#party realignment

The TLDR answer to your question is no, because the party alignments are completely different from where they were in the 1930s.

Even by the standards of American politics, the New Deal coalition was a particularly messy and complicated one: the core of the party was still the "solid" white South that was committed to Jim Crow even as it was internally divided between the corrupt "courthouse rings" machines and the populists who had fuelled Bryan's hegemony within the party and Northern immigrant workers, but even this core was radically different from the 19th century one in that the Northern contingent was increasingly made up of Jews, Poles, and other Eastern Europeans as opposed to being solely Irish.

These newer immigrants were not only more left-wing than a lot of their Irish antecedents, which created some tension with the white Southern delegation, but their very identity as Jews and Catholics were more "controversial" at a time when the revived Klan of the 1920s very much considered Jews, Catholics, and other "new immigrants" to be as much of a threat to their vision of an all-WASP America as non-white people. Hence why the Democratic Party divided around Al Smith.

And then in 1936, the coalition expanded when African-American voters in the North shifted en masse into the Democratic Party and immediately began acting as a bloc to push for both an expansion of the New Deal and to shift the Democratic Party away from Jim Crow and toward civil rights. (This period of the "long civil rights movement" has been a particularly fruitful one for historians.) This coalition that included both black voters and their mortal enemies was always going to be an unstable one, although it did persist for many decades.

However, in the decades since the 1990s, we've seen a partisan realignment that has made the American party system much more ideologically "compact" than it used to be - conservative white voters both in the South and the Midwest are now voting solidly Republican where they used to vote for conservative Democrats for Congress and local office, while college-educated voters are now voting much more Democratic than they were in the 1980s when there was still a lingering influence of the Rockefeller Republican.

there is one possible good outcome of this year that I’ve been thinking about a lot

It requires a lot of action before and after the election and a focused political strategy for the next few election cycles. It will have to meet certain conditions at critical times, but if it does, it could mean the end of the republican party the passage of Medicare for All and a Green New Deal, and a labor party. Basically, it depends on splitting the Democratic party after ensuring Democrat control of Congress and the White House, DSA expansion, and eliminating the electoral college.

1) Circa the 2020 election

Biden wins the electoral college

This is almost completely dependent on white moderates in swing states voting for Biden and on massive protests during what will likely be a highly contested legal battle for the presidency. The protests are to show leaders that we reject any legitimacy of another trump term. Protests against trump will face even more violence at the hands of police and their conspiring with white nationalists. There is still the possibility of a coup. But voting alone will not ensure trump’s removal from office, everyone needs to be out in the streets and organizing strikes and protests. It will be a lot easier than stopping trump after he’s secured a second term. If this fails, protesting conditions will become even more hostile, and Americans will see no relief from the economic depression or pandemic. The U.S. may end as a dictatorship, but I have no idea when.

Democrats take majority control of the senate

This is essential as well. There are many senate seats this year where Republicans could be replaced by Dems. Here is a more thorough guide on who could be unseated. This will help with passing bills that Dems agree on. The more the better. Without this, splitting the party won’t be possible yet.

Democrats expand control of the House

This will make splitting the Dem party easier.

DSA (Democratic Socialists) expand control at the local and state level

The emergence of DSA to a national party requires many more wins at the local level. This will give them the chance to become the left-wing national party. 50% of Democrat voters support socialism, and that’s pre-pandemic and pre-depression. It is these voters who will be attracted to the DSA as they grow.

Democrats expand control in state legislatures

Once the census results are in and states have to redistrict, Democrat-controlled state legislatures will likely produce less gerrymandered conservative districts. This will secure more representational elections for the next decade.

2) Before the 2022 election

Eliminate the electoral college

This is another very difficult part. Conservative Dems (like Biden) oppose eliminating the electoral college. His current views may not matter once the DNC tells him to do otherwise. It will likely be moderate and left Dems who push this agenda forward, as it is within the best interest of the Dem party to make the popular vote chose the presidency. National support for it may also be higher than ever after the election, meaning more pressure on Dems to act while they can. If the electoral college is eliminated, Republicans will lose their chance at winning the presidency again, meaning trump 2024 won’t be possible

Begin major canvassing for M4A, GND, police defunding, and abolishing ICE

Once Dems control Congress and the White House, the left can be more on the political offense rather than defense. The DNC opposes Medicare for All and the Green New Deal, but support for them will only likely increase as more people die from COVID-19, suffer under medical debt, face record breaking unemployment and evictions, and climate crises continue to destroy areas. These bills are popular, and the DSA supports them, which will give them leverage in winning more elections and even in poaching Democrat representatives like Bernie and AOC. Support for abolishing ICE and the police are only likely to grow thanks to continued BLM organizing.

Counter Republican campaigns at the state and local levels

Republicans are unified, backed by money, and think long-term, but this election is different because their only platform is supporting trump. Should they lose the White House and Congress, and lose the electoral college, they will have to create a whole new base and platform goals to win a national election ever again. Local organizers will have to counter republican strategies at the local and state levels in hopes of killing the party. Republicans might be able to find a way to attract half of the voter base again, but they might also be clinging too tightly to racism, which, although strong, is no longer enough to win the presidency through popular vote. They could also lose southern state control as cities like Atlanta and Houston grow and their voters flip the state blue.

3) Circa the 2024 election

Enter the DSA into national elections

If the electoral college is gone and the DSA was won more local and state seats in 2020 and 2022, the DSA has a chance to enter national elections. As a popular left-wing party and with the decline of the republican party, the DSA can now attract left-wing previously “captured” by Dems. They may likely not win the presidency, but the DSA will force Dems to be the nation’s right-wing party and become the left-wing party in doing so. Formerly republican voters will likely switch to Dems as the Democratic party becomes more conservative and if republicans no longer have a chance at winning national elections.

Center campaigns around major bills not yet passed (M4A, GND, police defunding, and/or abolishing ICE)

This keeps important issues relevant and keeps Dems on the defense as to why they won’t pass the bills.

4) After

Continue building revolutionary potential now that the two national parties are welfare capitalism/socialism-lite and neoliberalism.

The DSA will likely capture much of the working-class vote, Millennials and Gen Z, and POC. If republicans are still around, their goal will be to find a new way to split the working class vote, likely requiring collaborating with Dems. However, their old strategy of splitting by rural/urban may no longer work. Businesses will do everything they can to stop a party from representing workers: it’s why the parties realigned after the New Deal.

This is all possible and will offer actual harm reduction to the working class for the first time since the 70s. None of it will be possible without massive organizing and protest efforts on the ground. None of it will be possible without strong interracial ties and community building. Voting is essential, but it’s the bare minimum and inadequate alone. During this period, BLM and new leftist movements could grow, we could see a militant left party to further curb U.S. domestic authoritarianism. We could see national policy that interferes less in the Global South. We would likely see increased protections for workers, a redistribution of wealth, and new public infrastructure. We could even see the end of the U.S. by the close of the decade, or at least how it would finally happen.

This is a pretty good overview of how stupid that comment was. If you want more information, here you go.Here’s a bit more for you. And just a tiny bit more because this is kinda fun.

And also, did you forget about how a KKK Grand Dragon endorsed Hillary?Or how she lavished praised on a member of the KKK?

Over the past hundred years, Mississippi’s politics have changed a lot. These changes are due to both national trends and the state’s own unique situation. Today, the state is thought to always vote Republican in presidential elections, but this wasn’t always the case. Examining Mississippi’s presidential election results over the past 50 years helps illuminate the state’s political history and…

How should we shape the Democratic Party? If we are honest with ourselves, Hillary Clinton when she was young was a lot like Bernie- fierce, unapologetic fighting for what she believes in. After 25+ years of being beaten by Republicans and anti feminist haters, her fighting spirit has dimmed a bit. She has made mistakes- but after what these ignorant people who essentially brought Agent 46 out front, would you could blame her? I wouldn’t be so willing to be open with you if you critiqued me for my personal choices for so many years…

Anyway, how does the Democratic Party start to rebuild and what do we do to make it happen?