The popular panic over immigration, and the pseudo-scientific justifications for nativism and racism, came together in the push for the National Origins Act of 1924, a measure that drastically reduced immigration from southeastern Europe and banned Asians from immigrating entirely.
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Is demography the new front line of the culture wars?
Last December, one of the world’s wealthiest men, with public pretensions to being an intellectual, took the stage at a hard-right festival in Rome named after a character from a 1980s children’s fantasy film, and delivered an astounding streak of falsehoods.
The world’s population will be “one tenth of its current size” within three generations, he claimed. In fact, it is predicted to rise to ten billion. The birth rate, he said, “is maybe half the replacement rate”. Actually, it is above replacement globally. “Farming and cows do not have any meaningful effect on the environment,” he said. “Objectively, this is true.” Objectively, it is not. Methane is the second-biggest anthropogenic greenhouse gas and cows account for about 15 per cent of it. More than once, the host stopped Elon Musk to ask if he meant what he was saying. When he said the low birth rate meant there might not be “enough people to work” in a company in Italy, the host pointed out this was in 50 or 60 years at the earliest. “I think it’s even sooner than that,” replied Musk.
After a display as loose with the facts as this, it would seem a good thing that the Tesla billionaire’s philanthropic foundation – the Musk Foundation – has made one of its largest commitments yet to a demographic research centre at the flagship campus of the University of Texas at Austin. But it seems this centre is the omphalos of Musk’s garbled apocalypticism.
The $10m gift for the Population Wellbeing Initiative (PWI), which is led by Dean Spears, Mark Budolfson and Diane Coffey, has received little media attention (before a recent Bloomberg Businessweek feature). The size of the gift is notable in a time of austerity in academia. Although it does not announce itself as such, the PWI is the most well-funded North American research outpost of the movement known as effective altruism or long-termism. This school of thought is associated with the Global Priorities Institute which opened at Oxford in 2018 and was the workplace of the philosopher William MacAskill, whose bestselling 2022 book What We Owe the Future brought long-termism to public attention. Seeded by a $383,000 grant in 2021 by Longview Philanthropy on the topic of “population decline”, the PWI has become an arsenal for the Depopulation Bomb.
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