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Among Trump-first Republicans, 62% say they are extremely motivated to vote this year. Among normie Republicans that is only 49%. That is different from past years. At the moment, Democrats are telling pollsters they will walk across hot coals barefoot to vote, while Republicans are not so enthusiastic about voting. In Anderson's polling, 82% of Democrats say it is "extremely important" to win the midterms vs. only 57% of Republicans say that. Among normie Republicans, it is only 47%.
In states holding midterm primaries on Tuesday, the throughline was Democratic enthusiasm. In blue and red states alike, Democratic turnout in open and closed primaries was strong, reaching near-record levels in some states. Although Republican turnout was strong, as well, it was eclipsed by Democratic enthusiasm.
The good news at the ballot box was heightened by âcandidate quality.â In North Carolina, former Governor Roy Cooper secured the Democratic nomination for Senate to succeed retiring GOP Senator Thom Tillis. Cooper has never lost an election and will face off against âa GOP oil lobbyistâ at a time when lobbyists, oil, and Republicans are increasingly unpopular.
As I write, it is too early to tell which of two future stars of the Democratic PartyâJasmine Crockett and James Talaricoâwill win a tight race for the Democratic Senate nomination. Together, they have generated record-levels of Democratic turnout in Texas, a state with chronic low turnout. If there is a path forward, it is through candidates who can motivate reluctant voters to show up at the polls.
On the Republican side, several races in Texas have turned into âcage-matchâ mixed-martial-arts contests that will leave a mark on whoever wins. GOP incumbent Senator John Cornyn is in a run-off with the controversial and toxic Ken Paxton. Even Trump has had the good sense to stay away from race. When it became clear that Cornyn was forced into a runoff with Paxton, Cornyn released a statement saying, âJudgment day is coming for Ken Paxton. Republican voters will learn who Ken Paxton really is.â
MAGA firebrand Chip Roy will be in a run-off with another MAGA firebrand to replace Ken Paxton as Texas Attorney General. That race will turn on âloyaltyâ to Trump, pushing both contenders to the most extreme MAGA positionsânot a recipe for success in blue-wave midterms where Trump is historically unpopular.
In a similar dynamic, one of MAGAâs nastiest members, Dan Crenshaw, is being challenged from the right by an even nastier challenger, who may win because of support from Trump and the Tea Party caucus. [Update: Dan Crenshaw lost to the challenger.]
The confusion in Dallas County, Texas, is inexcusable and was the result of a voter suppression change that became effective on election day. The change regarding where Dallas County voters were required to vote resulted from the refusal of Dallas County Republicans to sign an agreement allowing precinct-wide voting.
The details will matter in the litigation that will undoubtedly follow, but for now, the point is that Democrats have been forewarned that, in the 2026 midterms, same-day voting must take place in the precinct where the voter is registered to avoid challenge.
With that advance notice, we must ensure Democrats know where to vote. It will require hard work, but that burden will fall on Democrats and Republicans alike. We must work harder than Republicans to educate voters who will support Democratic candidates. We can do that.
The administration has a dumpster-fire day of contradictions, flip-flops, and incompetence
The administration experienced one of the worst days in modern presidential history. Incompetence oozed through the sizable gaps in the scotch tape and baling wire that hold the administration together. At its core, the chaos emanated from Trump, who lacks the attention-span, discipline, and intelligence to lead the administration. His stubby fingers were all over Tuesdayâs chaos.
Why does this matter? Am I relating these stories just to serve a dollop of schadenfreude on top of Republican humble pie? No, the inconsistencies and incompetence are at the beating heart of Trumpâs lawless policies.
If we hope to defeat his acolytes in the midterms, we must arm ourselves with the evidence of Trumpâs colossal ineptitude, forcing his minions to defend every mistake, corrupt action, and crime committed by Trump.
Administration flip-flops on dropping appeal against law firms that refused to bend the knee to Trump.
Yesterday, I wrote that the Trump administration had requested a voluntary dismissal of its appeal of losses in lawsuits brought by law firms that refused to capitulate to Trump. That decision effectively amounted to a concession of illegality by the Trump administrationâthe correct result and a prudent exercise of judgment by the DOJ. But someone apparently forgot to tell Trump, who went ballistic and ordered the DOJ to seek to withdraw its request for voluntary dismissal.
Marc Elias sent an email that explained the reversal by the DOJ, and the blame that should be shared by the nine capitulating law firms. Elias wrote:
Having spent last night, no doubt, reviewing the slew of negative news clips indicating that Trump had given up his fight and democracy had prevailed, the Department of Justice decided to reverse course this morning. In its filing, the DOJ simply cited its âprerogativeâ to continue its appeal and informed the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals that it would continue its legal crusade against these four law firms. [Âś]
In my piece earlier today, I called out the cowardice of the nine law firms that were in a position to speak out against Trumpâs executive orders, but chose to stay silent. They bear the bulk of the responsibility and shame for the situation we find ourselves in. Had they stood tall and supported the four courageous law firms that fought back, Trump would not feel as empowered to continue his crusade.
Trump will ultimately lose this fight. But it should be overâand would be over if the nine capitulating law firms, and the rest of the legal profession, had come to the aid of the firms that chose to stand up to Trump.
Trump contradicts Rubioâs claim that the US attacked Iran because Israel was going to launch an attack first.
Yesterday, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that the US launched a âpreemptive warâ against Iran because Israel had informed the US that it planned to attack Iran, which the US feared would result in strikes on US military bases in the Middle East. Today, Trump contradicted Rubioâs claim. See ABC News, Trump contradicts Rubio. (âNo. I might have forced [Israelâs] hand. . . [I]t was my opinion that [Iran was] going to attack first. They were going to attack. If we didnât do it, they were going to attack first. I felt strongly about that.â)
To be clear, Trump lies constantly, so we should not credit anything he says. The point is that it is a rarity for a president to contradict his Secretary of State. But in Trumpâs out-of-control administration, there is no coordination between Trump and his cabinet members.
Was the real reason for the attack on Iran a plot to commence âArmageddonâ?
You canât make this up. Apparently, at a pre-strike briefing, an officer told non-commissioned officers that Trump was chosen by God to start a holy war against Iran that would start Armageddon (a final battle before the Second Coming of Christ). See Military.com, Commanders Accused of Framing Iran War as Biblical Mandate, Jesusâ âReturnâ.
A combat-unit commander told non-commissioned officers at a briefing Monday that the Iran war is part of Godâs plan and that President Donald Trump was âanointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran to cause Armageddon and mark his return to Earth,â according to independent journalist Jonathan Larsen as published on Substack.
That complaint was made by a non-commissioned officer and provided to the Military Religious Freedom Foundation (MRFF), which from Saturday morning through Monday evening received and logged more than 110 complaints about commanders in every branch of the military.
A word of caution: This story is based on a single source, which is generally reliable. But Snopes has rated the story âUnratedâ because it relies on a single confidential source.
But the whole apocalyptic religious trope is consistent with Pete Hegsethâs radical Christian views. Indeed, Hegseth has a medieval crusader, anti-Muslim tattoo on his chest, âDeus Vult,â and is a member of a radical Christian nationalist movement that believes âGod is also a god of war.â See Religion Dispatches, Not a Single Senator Probed the Most Dangerous Part of Pete Hegseth's Background: His Ties to White Christian Nationalism.
Per Religion Dispatches,
In December 2024, Jane Mayer reported in The New Yorker that a coworker at Concerned Veterans for America, one of two small nonprofits Hegseth has run, lodged a complaint against Hegseth after he and an associate began chanting âKill All Muslims! Kill All Muslims!â in âa drunk and a violent mannerâ at a bar while on official travel for a work event.
So, the notion that Hegseth and other officers believe the attack on Iran is part of a twisted plan to prepare for the Second Coming doesnât seem far-fetched.
Lack of coordination between FBI and Pentagon on illegal war against Iran.
In a well-run administration, planning for a war against a state known for sponsoring terrorism would have included working with the FBI to prevent terror attacks on the US. But forty-eight hours before Trump launched his illegal war on Iran, FBI Director Kash Patel fired about eleven members of an elite group charged with monitoring terror threats from Iran. See CNN, Kash Patel gutted FBI counterintelligence team tasked with tracking Iranian threats days before US strikes, sources say.
Kash Patel is affirmatively making Americans less safe. But it was unconscionable that the Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, Secretary of Homeland Security, Kristi Noem, and Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, failed to consider the prospect of Iranian terror attacks on the US. They should have alerted Kash Patel to the need to increase surveillance of domestic threats coming from Iran. All of them are responsible for any attacks that slip through surveillance networks because of the untimely firing of the FBI specialists.
Americans are stuck in the Middle East because State Department failed to plan for their evacuation.
As with the failure to coordinate with the FBI, the State Department failed to make plans to evacuate Americans from the Middle East. See NBC News, Americans told to leave Middle East due to Iran war face closed airports, reduced embassy staffing.
The lack of planning was exacerbated by Iranâs response to the war. Rather than hunkering down under US attacks, Iran has adopted a strategy of spreading the hostilities throughout the Middle East. See NYTimes, Iranâs Strategy: Expand the War, Increase the Cost, Outlast Trump (Gift article, accessible to all.)
Per the Times,
Faced with the overwhelming firepower of the United States and Israel, diplomats and analysts say, Iran is working to enlarge the battlefield from its own territory to the broader region. The goals are to damage oil and gas infrastructure in neighboring countries, shut the Strait of Hormuz to shipping and curtail air traffic â all to disrupt the economies of the Persian Gulf and drive up global energy prices and inflation. Iran will also be trying to exhaust the number of expensive missile interceptors held by its enemies.
âThe war has become a test of wills and stamina,â said Vali Nasr of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies in Washington. âIran is facing qualitatively superior militaries, so the strategy is to test their will by expanding the battlefield, complicating the war and increasing the danger to the world economy.â
The US State Department and Department of Defense apparently failed to anticipate a regional war as Iranâs defensive strategyâa failure of contingency planning, wargaming, and imagination.
There are more examples, but you get the idea. The administration is hopelessly in over its head. And the prime culprit is Trumpâs undisciplined, narcissistic approach to all things.
Opportunities for Reader Engagement
Force Multiplier
Our friends at Force Multiplier invite you to this unique event in support of their slate of 20 Candidates and Nominee funds. Join us on Zoom on Tuesday March 10 at 8 PM ET, to hear from the leaders of the three Democratic political affinity groups: Marie Glusenkamp Perez, Blue Dog Coalition, Brad Schneider, New Democrat Coalition, and Greg Casar, Progressive Caucus. They encompass the Big Tent of the Democratic party â and their policy differences pale in comparison to their shared goal of regaining the House Majority. Learn what differentiates them, what brings them together, and what their plans are when Democrats take back the House. Register and Donate Here. ( A Zoom Link to complete your registration will be sent to your email address on the morning of the event.) A list of the 20 recipients is a bit long for a newsletter, but you can see it when you click on the link, which doesnât commit you to anything.
Cartoons for Democracy
Cartoons for Democracyâs âGo Blue Michiganâ campaign uses targeted political cartoons to deliver messages to âmiddle of the roadâ voters who do not strongly identify with any party. Michigan will be one of the biggest âbang for your buckâ states this year with three Congressional races, one Senate seat, and the Governorâs office up for grabs in November. Each kit contains 50 postcards with a partially preprinted message demanding accountability through a Town Hall, as well as directions for volunteers to personalize, address, stamp, and mail each card. Kits are a donation of $25 and include free shipping.
Cartoons for Democracy is a woman-founded and -run non-profit whose goal is to break through information filters of Americans whose main news sources are controlled by media moguls. Political cartoons are one of the most successful ways to reach audiences through satire with a few words and well-crafted artwork â with âat a glanceâ messaging that impacts people with a wide variety of educational backgrounds and attention spans. Register here or visit their website for more information.
Concluding Thoughts
Tuesday was a confidence-building night. As Democrats supported talented, personable candidates, Republicans were choosing election deniers and extremist, scandal-ridden candidates whose only selling point is their loyalty to Trump. For a president with an approval rating of 38% (19 points underwater) who has a positive approval rating in only 9 states (AL, OK, TN, MT, UT, WV, ID, WY, and ND), loyalty to Trump as a qualification for office seems like a losing proposition.
We canât rely on Republicans to defeat themselves. But neither should we ascribe to them strength or acumen that they do not possess. They are not only fighting the last war (2024), they are fighting the two prior wars (2016, 2020). Democrats must look to the future and convince Americans to join them on that path. Given the state of America under Trumpâs reckless, corrupt, incompetent administration, that is a vision that should be far more attractive to voters than Trumpâs, âI alone can solve itâ approach to politics.
Republicans believe that it will stay red forever. Their arrogance could be their undoing.
From the December 10, 2025 opinion piece:
This is why itâs so crucial for Democrats to not give up on Texas: A single win would deal a major blow to the perception that their statewide elections are a foregone conclusion. Much like how Georgiaâs surprise 2020 flip led to a boost (relative to the nation) in voter turnout in 2024, a single win could energize Texas Demsâ get-out-the-vote efforts going forward. Both the 2026 state Senate race and gubernatorial race are too far out to say anything for certain, but the national blue-leaning midterm trend will make those contests Democratsâ best chance to win the state in over 30 years. Flipping Texas with the right candidate in a blue-wave midterm would hardly turn it into a blue state yet, but it would provide the much-needed proof that blue Texas isnât a delusion.
Anya is live and ready to show you everything. Watch her strip, dance, and perform exclusive shows just for you. Interact in real-time and make your fantasies come true.
â Live Streamingâ Interactive Chatâ Private Showsâ HD Qualityâ Free Actions
Free to watch ⢠No registration required ⢠HD streaming
She rests in turn-out, pointe shoes poised at the edge of intentionâ
all her energy cupped in silence, gathering like a storm before release.
There is the promise of art bursting to propelâ
the wening of beauty, waiting in the hush for a single breath to set it free.
She totallybend in abostisis flame,
Turn-out sculpted like whispered acclaim.
Cande fret sighs through pointe shoes curled,
A surrender posed to the art beauty world.