Mishkinâs Musings: The 2013-14 Lightning â Seeing Results From Organizationâs Long Term Plan
 Back in the spring of 2010, during his opening press conference as General Manager, Steve Yzerman talked about his vision for the Lightning. Like owner Jeff Vinik, Yzerman used the phrase âWorld Class Organizationâ. He stated that the best way to construct a World Class Organization on the ice, one that consistently qualifies for the playoffs and is in the running for the Stanley Cup every year, is to build through the draft.Â
The Lightningâs plan was to draft and develop home-grown talent, so that a continuous pipeline of good, young players would be regularly refilling the Lightningâs cupboard. The need for this pipeline is obvious â as current roster players eventually graduate to Unrestricted Free Agency status, it becomes impossible to keep them all. By replacing those departing players with homegrown talent, it removes the need to chase (and potentially overpay for) high-priced free agents.
It sounds like a great approach, so why donât all teams follow that model? First of all, you have to draft well. Not all teams do. Also, clubs need to allow those draft picks to develop at their own pace and not rush them to the NHL before theyâre ready. That takes organizational discipline, which can be an elusive characteristic. Many clubs are inclined to put their talented youngsters right on the NHL squad, especially if that team is struggling to win games. As well, organizations must resist the urge to trade away draft picks and prospects for short-term ârentalsâ at the trade deadline. Sometimes those late-season acquisitions help a team win the Stanley Cup, but dealing away young talent (and not receiving prospects in return) is not the best way to keep the proverbial cupboard filled.
Since he took over as General Manager four years ago, Yzerman has been steadfast in adhering to these principles. The vast majority of trades have involved adding either picks or prospects. When he has traded a pick or prospect, heâs often gotten a pick or prospect in return, as in the Cory Conacher-Ben Bishop deal.Â
During that initial press conference, however, Yzerman was upfront about the draft/develop philosophy. There can be a short-term cost, especially when an organization doesnât have many viable prospects to begin with. It takes time to see results and the big club might endure some tough seasons in the interim. Most future NHL players are drafted at age 18. Perhaps with the exception of a first overall pick like Steven Stamkos, most of those draftees will remain amateurs until at least age 20 (or longer if theyâre attending a U.S. University). Then theyâll spend some time in the minors, often another season or two, before matriculating to the NHL.
Itâs true that during the first year of the Yzerman regime, the Lightning made the playoffs and reached the Eastern Conference Final. But that team wasnât really homegrown. Instead, Yzerman made some savvy free agent signings and trades, moves that helped the Bolts get to within a game of the Stanley Cup Final. But, as if a reminder that such an approach doesnât guarantee long-term success, the Lightning couldnât follow it up in subsequent years. After the 2011 run, the Bolts lost a few players to free agency and others couldnât replicate their 2010-11 performances. Tampa Bay missed the playoffs in 2011-12 and again in the shortened 2013 season.Â
But while the NHL team was experiencing the high of the 2011 playoffs and the lows of the next two seasons, something special was happening at the minor league level. Lightning draft picks were turning pro and helping the AHLâs Norfolk Admirals improve. In 2010-11, for the first time in several seasons, the Admirals qualified for the playoffs. The next year, other prospects joined Norfolk, including 2011 seventh round pick Ondrej Palat and undrafted free agent Tyler Johnson. The 2011-12 Admirals finished up the regular season with 27 consecutive victories and added one more in Game One of their first round playoff series.  The 28 straight wins set a record in professional sports. That team also won its final 10 playoff games to capture the Calder Cup.
Whatâs interesting about the 2011-12 season was the Lightningâs approach regarding call-ups. For most of the year, the Bolts were in a dogfight to make the playoffs. But at no point did Yzerman summon any of the youngsters as reinforcements. Instead, when the Lightning needed a player from the minors, they recalled AHL veterans like Trevor Smith or J.T. Wyman. Johnson, Palat, Radko Gudas, Mark Barberio, Richard Panik, Conacher (who won the AHLâs MVP award that year) and Alex Killorn, who arrived after finishing his senior season at Harvard, stayed put in Norfolk. There they played lots of minutes, continued to develop and won lots of games.
It wasnât until the 2013 campaign that those aforementioned prospects got to the NHL. Even so, it was just a cup of coffee for most of them, although Gudas and Killorn, once called up, stayed up. (And, of course, Jon Cooper, the head coach of the Lightningâs minor league affiliate since 2010, also was promoted to the big club.)Â
Finally, this year, the organization felt the kids were ready. That conviction was reflected in how quiet the Bolts were in the 2013 offseason. After buying out Vinny Lecavalierâs contract, they signed Valtteri Filppula. But, in terms of adding other established NHL players, the Bolts did nothing. It was time to put the plan to work and let their prospects play.Â
The results this year speak for themselves. The Lightning went from 28th in the NHL to 101 points, the third-most points in the Eastern Conference. Bishop is a Vezina Trophy Finalist. Johnson and Palat are Calder Trophy Finalists. Other contributors this year were Gudas, Killorn, Barberio, Andrej Sustr, J.T. Brown, Nikita Kucherov and Panik. There is no more short-term pain. Those strong organizational roots, growing in the AHL over the past few seasons, have sprouted out of the ground.Â
As I wrote in my âExtra Shiftâ column after the Lightningâs Game Four loss to Montreal last week, even the playoff defeat will be beneficial to the club. Twelve Lightning players made their NHL postseason debut in the series â and theyâll be better for having gone through that experience, short as it was.
Perhaps the best â and most exciting â part of the Lightningâs approach is that, now that the water is running out of the spigot, itâll keep flowing. More good prospects are already in the organization â such as Cedric Paquette, whose play at the end of the year earned him more postseason appearances (four) than regular season contests (two). Others, mostly from the draft class of 2012, will be turning pro next year.
But a note of caution, too. On more than one occasion, Iâve heard Yzerman talk about his time in Detroit â and that the Wingsâ organizational goal at the start of every year was to make the playoffs. Not win the Stanley Cup. Just make the playoffs. Why? Because, as Yzerman notes, itâs hard to make the playoffs. Even the Red Wings, who have now qualified for the postseason in 23 consecutive years, view making the playoffs as a challenge.
Still, many of the leagueâs elite teams do make the playoffs every year. Boston since 2007-08. Chicago since 2008-09. San Jose since 2003-04. Los Angeles since 2009-10. Pittsburgh since 2006-07. And the Red Wings since 1990-91.  But one only has to look to Toronto and Ottawa as a sobering reminder â teams that qualify one year may not make it the next. Which is why Yzerman took a cautiously optimistic tone during his end-of-season media session. He was asked if this season jived with his vision of where he wants the team to be. He smiled and stated that, if five years from now he can look back and see that the Bolts made the playoffs every year, then yes. But itâs clear that heâs encouraged by what transpired this year. And given the organizationâs patient, solid, long-view approach, thereâs no reason to believe that the Lightning wonât be able to keep moving forward in 2014-15.