Greenland is the world's largest island, located between the Arctic and Atlantic oceans, east of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. It is an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark. The area has had a widely disputed history over the course of the past 2 centuries. The island currently has a population close to 58,000 people only.
As the Arctic ice continues to melt due to global warming, Greenland’s mineral and energy resources – including iron ore, lead, zinc, diamonds, gold, rare earth elements, uranium and oil – are becoming more accessible. The political establishment in Greenland has made natural resource extraction a central part of its plans to become economically self-sufficient, and ultimately politically independent, from the Kingdom of Denmark. This will be no easy task, and it is made more difficult by Greenland’s rapidly aging population. Global market developments are even less favourable in the short term for commercial production of offshore oil. The conditions in Greenland are very harsh and technically demanding, and the costs of extraction high.
The Greenland government has been making progress in preparing for large-scale mining projects, with some success. The government has been appropriately cautious in developing regulatory structures and building environmental safeguards, while at the same time trying to create an attractive investment climate.
Greenland is widely believed to hold excellent potential for a host of natural resources, including zinc, lead, gold, iron ore, heavy and light rare earth elements, copper, and oil. Considering that only a small fraction of this massive island has been properly explored, in the coming years more data gathering, and analysis would be helpful to assess the full potential of Greenland.
Though Chinese companies have featured prominently in public debates in both Greenland, Denmark and beyond, in fact we found little evidence to support the idea that Chinese firms are eager to invest in Greenland, despite substantial efforts by the Greenland administration to attract them. Chinese investment in iron ore, for example, has slowed in recent years after a series of ill-advised investments in Western Australia have proved unprofitable and have become a burden on the domestic iron and steel industry. In addition, while there has been widespread concern in Greenland about the potential influx of several thousands of Chinese workers to construct an iron ore mine, we note that for a population the size of Greenland, which has only 56,000 people, the sudden arrival of several thousand workers should always be a cause of concern, regardless where these workers come from. Nevertheless, this is a reality Greenland will have to face if it is to develop large scale mines.
In its quest to secure alternative resource suppliers, the European Union has eyed Greenland with great interest. In recent years European policy makers have developed raw materials policies in which Greenland features prominently. Though it seems too early to draw definitive conclusions about these policies, it is our impression that Greenland can benefit from European support, as its fishing industries have for many years, and that vice-versa Greenland could someday become an alternative supplier of some commodities to Europe. The case of rare earth elements though, which has made headlines in recent years, is at least partly based on misconceptions of China’s interventions in the global rare earth supply chain, and in particular on an apparently incorrect understanding in many western capitals that China has shown a willingness to cut off its supply of rare earth elements during times of conflict. There are also concerns about China’s dominance in the global supply chain.
President Donald Trump had expressed interest in buying Greenland. But it had become clear Greenland had no interest in selling, under a self-rule act passed in 2009, Greenland has control over its domestic infrastructure or economic policy issues, but Denmark maintains veto power on security issues.
However, the U.S. doesn’t really need all of Greenland for strategic reasons, because of the basing agreements it already has, including one of the U.S. military’s most important strategic tracking systems. Located on the north-western coast of Greenland, Thule Air Base is the U.S. military’s northernmost base and the only installation north of the Arctic Circle. It is home to the 12th Space Warning Squadron, a cadre of Air Force officers and enlisted personnel that provide 24/7 missile warning and space surveillance using a massive AN/FPS-132 radar. Thule’s position on the globe and its radar’s 240 degrees of coverage — which projects over the Arctic Ocean and Russia’s northern coast — make it an ideal location to track intercontinental ballistic missiles and satellites in low-Earth orbit, including polar orbit satellites.
Besides being a critical site for missile defence and space situational awareness, Thule hosts the Defence Department’s northernmost deep-water seaport and airfield. Those assets would come into play in any sort of military conflict in the arctic, giving the Pentagon forward- basing options if needed.
In 2018, a Chinese government-owned firm was announced as a likely winner for a contract to build a new airport. The 3.6 billion Danish krone (U.S. $560 million) contract would have given China major economic power over the local government, and decision makers in both Washington and Copenhagen worried it could lead to the U.S. being pushed out of Thule – or give Beijing a ready-made airport that could accommodate Chinese military planes in case of a conflict. Eventually Copenhagen and Nuuk reached an agreement, with generous financial support from Denmark’s coffers, to pick a different contractor. But it is likely that China will continue to push for entry into Greenland, underlining its strategic importance once again.
All these variable make Greenland a strategically important site for both China and the USA.
The Year is 2020 and the Government of Denmark has decided to open up tendering bids for Greenland considering the high maintenance costs and pressure from both the countries. An acquisition of Greenland would give the United States permanent possession of an island that is crucial to its defence. The country would acquire vast amounts of natural resources—whether found or expected—including petroleum and rare minerals. Climate change may by 2030 make the Northern Sea Route the first of the Arctic shipping routes to be ice-free, connecting the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and greatly improving accessibility of Greenland's resources.
The United States would become the second-largest nation in the world by land area, after the Russian Federation. It would be the single-largest territorial acquisition in American history, slightly larger than the Louisiana Purchase.
As a representative of the US Government, you are tasked with extensively filling the tender. Before filling the same, you have been appointed by the President to draft a report with detailed information for the following deliverables-
1. Details of Bid Pricing for Purchase of Greenland (Can also be an alternative to money)
c) Terms and Conditions of Payment
d) Strategies to Strengthen ties with Denmark
2. Vision, Mission and Tier-wise Objectives for the Island
3. Strategies to Develop the Island and make it suitable for economic development
4. Sub-Contracting the Work of Oil Exploration and Drilling
a) List of Companies and their Purpose
b) Terms of Contract with the Companies
c) Payment Structure and costing of Oil Exploration Rights for the Companies
d) Draft a Tender Invitation Letter (Purpose of Tender, List of Requirements, Terms of Payment)
5. Sub-Contracting the Work of Mining
a) List of Companies and Their Purpose
b) Terms of Contract with the Companies
c) Payment Structure and Costing of Mining Rights for the Companies
d) Draft a Tender Invitation Letter (Purpose of Tender, List of Requirements, Terms of Payment)
6. Strategic Alliances for Development of Greenland (International Partners- Both companies and countries)
7. Strategies to Attract FDI in Island
8. Plan of action to develop SEZ’s in Greenland
9. Strategies to make Greenland a strategic base from a military point of view
c) Analysis of Sites to develop Defense bases and their strategic Importance
10. Strategies to Gain Control over the Arctic Circle
11. Extensive Cost breakdown of all the above mentioned plans
12. 10 Year GDP forecast of Greenland with Breakdown of revenue
13. Extensive 15 year Phase Wise Implementation Plan
Submit a report with the above mentioned deliverables by 10:00 PM tomorrow. (10:00 PM IST, 8th November, 2020)
May the force be with you.