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11/17/13 NFL (Picks by Pauly)
Picks by Pauly
NFL: Jets -1
Fade the Fade. If that makes any sense. We're backing the Jets off a bye week even though Rex Ryan is 1-2 off a bye. The Bills are... well, the Bills. The Jets smell blood in the water with a potential playoff berth up for grabs. They also added Ed Reed to the roster, in hopes of bolstering the porous secondary.
10/27/13 NFL (Pauly)
Picks by Pauly NFL: Cincy -5.5 Fade the Jets! Yes they are playing the Bungals but then again the Jets are still the Jets. Geno Smith has a pattern emerging -- he plays a bad game the week after a good game. Let's see if AJ Green can do sone damage against Cromartie.
9/29/13 NFL - Fade the Jets
Picks by Pauly
NFL:
Tenn -3.5
Jake Locker is the messiah! Okay, not quite, but he pulled off Favre-like or Elway-like heroics late in last week's game to come-from-behind to win. Jets QB Geno Smith is still playing like a rookie -- inconsistent with flashes of brilliance -- and they really still can't run the ball. Rex Ryan will throw the kitchen sink at Locker to try to disrupt his flow, but you can't turn your back on Tennessee this season. They smell 3-1 and only the Jets stand in their way.
FYI... fading the Jets is now 2-2 for the season.
9/22/13 NFL
Picks by Pauly
NFL:
Buffalo +3 (Fade the Jets)
Buffalo +130 (Fade the Jets)
Balt +2.5
Over at the blog, I go into more details about my decision to fade the NY Jets. I'm backing the Bills and their rookie QB. I also like Baltimore as a home dog today against Houston, who is 1-5 ATS in last 6 games and 0-4 ATS in last 4 road games.

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9/12/13 NFL - Thursday Night Football
Picks by Pauly
NFL:
Pats ML -550
Fading the Jets again. We went 1-1 last week (Jets won as a home dog but we hit the UNDER).
Yes, the moneyline. The Pats win this game, but they often struggle with covering double digit spreads. I can't even pull the trigger with Jets 11.5. With two integral players on offense (D. Amendola and S. Vereen) both out for the Pats, I have doubts that the Pats can unleash an outburst, especially on a short week. But then again, let's not get too ahead of ourselves. Sure, Geno Smith might be better than Mark Sanchize, but he's still a rookie. Bill Bellicheat will throw everything possible at Geno to confuse him in only his second NFL game.
I'd hit the under, but Buffalo66 talked me out of it!
For more details, check out... NFL Week 2: Fading the Jets on ThNF and Other Tales of Ordinary Madness .
9/8/13 NFL
Picks by Pauly
NFL:
TB -2.5
Bucs/Jets UNDER 41
Jets are starting a rookie QB. Anyone is better than Mark Sanchize, but we're going to fade the Jets even as a home dog.
For more in depth details on Fading the Jets visit Ocelot Sports blog.
I hear the Jets fans are facepalming pretty hard.
all going according to plan
or not LOL