setting the world on fire) And you know what? Him hesitating to kill gamemakers, plus his bleeding heart? Doesn‘t make it seem all that impossible. Snow breaks Haymitch. And is so confident in his success… he ignores the man entirely. For the next 25 years.
Too bad for him he didn‘t break Haymitch to 100%. I believe it was Haymitch‘s bleeding heart that woke him up again in the end. Some people believe that Haymitch was involved in the rebellion for a long time. I don‘t. I think he knew about it (he got many invitations from Plutarch over the years) but never actually joined. Until after the 74th. Burdock‘s daughter with his Sweetheart‘s braids, Lenore Dove‘s voice, Maysilee‘s pin. Plus an actual decent chance at winning? That couldn‘t not wake up his old instinct of „keep the others alive in the arena“. And when Katniss pulled out those berries? Haymitch was going to do everything in his power to make sure she did not end up like him. That she‘d have a better future than him. But she never, ever would now. Not while the capitol still stands. Not while the sun keeps rising on the reaping.
Rereading this. I am finding some internal inconsistencies. I am going on a rant again to figure this out (writing it out really helps)
So to summarise… the conclusion I came to was:
Ampert was eliminated immediately after the arena flooding. He was going to die by squirrel anyway, but this action might have brought it on sooner. The reason Haymitch wasn‘t taken out, as Snow promised he would be, was because there were no mutts already programmed for him that could simply be released at the press of a button. The gamemakers were too preoccupied trying to keep the arena running and have none of the cameras catch anything, to focus on killing Haymitch for a good while after.
This makes sense to me. No contradictions here.
It‘s from here on forward where my theories start contradicting eachother.
I can‘t decide if Snow wanted to ever risk Haymitch being a victor or not, or if he always intended to kill him. Because sending the milk (which he knew Haymitch would drink) was obviously him trying to kill Haymitch. Snow isn‘t all knowing however much he may try to claim he is. Not even he could have predicted that Silka would interrupt Haymitch poisoning himself.
So. He did want Haymitch dead. But then… why wait so long?
An explanation I give in the previous post is „For the show“. Okay… maybe earlier on when there were still more tributes left and Haymitch was popular for managing to kill careers.
But why risk him becoming a victor later on? When it‘s just him, Maysilee, Silka, Maritte and Wellie? I argue in the previous post that it‘s because Snow has to kill Maritte and Maysilee after they kill the gamemaker teens, and Wellie vs. Silka would hardly be an entertaining finale.
But then why the milk? They could have hardly shown Haymitch getting poisoned by a sponsor gift. They probably would have explained it away with him eating something or other else (not sure how they thought anyone would have bought it though since Haymitch had been very careful with what he ate this entire game) and then showed him dying slowly and painfully in gruesome detail, as Snow promised.
But. Then my theory of „keeping him for the finale“ makes no sense.
So my current conclusion is… Snow was not intending on keeping Haymitch for the finale at all. He had to kill Maritte. He had to kill Maysilee. He had to kill Haymitch. But he devised his own special psychological trap to torment Haymitch specifically. To pay him back for his personal rebellion against Snow. Maysilee? Maritte? They rebelled against the capitol as a whole. Not against Snow personally, the way Haymitch did by showing him Louella‘s body and by drinking all the milk in Plutarch‘s mansion.
Snow didn‘t „let“ Haymitch win. We just get that impression (or at least I did) because Snow so clearly seemed to come out the winner in this scenario. He seemed so in control. Gloating. Reveling in tormenting Haymitch, with the recording of Lucy Gray, wishing him a happy homecoming, locking him in a cage.
But if you look at it from the angle of: Haymitch wasn‘t supposed to win. Haymitch was supposed to die. Snow wanted him to die. And he did. Not. Die. Haymitch living, was outside of Snow‘s controll. A loss of controll. The exact thing that we know Snow fears above all else. Controll, the thing he needs to feel safe and like he will never be that scared helpless little kid from the dark ages again.
No one else would have looked at this scenario and thought „Snow lost“. No one else really knew about the personal Haymitch-Snow beef. But Snow did. And Snow could not stand there and let Haymitch be the victor, not in a „victor of the Hunger Games“ sense, but a victor over Snow. And him not dying when Snow wanted him to? That would be him winning.
Yes, he had to torment Haymitch into depression and never rising against Snow/the capitol again. But I think simply murdering everyone Haymitch cared about would have been enough for that.
The rest? The Lucy Gray recording? The diet of milk and bread? The „Happy Homecoming“ comment? The golden birdcage? Haymitch already knew everyone he cared about was at risk. He didn‘t need Snow to remind him so he would behave. This extra torment? This was for Snow‘s own personal satisfaction. To prove to himself that yes, HE was the victor here. Not Haymitch. HE is having fun here at Haymitch‘s expense. HE is making Haymitch suffer, because HE is in controll dammit.
And Snow kept making sure that he won over Haymitch over and over again, by turning him into a tool to scare off other victors from following in his rebellious footsteps.
Katniss being frightened to death that any action she takes will come back to her family? She may not know it consciously, but at least part of that is because of what happened to Haymitch. Not all of it of course. There is still just regular people getting punished for regular things, but Haymitch‘s meer existence is a reminder to the people of what happens if you mess up. Probably not explicitely, it was too long ago by Katniss‘ time. But in Haymitch’s time everyone knew that fire wasn‘t an accident and that Lenore Dove didn‘t die by appendicitis. District 12 has a clear, vivid example of what happens when you mess up and it got ingrained into the society. Katniss and District 12 being frightened to death? That‘s Snow winning and regaining controll. Finnick not fighting back, because he has a breathing example of what happens if he does? Snow winning and regaining controll.
Every action Snow takes regarding Haymitch after he wins comes back to Snow not having been in controll, and proving to himself that he is now. Maybe even convince himself that this was what he always wanted. Afterall, Haymitch is a perfect little deterrent now. What more could Snow have wanted?
I keep adding more stuff. Sorry not sorry. I know it‘s been pointed out before that Haymitch was sent off to die out in the wild like the Jabberjay.
Well. In this he‘s already the Jabberjay in the arena. Snow sent him into the arena to die (I mean he was going to do that anyway but before Haymitch started being rebellious Snow wasn‘t exactly going to intervene if Haymitch did win). Snow hated the Mockingjays for what they represented. A continuation of the Jabberjay that was supposed to die out. A loss of controll. Haymitch refused to die (on accident), just like the Jabberjay, and Snow hated that I‘m sure.
OKAY HERE ARE MY LONG AWAITED SOTR TRAILER THOUGHTS
I HAVE MORE THOUGHTS, SO MANY THOUGHTS SO PLEAAAASE YAP WITH ME ABOUT THIS
i took these notes while watching the trailer again and stop/starting it every 2 seconds
the potato was implied, but we got you covered
THIS is how you do a canon-accurate late-night potato battery-lit convo on screen

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Wait, is the chariot parade IN the arena of the games up until the 10th games?? Do my eyes deceive me?
You know. Snow letting Haymitch survive the games never really made sense to me. That boy was so rebellious, murdering his entire family risked him burning everything to the ground just as much as him collapsing into the depressed, suicidal man we meet in the original trilogy.
I used to hold on to the belief that Snow purposefully kept Haymitch around to torment him for „i hate the covey so much“ reasons. And there‘s probably some of that. But this man hasn‘t been in power for close to 40 years by being a fool and so easily influenced.
So follow me on my ramble as I try to figure this out.
1) Right after the flooding:
Something slipped onto the live cameras while Haymitch flooded the arena. Something that‘d made some people maybe suspect that Haymitch was up to more than just some harmless rascal mischief. If there‘s a five minute delay in the districts I‘m sure there‘s a five minute delay in the arena. But maybe something still slipped by. So the gamemakers targeting him right then might emphasize that. Then again… they targeted Ampert right then. And he was doing the rebelliousness right along with Haymitch. Maybe Haymitch not getting targeted soon after the flooding simply had to do with the fact that Ampert already had mutts preprogrammed for him, and the gamemakers would need a little bit to program some mutts for Haymitch. Ampert was always gonna die by squirrel.
2) The „they needed time to program mutts“ theory falls apart during the next part of the games. Haymitch is alone. Trapped in a gamemaker maze trying to find the North of the arena. What better time to torture him to death gruesomely? I guess one explanation for this is that the gamemakers were all scrambling to make sure the arena didn‘t combust while making sure the cameras didn‘t catch any of it. So any deaths that happened between Ampert (the arena flooding) and the porcupine attack was natural and not gamemaker orchestrated. Because they were so preoccupied.
3) Haymitch takes out two careers. His popularity with the audience soars. People love him. Leaving Snow and the gamemakers hesitant to take him out just yet. He‘s also with Maysilee now, who has been proven to be lethal with her blowgun. She‘s most likely also popular. For the sake of the show, they let the alliance be.
4) Once only Haymitch, Maysilee, Maritte, Silka and Wellie are left, the gamemakers know. Maritte or Silka will be the victor. Haymitch and Maysilee have been talking so much shit. And Wellie? She‘s dying up that tree. For her to win either the other tributes wound each other so mortally they all die before Wellie does, or the gamemakers would need to take out all four of the other tributes themselves. And why do that? What a let down ending for the 50th Hunger Games. But then Maritte and Maysilee kill the gamemaker teens. And therefore immediately eliminate themselves from being potential victors and mark themselves for death.
5) Haymitch‘s popularity wouldn‘t save him from here on out. I‘m sure Maritte was hugely popular (girl scored a Katniss level 11 in training). They targeted her anyway. So I think what was going on here, was indeed a mixture between „We need an epic final showdown to end the 50th. It can‘t be Maysilee or Maritte, and Wellie isn‘t going to give us that anyway. So we leave Haymitch alive for that. Haymitch froze and didn’t attack the gamemakers. IF he wins… he can propably be subdued into implicite submission. The other two? Absolutely not.
Here I think Snow‘s weird fascination with Haymitch also comes into play. We’ve seen Snow do silly things filled with hubris to prove his own little theory of „everyone kills everyone when it comes down to it“ before. That’s what the whole „two can win! oops nevermind, guess you have to kill eachother afterall!“ business was all about in the originals. He wanted to prove to people that this is what humanity is. But he also wanted to prove it to himself, especially because Katniss was covey, projecting Lucy Gray onto her. I‘m not saying the „two can win“ came in to play exlusively because of Katniss. Afterall, Cato and Clove could have been the last survivors. But oh was it convenient when Peeta and Katniss were the final pair.
In Haymitch‘s case though, it may not even entirely a covey motivated thing. At least not as much as with Katniss. Afterall, Haymitch isn‘t covey. Yes the covey connection got his attention. But now? Now I think it‘s about Haymitch himself. Snow wants to manipulate this kid. That‘s what the milk pitcher was. The milk wasn‘t an outright „kill yourself“ order. It was a way to trap Haymitch. Because if he drank the milk, that would ruin his image of „I‘m doing my absolute best to save Wellie“ and if he gave it to her… well his image would be intact, but Wellie would die. Snow wanted to watch Haymitch struggle. He wanted to trap him psychologically. I do think Snow thought Haymitch would end up drinking it. He‘s seen how much of a bleeding heart Haymitch is and how attached he gets to the kids this entire games through. Haymitch would rather mess up his image than kill Wellie.
6) Once Wellie dies, the final showdown begins. The Gamemakers don‘t want to intervene here. They want to show this entire battle and if they send in mutts to target Haymitch that would be so, SO obvious. So they let it play out.
7) Haymitch is the victor. And they need their victor. Well shit. Now Snow REALLY has to do everything in his power to make sure he breaks this 16 year old‘s mind (in the direction of submission, not setting the world on fire) And you know what? Him hesitating to kill gamemakers, plus his bleeding heart? Doesn‘t make it seem all that impossible. Snow breaks Haymitch. And is so confident in his success… he ignores the man entirely. For the next 25 years.
Too bad for him he didn‘t break Haymitch to 100%. I believe it was Haymitch‘s bleeding heart that woke him up again in the end. Some people believe that Haymitch was involved in the rebellion for a long time. I don‘t. I think he knew about it (he got many invitations from Plutarch over the years) but never actually joined. Until after the 74th. Burdock‘s daughter with his Sweetheart‘s braids, Lenore Dove‘s voice, Maysilee‘s pin. Plus an actual decent chance at winning? That couldn‘t not wake up his old instinct of „keep the others alive in the arena“. And when Katniss pulled out those berries? Haymitch was going to do everything in his power to make sure she did not end up like him. That she‘d have a better future than him. But she never, ever would now. Not while the capitol still stands. Not while the sun keeps rising on the reaping.
Rereading this. I am finding some internal inconsistencies. I am going on a rant again to figure this out (writing it out really helps)
So to summarise… the conclusion I came to was:
Ampert was eliminated immediately after the arena flooding. He was going to die by squirrel anyway, but this action might have brought it on sooner. The reason Haymitch wasn‘t taken out, as Snow promised he would be, was because there were no mutts already programmed for him that could simply be released at the press of a button. The gamemakers were too preoccupied trying to keep the arena running and have none of the cameras catch anything, to focus on killing Haymitch for a good while after.
This makes sense to me. No contradictions here.
It‘s from here on forward where my theories start contradicting eachother.
I can‘t decide if Snow wanted to ever risk Haymitch being a victor or not, or if he always intended to kill him. Because sending the milk (which he knew Haymitch would drink) was obviously him trying to kill Haymitch. Snow isn‘t all knowing however much he may try to claim he is. Not even he could have predicted that Silka would interrupt Haymitch poisoning himself.
So. He did want Haymitch dead. But then… why wait so long?
An explanation I give in the previous post is „For the show“. Okay… maybe earlier on when there were still more tributes left and Haymitch was popular for managing to kill careers.
But why risk him becoming a victor later on? When it‘s just him, Maysilee, Silka, Maritte and Wellie? I argue in the previous post that it‘s because Snow has to kill Maritte and Maysilee after they kill the gamemaker teens, and Wellie vs. Silka would hardly be an entertaining finale.
But then why the milk? They could have hardly shown Haymitch getting poisoned by a sponsor gift. They probably would have explained it away with him eating something or other else (not sure how they thought anyone would have bought it though since Haymitch had been very careful with what he ate this entire game) and then showed him dying slowly and painfully in gruesome detail, as Snow promised.
But. Then my theory of „keeping him for the finale“ makes no sense.
So my current conclusion is… Snow was not intending on keeping Haymitch for the finale at all. He had to kill Maritte. He had to kill Maysilee. He had to kill Haymitch. But he devised his own special psychological trap to torment Haymitch specifically. To pay him back for his personal rebellion against Snow. Maysilee? Maritte? They rebelled against the capitol as a whole. Not against Snow personally, the way Haymitch did by showing him Louella‘s body and by drinking all the milk in Plutarch‘s mansion.
Snow didn‘t „let“ Haymitch win. We just get that impression (or at least I did) because Snow so clearly seemed to come out the winner in this scenario. He seemed so in control. Gloating. Reveling in tormenting Haymitch, with the recording of Lucy Gray, wishing him a happy homecoming, locking him in a cage.
But if you look at it from the angle of: Haymitch wasn‘t supposed to win. Haymitch was supposed to die. Snow wanted him to die. And he did. Not. Die. Haymitch living, was outside of Snow‘s controll. A loss of controll. The exact thing that we know Snow fears above all else. Controll, the thing he needs to feel safe and like he will never be that scared helpless little kid from the dark ages again.
No one else would have looked at this scenario and thought „Snow lost“. No one else really knew about the personal Haymitch-Snow beef. But Snow did. And Snow could not stand there and let Haymitch be the victor, not in a „victor of the Hunger Games“ sense, but a victor over Snow. And him not dying when Snow wanted him to? That would be him winning.
Yes, he had to torment Haymitch into depression and never rising against Snow/the capitol again. But I think simply murdering everyone Haymitch cared about would have been enough for that.
The rest? The Lucy Gray recording? The diet of milk and bread? The „Happy Homecoming“ comment? The golden birdcage? Haymitch already knew everyone he cared about was at risk. He didn‘t need Snow to remind him so he would behave. This extra torment? This was for Snow‘s own personal satisfaction. To prove to himself that yes, HE was the victor here. Not Haymitch. HE is having fun here at Haymitch‘s expense. HE is making Haymitch suffer, because HE is in controll dammit.
And Snow kept making sure that he won over Haymitch over and over again, by turning him into a tool to scare off other victors from following in his rebellious footsteps.
Katniss being frightened to death that any action she takes will come back to her family? She may not know it consciously, but at least part of that is because of what happened to Haymitch. Not all of it of course. There is still just regular people getting punished for regular things, but Haymitch‘s meer existence is a reminder to the people of what happens if you mess up. Probably not explicitely, it was too long ago by Katniss‘ time. But in Haymitch’s time everyone knew that fire wasn‘t an accident and that Lenore Dove didn‘t die by appendicitis. District 12 has a clear, vivid example of what happens when you mess up and it got ingrained into the society. Katniss and District 12 being frightened to death? That‘s Snow winning and regaining controll. Finnick not fighting back, because he has a breathing example of what happens if he does? Snow winning and regaining controll.
Every action Snow takes regarding Haymitch after he wins comes back to Snow not having been in controll, and proving to himself that he is now. Maybe even convince himself that this was what he always wanted. Afterall, Haymitch is a perfect little deterrent now. What more could Snow have wanted?