On Friday an Iranian attack on a U.S. base in Jordan killed two soldiers and left one missing. Another service member died Friday in northern Iraq. This brings the number of military personnel killed in the Iran War to 17 since Trump launched strikes against the country on February 28. The Pentagonās casualty-reporting site says 427 U.S. service members have been wounded.
On Saturday, Greg Jaffe, Julian E. Barnes, and Jonathan Swan of theĀ New York TimesĀ reported that multiple officials told them that the attack in Jordan was the fourth in five days and that the strikes had wounded dozens of military personnel and damaged several helicopters. The journalistsā sources told them that the strikes proved Iranian forces still have plenty of missiles and are becoming more skilled at getting around U.S. air defense systems.
The sources told the journalists that the first attack hit a base, injuring as many as five service members; the second hit a different base, damaging U.S. Blackhawk helicopters; and a third hit the same base where the soldiers would later be killed. In that first attack, about 20 military personnel were injured.
Retired Air Force Lieutenant General David Deptula, who helped to plan the air war in the 1991 Gulf War, explained that bases in Jordan give the U.S. broader reach across Syria, Iraq, and beyond. Fridayās attack was āan attack on the U.S. regional coalition and an attempt to make the political cost of hosting American forces greater than the security benefit.ā
Those sources who spoke to theĀ New York TimesĀ reporters spoke on condition of anonymity. The Pentagon declined to comment.
Eric Schmitt of theĀ New York TimesĀ noted that lack of information from the Pentagon today when he reported that in the week before the weekendās deaths, three Iranian strikes injured military personnel and damaged several helicopters yet the Pentagon under Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth did not disclose the strikes, the casualties, or the damage to the American people, citing the need to keep information about operations secure.
Schmitt noted that neither the White House nor the Pentagon has outlined a military strategy since Trump announced that the memorandum of understanding that extended a ceasefireāthe one he signed on June 17āwas no longer in force. In the nine days since then, both sides have increased strikes.
Schmitt noted the Pentagon has not held a major briefing on the war since early May. Since then, the administration has not disclosed the depletion of crucial and expensive weapons through the Iran strikes, or how Iran has both retained and rebuilt its own missiles. In June, Jonah Kaplan and Michael Kaplan of CBS News reported that Hegsethās claim that āalmost 90%ā of service members injured had sustained only minor injuries gives a misleading picture of the extent of those injuries. A spokesperson for the Army explained that the Army classifies a soldier as āseriously injuredā or āvery seriously injuredā only if they are at risk of dying from their wounds within 72 hours.
Pentagon spokesperson Sean Parnell responded to Schmittās story by posting on social media that ā[t]he Department of War rejects these baseless and malicious accusations of hiding injury numbers as outright lies from partisan hacks at theĀ New York TimesĀ who are desperate to smear Americaās military and its leadership. Claims of concealment are fabrications meant to further distress the American people in the wake of three service members killed in action.ā He continued: āThis is the most transparent Department of War in history.ā
And yet, the administration did not consult Congress about launching the war, as the Constitution requires, and has blown through the 60-day time limit for the use of the U.S. military to counter an āimminent threatā without getting congressional approval.
Damian Paletta of theĀ Wall Street JournalĀ today also asked questions about how the Iranians, who Trump said had very few missiles left back in June, are developing faster and more maneuverable missiles. Paletta noted that whether Iran is getting help from Russia, or any other country, remains an āenormous questionā that puts āmuch more pressure on the White House to potentially confront Russia.ā
When asked about the deaths of the three service members, Trump said āWe feel very badly, but you know those great people, those great patriots were out there fighting that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon. Iran has been very, very badly damaged. Theyāve lost everything almost, militarily. Theyāve got very little leftā¦. We control the strait. They donāt control anything. So weāll see what happens when we hit āem very hard again tonight.ā
Over the last several days, the U.S. has struck Iranian bridges and energy infrastructure. According to Iranās Health Ministry, the recent U.S. attacks have killed at least 38 people and wounded more than 400.
Today the Houthis in Yemen, who are backed by Iran, announced they are imposing a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia, threatening the passage of oil through the Bab el-Mandeb strait. If the strait is closed, the global oil supply will take another 7% hit.
The American Automobile Association said today that the average price for a gallon of gasoline is just over $4, up about $0.13 from last week. Before the conflict, the price averaged $2.98 a gallon. Economist Paul Krugman noted today that the āwholesale price of refined products (assuming 2/3 gasoline, 1/3 distillates) is most of the way back to its peak. Since this is what matters for inflation and demand, no relief in sight before the midterms.ā
Carl Quintanilla of CNBC reported today that crude oil supplies in the U.S. are the lowest theyāve been in 45 years.
The expansion of the Iran Warās scope, duration, and casualties did not keep Trump away from the World Cup final between Spain and Argentina on Sunday. After Spain won over Argentina with a score of 1ā0, Trump joined FIFA President Gianni Infantino on the fieldāapparently unconcerned about the dangers that he says require the construction of a fortified ballroomāto present medals to the Spanish players.
The crowd resoundingly booed Trump, who then stood on stage with the celebrating players until Infantino jogged across the stage to lead him away.Ā The GuardianĀ captioned a picture by Javier Garcia taken of Infantino and Trump standing aside from the players: āGianni Infantino carefully explains to Donald Trump that he is not part of the Spanish national team.ā
Trump appears to be becoming less and less relevant to actual governance. Last Thursday, Alex Gangitano, Megan Messerly, and Myah Ward ofĀ PoliticoĀ reported that Republicans were āscared sh*tlessā about what Trump might say in his prime time address, but it is perhaps more of a sign of the current political reality of Trumpās falling popularity that CNN, ABC and NBC, chose not to run the speech live.
Matt Gertz ofĀ Media MattersĀ noted that despite Trumpās promise that his speech would deliver āreally, really big news,ā the Fox News Channel largely ignored the event. Executives might not have wanted to get entangled in the election denialism that cost them close to $800 million after pushing claims of election fraud after the 2020 presidential election.
Fox hosts turned instead to culture war issues, railing against āDEIā and perceived abuse of WNBA Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark, who is white, by Black players.
In line with that focus, the administration is renewing its visible and aggressive immigration policies. For months, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has not released data about arrests, but immigration enforcement scholar Austin Kocher noted that new records show arrests in early July hit 1,474 a day, a record high for the Trump administration.
In the past months, ICE has recruited thousands of new agents. As Maanvi Singh and Fabiola Cineas ofĀ The GuardianĀ note, many of these new agents did not have the requisite qualifications and were not properly vetted.
Agents from ICE shot and killed two immigrants within a week earlier this month: Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, 52, in Houston, Texas, on July 7 and Joan (or Johan) SebastiƔn DurƔn Guerrero, 25, in Biddeford, Maine, on July 13. Neither man was the target of the operation in which he was killed.
In Maine, Ashley Brouillette identified her ex-husband, David Brouillette, as the officer who shot Guerrero four times. She found out he was involved in the shooting when he called her to ask her not to tell reporters about his abuse during their marriage. Both she and another ex-wife had restraining orders against Brouillette.
Ashley Brouillette told reporters that when her ex-husband told her at the end of last year that he had been hired as an ICE agent, āI honestly thought that he was being delusional and I didnāt believe it.ā
As an Army combat veteran and former security agent, Brouillette would likely not have undergone in-person training to become an ICE agent, Christian Harsa of News Center Maine reported. A spokesperson for ICE, Lauren Bis, told Vanessa Romo and Alina Hartounian of NPR that Brouillette had ānearly a decade of federal law enforcement experience with required training.ā
Today, Senator Angus King (I-ME) and 38 Democratic senators sent a letter to Secretary of Homeland Security Markwayne Mullin demanding āimmediate, thorough, independent, and transparent investigationsā of the shooting deaths of Araujo and Guerrero.
As Isabelle Oss of theĀ Portland Press HeraldĀ reported, the letter noted that both former DHS secretary Kristi Noem and White House immigration advisor Tom Homan committed to making sure that agents are fitted with body cameras. And yet, agents involved in the recent shootings were not equipped with cameras, confirming āthat neither of these commitments were honored.ā
The senators noted that the acting director of ICE, David Venturella, promised Congress that all field agents would be equipped with cameras by the end of July. āWe view this timeline not as a projection, but as a firm, binding commitment to which we will hold the Department accountable,ā the senators wrote.
They also demanded that ICE agents wear labels clearly identifying themselves as ICE agents.
The senators asked Mullin to identify specifically how he intended to investigate the shootings, explain the vetting process for new recruits including whether it considers records of domestic abuse before hiring, identify updates or reviews being made to ICE traffic stop policies, and explain what oversight, reporting measures, or public safety measures the agency is implementing.
As if to demonstrate that he is still in charge, Trump this afternoon announced new tariffs on certain products from Canada. The 50% tariffs would further upend the economy if they take effect in 30 days as scheduled.
Trump has been complaining about the smoke from Canadian wildfires hurting U.S. air quality, and has threatened to impose further tariffs on Canadian produce because āthe United States is being unnecessarily invaded by filthy, polluted, and unhealthy air.ā Canadians including Ontario premier Doug Ford noted that they sent firefighters, rather than threats, when conditions were reversed.
