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Where we are at with Iran
With more pain and little gain in the Iran war, the question is what course of action the US should take. The options are few. The stakes are great. Let’s have a look: Option 1: double down President Trump is doubling down on the air attacks. The US is nightly raiding Iranian military and dual use facilities. CENTCOM claims to have hit Iran’s military operation centers, naval capabilities,…
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More pain and little gain
Donald Trump’s 14-point plan for ending the war he and Israel launched against Iran lasted less than a month. That is not unusual for a ceasefire. The US has spent the last ten nights bashing Iran, including dual-use infrastructure. Iran has returned fire, not only against US forces but also against its allies in the region, especially Jordan and Kuwait. Tehran has also hit ships to prevent them…
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On the agenda and off for US-Serbia
The US government is proceeding with its “strategic dialogue” with Serbia tomorrow. This is in the runup to a Serbian presidential and parliamentary election, which President Vucic has said will occur in the next three or four months. He himself intends to resign before the election. He is term-limited and cannot run again but is widely expected to support a candidate who will invite him to form…
It’s an old game. They’ll play it again The US will try to get Serbia aligned with US objectives. Serbia will offer half a loaf. It's an old game. They'll play it again....
How to fix what ails America If even a handful of retiring Republicans announce that they will caucus with the Democrats, the majority in both Houses would shift....
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Trump and Putin have the same problem https://www.youtube.com/shorts/falyMPe8ZZM Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump have both launched wars of aggression, the former against Ukraine and the latter, with Israel, against Iran....
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Improved, but not as good as could be With NATO and EU membership, Kosovo won't care much about UN membership, which can't happen until Russia and Serbia enjoy a democratic resurgence hard to picture today....
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It’s an ailing America, and it won’t recover soon No, America is no longer the America Europeans, including Kosovars, want it to be. And it won't recover soon....
It’s good that a bad war is ending badly The protests and upheaval the Israelis and Trump hoped would happen during the war are much more likely in its aftermath....
Sharing the future to avoid conflict
I spoke earlier today via Zoom at the opening session of a conference in Pristina on Bridges of Memory: Reconciliation and Transitional Justice in Post-Conflict Societies/Diplomacy, Memory, and Historical Interpretation. Here are the notes I prepared for the occasion: First I apologize to you for appearing remotely. I’d much rather be in Pristina. But I was in the Balkans 10 days ago and will be…
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A sharp break in Western Balkans policy The State Department report to Congress on "United States Policy to Promote Regional Stability and Prosperity in the Western Balkans" merits analysis and comment....
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The best available alternative is the EU Accession of Montenegro and Albania would help the EU stake its claim to leadership of the liberal democratic world. That's the best alternative to the US....
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Montenegro in the final lap
Here is the original English version of the remarks I prepared for the Montenegrin Political Science Association. I participated in their second annual conference last Tuesday and Wednesday in Budva. Pobjeda published these remarks in Montenegrin today: It is a great pleasure to be back in Montenegro. I’m afraid I have no record of my first visit here, but I think it was in the late 1990s. I do…
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Trump is making America weak again
Donald Trump likes to play the heavy. Whenever he sees someone as weak, he bullies mercilessly. But he is manifestly making America weak again, as he did in his first term. That featured remarkable assaults on American democracy and the rule of law. In his second term, he established his top domestic priority in his first budget. He is trying to rid America of immigrants. That includes those…
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Trump is losing two wars, one is in Iran
Q: "To what extent are American's financial situation motivating you to make a deal [with Iran]?"Trump: "Not even a little bit…I don't think about Americans' financial situation, I don't think about anybody." pic.twitter.com/M91RuqXstL— The Bulwark (@BulwarkOnline) May 12, 2026 This clip reveals two things about Trump. He has downgraded his goals for the Iran war. And he really doesn’t care…
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International mistakes in Bosnia and Kosovo
The international community makes mistakes. Today has brought to my attention two of them: The Bosnia High Representative, Christian Schmidt, is in the news because he is (thankfully) quitting. The Kosovo Specialist Chambers (KSC) trying former Kosovo President Hashim Thaci and other leaders of the Kosovo Liberation has gotten some comeuppance in a British report. The HiRep Schmidt has done…
Tolls at the strait of Hormuz?
The Trump Administration is busy leaking its proposals for opening the strait of Hormuz and trashing Tehran for collecting tolls. Iran is busy creating a Persian Gulf Strait Authority to collect the tolls. The legalities I am not a lawyer. But even I know the legal issues are more complicated than US Ambassador to the UN Waltz suggests. The 1982 Law of the Sea Convention confirmed the right of…
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