#rogers 11

Timing of...

Baby News

Courtney revealed Pregnancy #11 via her Instagram Story on March 11, 2020. (Sadly, I didn’t get a screenshot...  If anyone did, please DM it to me!  I’m very sad not having a citation for this.)  Her Due Date was November 19, 2020—so, she was just 27 Days Along (<4 Weeks), at the time.

This is fairly standard for Courtney.  Prior to this, she typically announced at 37 Days Along.  (That’s her average, less one outlier:  She waited a whopping 182 Days to reveal Pregnancy #8*, after an 11–Week Miscarriage.)  When we factor Pregnancy #11 in...  Her typical Pregnancy Announcement now happens at 36 Days Along (5 Weeks, 1 Day)—i.e., 1 Day Earlier.

Sex Reveal

Courtney did a Sex Reveal for Rogers #11 via Instagram on May 11, 2020.  At the time, she was 88 Days Along (12 Weeks, 4 Days). 

With the exception of Clint (#1) and Cade (#2), every Rogers Offspring has had a Sex Reveal.  Prior to Rogers #11, it was done at 146 Days—i.e., 20 Weeks, 6 Days—Along, on average.  Factoring in Rogers #11′s much earlier Sex Reveal, it’s now typical for Courtney to do it at 138 Days Along (8 Days Earlier).

Delivery (vs. Due Date)

Courney’s Due Date was November 19, 2020, but Rogers #11 wasn’t eager to arrive...  Ultimately, Courtney was induced on Friday, November 27, and Caris was born on Saturday, November 28, 2020—i.e., 9 Days Late.

Courtney’s Delivery (vs. Due Date) Data is kind of all over the place...  Duggar Data has been able to track down Due Dates for 9 Rogerses.  One of those is their twins, Colt and Case, so it’s really 8 Data Points.  But...  Honestly, Colt / Case shouldn’t count; they arrived markedly early, but that’s pretty typical for twins.  Additionally, Calena (#4) arrived 44 Days Early, but that shouldn’t really count either, since that was due to placenta previa that hasn’t recurred.  So...  Courtney has 6 Data Points for Delivery (vs. Due Date).  Taking the average of those, it was ‘typical’ for her to deliver 3 Days Late, prior to Rogers #11.  Now factoring in Rogers #11, that shifted to 4 Days Late (1 Day Later).

Birthweight & Length

At birth, Caris weighed an impressive 9 Pounds, 3 Ounces.  (She’s the largest Rogers Newborn, to date.)  Courtney didn’t share Caris’s length—so, let’s just focus on the Birthweight Data...

Again, let’s exclude the twins (Colt and Case, #6 and 7) and Calena (#4), who were born prematurely...  Taking the average of the rest, your ‘typical’ Rogers Offspring was 8 Pounds, 1 Ounce, at birth.  Now, that shifted to 8 Pounds, 4 Ounces—or, +3 Ounces. 

Procreative Pace

Rogers #10 (Coralee) was born June 6, 2019.  Rogers #11 was born 541 Days Later (17.8 Months), on November 28, 2020.

... and, that’s actually kind of slow, by Courtney’s absurd standards.  Prior to Rogers #11, Courtney’s Average Child Spacing was 377 Days.  (No, it’s not a typo.  She’s that fertile.  It’s scary.)  Coralee–to–Rogers #11 is actually longer that any of Courtney’s prior Child Spacings.  Factoring it in...  Her Procreative Pace shifts to 1 Child / 396 Days (19 Days Slower).  

When to Expect Rogers #12

Based on Courtney’s Procreative Pace, etc., here’s what to expect—

Baby News   May 8, 2021

Sex Reveal   August 15, 2021

Due Date   Christmas 2021

Projected DOB   December 29, 2021

Estimated Size of Quiver  (ESOQ)