Cause and Effect: Part Two
Welcome back to Looking Glass and welcome back to the Cause & Effect series. The purpose of this series is to show you concrete examples of Sherlockian deduction as well as help you over the plateau you hit when this happens: āI know what hand he usesā¦so thatās coolā. In the previous part we laid out a scene of two individuals having dinner at a restaurant. Then we started making observations, putting you in the scene as if you were observing this dinner for two. In this part you and I are going to take that raw data and extrapolate it.
Why Analyse?
If weāre going to get over this profiling plateau and make deeper, below-the-surface deductions, we have to learn to analyse information. This involves taking the information we observe and putting it through a questioning process. At the end of this weāll come away with MORE DATA as well as hints to connections not observed in the scene we collected information from. This is a delicate process and we have to remember to wear our safety gear, and by safety gear I mean proper framing. If you arenāt conscientious about how you think you will ruin the data with biases and logical fallacies. You think Iām joking. Donāt ruin the data! Think of the data as your only child that you want to protect and keep pure. Nothing can ruin the data. Biases and logical fallacies will twist and warp the information we so carefully collected. So, for example, if you have a bias against a specific type of food, and you see an individual eating said food, you will likely have some form of a negative association with that person due to the food you dislike. You may come away with the ādeductionā that this person is bad or has a particular palate or is mean to puppies based on the food. DO NOT DO THIS. Biases and logical fallacies are natural, normal bits of our existence; however, they will live separate from our logical reasonings. Sorry about that, had to protect my precious data. Now onto the fun analysing.
Seven Questions
There are many ways to analyse information. Who, what, when, where, why, and how. Motive, ability, opportunity. What the old ladies in Eastern Europe saw (which is basically the equivalent to CCTV). I personally use a seven question method. Iāve found that these seven questions fully break apart and examine any and all data that you want to and donāt want to know (if I had to bet money this is how Vsauce plans a video, thatās how far these questions will reach). These questions are:
Divisibility: How is it divided/what are its parts?
Comparability: How is it comparable/what is classified on similar basis?
Connectivity: How is it connected/what else does it connect to?
Disturbability: How is it disturbed/what can it in-turn disturb?
Reorderability: How does it transform/what are the stages of this?
Substitutability: How can it be substituted/what can it substitute?
Satisfiability: How can it be satisfied/what is satisfied by it?
Now before we go right into analysing the observations from last week, letās test this system and make sure it works. Always test with easily understood albeit broad enough variables. Letās say weāre analysing a man. Doesnāt matter who, itās every-man. Apply the seven questions to a man:
Can divisibility be discovered through a man? Yes. A man can be divided into parts like eye, ear, nose, hand, heart, head, leg, fingers, nails, muscles, bones, and the man himself is a part of this universe.
Can comparability be discovered through a man? Yes. A man is comparable to the other men, other living creatures and nonliving things. Certain animals like monkey are more similar to man. What are similar to a man? A man is also different from other creatures and the other fellow men and women. What are different from a man? Man are classified on the basis of comparison as: tall, dwarf, black, white, etc.
Can connectivity be discovered through a man? Yes. The parts of a man are interconnected. The man himself is connected to the other men and women. How the parts of a man are interconnected? How a man is connected to all the others?
Can disturbability be discovered through a man? Yes. There are several factors which affect (disturb) the man. What can disturb man? Man himself disturb the other things in the universe. What can be disturbed by a man?
Can reorderability be discovered through a man? Yes. A man himself transforms through several states. What are the states through which a man transforms himself?
Can substitutability be discovered through a man? Yes. A man can be substituted with another man. Who can substitute a man? A man himself can substitute others. Who can be substituted by the man?
Can satisfiability be discovered through a man? Yes. The man satisfies his needs through his activities. How does a man fulfill his requirements? A man also fulfills other needs through his activities. How does a man fulfill others requirements?
So as you can see this very quickly becomes a full economic system of data connected in all manners (by the way, a basic knowledge in economic will help you substantially in your endeavours to analyse information). So the system works, and itāll work on anything. Person, place, thing, or concept. Even works on non-nouns. Adjectives and verbs can be broken down. The action of running itself can be disturbed, reordered, and satisfied.
Dinner for Two
We have observations, we have a data processor, now we need to feed carefully. This process is fun, but be warned it can be a bit tedious at times. Hereās a link to Part One if you need to review the observations made (x). Ok, done? So letās get to it! Remember, we are not making deductions at this point. Weāre only analysing data. There will be a few conclusions but thatās part of the connection process. The first thing weāll do is list the observations in a way that gets rid of any extra fat while separating different pieces of data.
Subject A
Physical Observations
Male.
Work boots; tan, heavy duty, steel toed, dusty albeit clean.
Jeans; clean, untorn, covers top of boots.
Right pocket; outline of wallet, no keys.
T-shirt; grey, v-neck.
Hair; short.
Facial hair; clean shaven, no nicks.
*Hands; rough texture, potentially sweaty, pointer and middle knuckles (both hands) split/partially healed, discolouration on pointer and middle fingers (left hand) as well as around the nails.
Body; muscular/well toned, tanned, 1.8 metres tall (6 feet)
Language Observations
Continuously shifts in seat.
*Continuously wipes palms under table.
Laughs and smiles.
Occasionally rubs nose.
Leans forward with arms on table when involved in deep conversation.
Leg bounces up and down under table.
Ordered a beer; sits on left hand side.
Subject B
Physical Observations
Female
Feet; wearing black flats, well worn albeit good condition.
*Legs; shaven.
Attire; casual floral patterned knee high dress, jean jacket without noticeable rips or tears.
Hair; shoulder length, recently curled.
Nails; well groomed, manicured, painted red.
Hands; ink stains on pinky side.
Eyes; subtle mascara, subtle eyeliner.
**Ears; black stud earring (right ear)
Nose; blemish on bridge of nose.
Body; 1.6 metres tall (5 foot 6 inches)
Language Observations
*Legs; crossed right over left under table.
**Leans back when playing with earring.
Ordered a mixed drink later on and stir with straw between sips meanwhile nodding as Subject A speaks.
Does most of the talking; uses simple hand gestures.
Now all of our data has been stripped of fat. What we should do is put each one of these pieces of data through the seven question processorā¦but thatās going to take up a lot more post space than weāre comfortable with. Instead weāre going to analyse a few major pieces of information and the rest is homework. You get to analyse all of the data and see what you come up with (itās actually really fun and itāll help teach you through experience and hands on learning. Looking Glass lab experiments now available at home!).
Subject A
Work boots; tan, heavy duty, steel toed, dusty albeit clean
Divisibility: Boots are made of various plastics and leathers or leather substitutes, steel in the toe. The dust is made up of small particles of hair, skin, dirt, substitute dirt. Dust is most common and prevalent on construction and other blue-collar work sites as well as border blue-collar field crew infrastructure mappers.
Comparability: Boots are comparable to any kind of shoe, however most comparable to other types of boots. Among these are moccasins, made for exploring wilderness and running. Dust is comparable to dusts composed of differing types of dirt and dirt substitutes such as concrete.
Connectivity: Boots are connected to feet as well as socks. The socks that boots tend to be connected to depend on what the boots are used for. Generally these include tall, thick socks to buffer any pressure from the boots and soak up moisture. Dust is connected to its origins as well as everything it touches.
Disturbability: Boots may disturb what it steps on, which is a potential way to accumulate dust. It can also disturb things by being pushed with lethal force. This connects to satisfiability in what the steel toe could be used for. Dust disturbs things by adding layers to surfaces, making their past known.
Reorderability: Boots can be reordered and reorganised to have new soles, steel toes, laces, colouring, etc. Dust can be reordered by being mixed with other dust.
Substitutability: Boots can be substituted by other shoes and boots. Moccasins are among a common boot substitute. Dust is substituted by other dust as well as things of a similar consistency, such as flour, baking soda, soot.
Satisfiability: Boots can be satisfied by being used on feet as well as used on rough surfaces. Mud and rock are among these rough surfaces that non-boots are not generally manufactured to withstand for extended periods of time. Dust is satisfied by being annoyingā¦ok fine, itās satisfied by accumulating into large quantities as well as spreading out.
ā¦.discolouration on pointer and middle fingers (left hand) as well as around the nails. [redefined: light stains on two fingers and their nails].
Divisibility:Ā Fingers are divisible into bones and joints as well as skin. Skin is easily stained. Stains are divisible into the components of whatever it is.
Comparability: Fingers are comparable to medium to high precision tools and claw like utensils. Stains are comparable to other stains. There are organic stains (such as food), inorganic stains (such as marks from burning plastics), and a mix of organic and inorganic stains (such as stains left from using cigaretteās, which are generally found on the pointer and middle finger of oneās dominant hand).
Connectivity: Fingers are connected to the palm of the hand and to rings and other things the fingers interact with. Stains are connected to itās components as well as what they stain.
Disturbability: Fingers can be disturbed by being stopped, prevented, or crushed. Stains can be disturbed by being cleaned away or prevented.
Reorderability: Fingers are reordered into spatial and time spectrums. A finger has organisable spatial parts as well as stages through time (e.g., child to adult fingers, smooth to rough fingers, clean to dirty fingers). Stains are organised into stages based on production, varying size, and eventual destruction.
Substitutability: Fingers can be substituted by medium to high precision tools as well as other fingers (such as someone elseās fingers or surgically placed fingers). Stains can be substituted by other stains.
Satisfiability: Fingers are satisfied by being used as tools. Stains are satisfied by the definition of a stain and their longevity.
Subject B
Attire; casual floral patterned knee high dress, jean jacket without noticeable rips or tears.
Divisibility: Dresses are divisible into patterned fabric as well as the floss thread. Jean jackets are divisible into denim and floss thread.
Comparability: Dresses are comparable to other dresses as well as casual outfits in general. They can be compared on the basis of colour, pattern, material, costs, and specific style. Jean jackets can be compared Ā similarly within their respective group of attire.
Connectivity: Dresses are connected to what they go on (such as people or manikins). Jean jackets are connected to similar things as dresses.
Disturbability: Dresses are disturbed by rips or stains. Jean jackets are disturbed by similar things to dresses.
Reorderability: Dresses are organised into stages of production, wear, and recycle or waste. Jean jackets are organised into similar stages.
Substitutability: Dresses can be substituted with other dresses or other outfits completely. Jean jackets can be substituted by other jackets, sweaters, or cardigans.
Satisfiability: Dresses are satisfied by being worn. Jean jackets are satisfied on similar basis.
Leans back when playing with earring.
Divisibility: Leaning is divisible into the energy necessary to perform the action as well as stages it is composed of. Playing with an earring is divisible into the psychological needs to contact an acute tactile surface, the body language provided by such a demonstration, and the earring itself.
Comparability: Leaning is comparable to other body stances. In this case itās comparable to other forms of sitting. Playing with an earring is comparable to other formsĀ
Connectivity: Leaning is connected to breathing with the diaphragm as well as posture. Playing with an earring is connected to tugging the ear and all physical, language, and psychological observations associated with it.
Disturbability: Leaning is disturbed by physical pain or an outside force stopping said lean (such as movement from other seats), language cues that shift leaning into something else, and psychological needs that guide leaning in various directions and arrest it completely. Playing with an earring is disturbed by similar physical, language, and psychological factors as well as physical factors associated with the earring itself such as a malfunctioning or broken earring.
Reorderability: Leaning is reordered by its various stages, which include the physical, language, and psychological forces that provide a tendency to lean, the process of leaning and the pains and reliefs associated with it, and the eventual arrest of the lean. Playing with an earring is broken into similar stages based on similar factors since it is also an action.
Substitutability: Leaning can be substituted with laying, positing oneās self upright, or leaning in other directions. Playing with an earring can be substituted with other tactile actions, language cues, and psychological need fulfilments as well as differing earrings.
Satisfiability: Leaning is satisfied by itself, the act of leaning. Leaning may satisfy other needs such as cues and pain relief. Playing with an earring is satisfied by itself and may satisfy the earring based on the materials composing it.
Conclusion
A simple observation on dusty boots or a tendency to play with jewelry can yield so much information previously hidden. This new data was not somehow magically pulled out of thin air. It took effort and thought to look below the surface. Now that we have new information, next week weāll take that per se deep data and make deductions previously unfathomed with the information available. Donāt forget to do your homework! No, weāre not going to punish you if you donāt do it, but doesnāt that make it a little more enticingā¦a little data processing practice with no repercussions. Have fun analysing! -M.C.
Here at Looking Glass we want you to have as much information for building a potent mental prowess of observation and deduction. Itās important to us that you receive a quality experience. So, if you have questions or concerns, you can send them to us on our blog at the Ask Us Anything page.
Michael Calladus is an online consultant detective and blogger. He specialises in advanced memory palace techniques, psychological profiling, and compound chemistry based deductions. You can read more from him here.











