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Currency market is a highly complex decentralized system of exchanges connecting brokers with interbank market where the big banks operate. Electronic Brokering Services (EBS) and Reuters are two big interbank platforms that have most of the market share. The minimum ticket size required for doing business on these two platforms is 1 million units. TheseâŚContinue Reading â
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Artificial intelligence is increasing being used in developing systematic trading systems. In this post, we will discuss the broad outlines of how artificial intelligence is increasing being used in algorithmic trading and systematic trading. The first attempt at systematic trading was made by Japanese rice traders when they developed candlestick patterns. This happened long beforeâŚContinue Reading â
You need trading models, if you want to succeed as a trader on the long term. Trading systems are build on trading models. You trading system should be able to tell you when to buy and when to sell correctly something like 80% of the time.In the past two decades financial markets have changed drastically. âŚContinue Reading â
RandomForest is a supervised machine learning algorithm that uses the ensemble machine learning in making predictions. In this post I will try to build a RandomForest Algorithmic Trading Model can see if we can achieve above 80% accuracy with it. The idea is to build an algorithmic trading strategy using Random Forest algorithm. Then weâŚContinue Reading â
Trading with your intuition and gut feelings is a recipe for disaster. What we need is a systematic approach to trading that revolves around risk and reward. For this we need to learn a bit of predictive modelling. As long as you trade with a seat of the pants method, you going nowhere near yourâŚContinue Reading â
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Dynamic Linear Models were first used in the Apollo space program. Later on in the Polaris aerospace program and Voyager spacecraft orbit determination, oceanographic problems, agriculture, economics speech recognition and many more. In the last three decades Dynamic Linear Models also known as DLM have found widespread use in diverse fields like biology, environment, qualityâŚContinue Reading â
I had always been interested in applying statistical methods in improving my trading results. I believe in using technical analysis. But also believe that technical analysis has limitations. Most of the time what appears to be a perfect buy/sell signal is only clear afterwards when the market move has completed itself. Can we apply theâŚContinue Reading â
How to build a trading strategy using dynamic time warping algorithm. A detailed analysis of whether we can use dynamic time warping algorithm in trading.
Today more stocks are traded on the dark pools than stock exchanges. Dark pools are private stock exchanges operated by big banks where they allow big investors to buy and sell stocks anonymously. The trading information on these dark pools is a private thing. Nothing is disclosed about the investors and all transactions take placeâŚContinue Reading â
If you want to achieve long term success as a trader, then you should become a system trader. A system trader builds mechanical trading systems with clear and unambiguous buy/sell signals, then codes that system into a trading robot. This trading robot comprises of two components: the custom indicator that codes the trading strategy andâŚContinue Reading â
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Brownian motion is an important part of Stochastic Calculus. When you start developing quantitative trading strategies, pretty soon you will hit upon Brownian Motion. If you are interested in designing and developing algorithmic trading strategies than you should know stochastic calculus and Brownian motion. It will take some effort to learn stochastic calculus and BrownianâŚContinue Reading â
We are interested in stock prices and their future returns as traders and investors. If you are a stock trader, you would have often come across quantitative trading strategies that use advanced probability theory and stochastic calculus in calculating the stock price volatility. Most of us have no idea how to understand these quantitative tradingâŚContinue Reading â
Federal Reserve Bank is the most powerful central bank in the world. Central banks are the most powerful players in the financial markets and the global economy. Most traders donât have a clear understanding of what is the role of central banks and how they influence the financial markets. Sometimes it is other way around.âŚContinue Reading â
Economic indicators are the key drivers of financial markets. For a novice trader, currency market is always full of surprises. Price moves when you donât want it to move. But for a professional trader there is no surprise as he keenly follows these economic indicators like professional market analysts. Gold prices are keenly watched byâŚContinue Reading â
Psychology is the biggest driver of foreign exchange market. As a trader you should know this! You might ask how? Well the explanation is simple. Foreign exchange market is made up of thousands and thousands of people and it is their psychology that drives the market in the short run. In the long run weâŚContinue Reading â
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If you are a forex trader than you must be trading on MT4. There are other trading platforms available too like the Trade Station, Ninja Trader, Think and Swim but forex traders seem to love MT4 and its new version MT5. MT4/MT5 are free to download and use. Today MT4 and MT5 can also beâŚContinue Reading â
In this post I will build a state space model for trading forex. State state modeling sounds close to SpaceX and NASA than to the world of stock trading and forex trading. State state modeling was invented in early 1960s when NASA needed a recursive algorithm to solve the navigation of Apollo mission. Kalman inventedâŚContinue Reading â