I am Persian with family still in Iran and can answer these questions for you. It seems like your blog is pro-Iranian freedom so hopefully this is a good blog to share this information with Tumblr users who might care.

Situation is that Vahidi is absolutely in charge with Ghalibaf and Araghchi trying to consolidate as much power as they can, but they’ve hit a wall.

I think they believed they could corral the IRGC with a lucrative ceasefire deal but Vahidi is a war-hawk. If you look at his statements over the past few weeks, he’s pretty much said that any ceasefire deal is a betrayal, that the IRGC didn’t want the war to end etc. etc. He has also backed up his rhetoric by preventing parliaments nominated candidates from taking their positions, he’s in direct conflict with Pezeshkian and openly attacking him.

The U.S. was swindled by Ghalibaf and Araghchi during these negotiations because they had built up an illusion of influence. The reality is they have absolutely no control over the IRGC, and the army is nowhere near as heavily equipped to fight a civil war on the governments behalf.

Even with the Islamabad delegation, Vahidi was firm about the IRGC’s red-line and when talk of a deal that crossed that line began to surface, all of the pro-IRGC media outlets went berserk. Araghchi’s tweet the other day was a power play, just like Zarif’s article, and it has backfired catastrophically. It’s pushed the IRGC to defy and rebel against the government itself.

The only military authority in Iran right now is Vahidi. Whatever he says goes. And what he is saying is: Hormuz is closed, no nuclear deal without sanction relief, and Iran will not give up its nuclear programme. It was his office that also put out the ten point plan than asked for every U.S. base in the ME to be dissolved. He put in things he knew the US would never agree to, so as to keep the war going.

Long story short, he wants war and nobody can stop him. So expect the war to continue unless he can get the Ali Khamenei treatment.

But it looks like Mojtaba is doing great, even better than daddy. All the mullahs who bullied him, if only they weren't all eliminated and could see little Mojtaba being the powerful Supreme leader they could never be themselves!

«Mort à Mojtaba !» : des slogans anti-Khamenei résonnent à Téhéran après l’élection du guide suprême 📰

EEUU and Israel killed his father, his mother, his sister, his wife and his nephew. History books are full of stories of empires that failed because of these kinds of loose ends. There's no doubt they unleashed hell.