psybersecurity replied to your post âIMO, an idea that should be more widely spread â not even widely...â
The problem with this is that I don't think you yourself are actually a contrarian at all - you seem like you engage with a wide range of viewpoints but usually end up coming down with a sensible moderate take close to the status quo. Personally contrarianism is definitely a personality flaw of mine and introspection tells me that the stereotype-land psychology you mention is more or less on point in my case.
I think a lot of that is that I usually think I havenât learned enough about any given topic to feel at all certain about it, and if you need a default fallback position for times when youâre very uncertain, the status quo seems like the natural choice.
Thereâs also the countervailing effect of the other sort of relevant anxiety, which is about how if I do something that âpeople donât likeâ it will not only make people dislike me (which is not good, but not the main worry) -- it would also close me off from many people who could provide useful perspectives, and push me towards a smaller self-confirming circle of like-minded people.  In particular, what I fear is a âonce youâre out, you canât argue your way back inâ dynamic -- if someone stops thinking itâs worthwhile to listen to you, you canât say anything to make them reconsider this, because they wouldnât be listening.  So (according to my nervous temperament anyway): thereâs a certain epistemic value to not getting a reputation as a âcrackpotâ or âcontroversial figureâ or âThat Guy.â  (Plus also the moral worry that if a lot of people disapprove of a behavior, it may be morally wrong)
The second kind of worry makes me self-censor, and if I self-censored less, I would (because of the first kind of worry) say a lot more things like âwhy does everyone think this is obvious???  Can someone please explain it to me?  Arrrgghhâ
(On that note, to give a constructive example, can anyone point me to some serious scientific critiques of Cochran and Harpending? Â They seem widely dismissed by the mainstream, but I read part of their book and they at least cited real science and sounded plausible to my domain-expertise-lacking ass. Â But we all know what sorts of nonsense one can get people to believe by citing lots of scientific papers and trusting that they wonât look all of them up and check out whether they can do the job theyâre being put to. Â OTOH maybe C&H get dismissed out of hand and shouldnât. Â This is the kind of thing that eats away at me once I find out about it. Â I am not really capable of saying âthis is fringe scienceâ and then forgetting about it, unless itâs fringe physics/math in which case I can sometimes evaluate it myself)