Ocelot Sports

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Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Oregon State/Hawaii UNDER 153.5 (-107) Merry Christmas! I hope Santa padded your bankroll. Today we get a small slate of college hoops. Hawaii hosts Oregon State in the last round of the Diamond Head Classic. Both of these teams can play up tempo, but I think playing a 3rd game in three days will make the total tougher to hit. I'm taking Oregon State/Hawaii UNDER 153.5 (-107).

Picks by Buffalo66 NFL: Falcons/49ers UNDER 46 (-105) The last MNF game of the season and the final regular season game at Candlestick Park. Thanks to Arizona winning in Seattle, SF is still alive for the division and a bye. I expect an emotionally charged performance by the 49ers, they know how to take care of business. If SF gets a lead they will grind out the clock in the final quarter. I'm taking Falcons/49ers UNDER 46 (-105).

Picks by Buffalo66 NFL: Dolphins/Bills UNDER 43 (-102) Jaguars +5 (-105) Sundays have been good to me in December, let's finish strong. Miami visits Buffalo in a game that should feature freezing rain. Bills top receiver Stevie Johnson is out and Fred Jackson has sore ribs. This is a must game for Miami so I think it gets conservative. I'm taking Dolphins/Bills UNDER 43 (-102). Tennessee visits Jacksonville in a meaningless game. Both teams are banged up pretty good. The home dog plus the points is good value here. I'm taking Jaguars +5 (-105).

Picks by Buffalo66 Bowls: Buffalo +2 (-106) Welcome to bowl season. Buffalo faces SD State in the Idaho Potato Bowl. Here's a chance for folks to see a premier linebacker in the Bulls' Khalil Mack. Buffalo should be able to put points on the board versus the Aztecs defense. SD State has also had kicking problems for most of the year. I'm taking Buffalo +2 (-106).

Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Troy ML (+139) Pacific ML (+142) Parlay: Portland ML/Wyoming ML (parlay +162) Last night was a stout kick in the nuts. Let's try this again. Troy faces off against Western Illinois in Utah. Both teams have similar point production but Troy shoots FTs better. Value here. I'm taking Troy ML (+139). Princeton faces Pacific in Las Vegas. Princeton has the better resume here although both teams are 8-1. Pacific shoots FTs better and are much closer to home. I'm fading the public here and going west coast. I'm taking Pacific ML (+142). Bradley faces Portland in Utah. So far the Braves haven't traveled well. SMU has a tough road game in Wyoming. Larry Nance Jr. just dropped 38 in his last game for the Cowboys. I'm taking Portland ML/Wyoming ML (parlay +162).

Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Utah State -13.5/USC ML (parlay +259) Duke ML/Dayton ML/Clemson ML (parlay +189) Now that Thursday football has left us behind, we can concentrate on basketball. Duke plays UCLA at MSG. The Blue Devils are a deeper team should the game get foul happy. Dayton hosts Iona. The Flyers may run away tonight. Clemson travels to Auburn. This game might be close, but Clemson defense and FT shooting should carry them. I'm taking Duke ML/Dayton ML/Clemson ML (parlay +189). Utah State is hosting Western Illinois which should be a mismatch. USC plays a road game at Long Beach State. I think the coaching is the difference here. I'm taking Utah State -13.5/USC ML (parlay +259).

Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Drexel +3.5 (-102) Massachusetts -2 (+103) UMass travels to Ohio for a hostile road game. I don't think there are many teams that can handle the speed and balance of the Minutemen. Plus they shoot FTs better than the Bobcats. I'm taking Massachusetts -2 (+103). In a Big Five match-up, Drexel travels across town to take on St. Joe's. This downplays any home court advantage for the Hawks. The Dragons are coming off an impressive road win and I think will cover here. I'm taking Drexel +3.5 (-102).

I'm going to try and break my slide in college round ball tonight.  Florida faces Memphis at MSG in the Jimmy V classic.  This is a classic example of taking value.  I see the game as a coin flip - neutral court, similar FT shooting, Gators are better outside but the Tigers are better in transition.  Florida is favored by three.  I like Memphis because the price is too good to pass up on the money line.  I'm taking Memphis ML (+146). Wichita State visits Alabama.  The Shockers seem undervalued versus a very inconsistent Tide.  Alabama's FT shooting already cost me a parlay this month.  I'm taking Wichita State -2 (-106).

I decided to go value shopping today.  Baltimore visits Detroit in a dome game.  The Ravens are only 1-5 on the road but they are decent at covering.  With a playoff birth on the line for both teams, I expect a close game. I bought this down for better value.  I'm taking Ravens +5 (+102). Winnipeg visits Columbus in a battle of backup goalie (Montoya) versus backup-backup goalie (McKenna).  While I slightly favor the Jets, the total is the better play.  I bought this up for a better payday.  I'm taking Jets/Blue Jackets OVER 5.5 (+138).

Picks by Buffalo66 NFL: 9ers -5 (-102) This week in the NFL I'm headed to squaresville. I really like the way San Francisco is playing right now. They have been a covering machine on the road this year at 3-1. Laying more than 4 points is not often a sharp move, but it just seems like the best play today. I'm taking 49ers -5 (-102).

It's another glorious day of college hoops with marquee match-ups on TV.  The Fighting Irish visit Indiana.  Butler faces Purdue in a de facto home game in Indianapolis.  And Belmont travels to South Dakota State.  (I'm staying away from UNC.  Kentucky is like a box of chocolates, you never know what you're gonna get.) I have watched 3 Notre Dame games in the last week and this team is scuffling.  So I'm pinning both my parlays on the Hoosiers.  I'm taking Indiana ML/Belmont ML (parlay +162) and Indiana ML/Butler ML (parlay +183). Mike McKenna is starting in goal for Columbus tonight.  That's about all you need to know to take the other side.  I'm taking Blues -1.5 (puck line +200).

Picks by Buffalo66 NHL: Capitals/Panthers OVER 5.5 (+104) College Football: astern Illinois -16 (-101) It's been a tough week in college hoops. Lost the last two nights when the home team (the better FT shooters) missed them repeatedly in the last five minutes. Those are the cover killers. I'm moving on to other sports today. In the NHL Washington heads to Miami. Tim Thomas out for the Panthers. Rookie starting in goal for the Caps. League leading scorer in Ovechkin. Sounds like a total play to me. I'm taking Capitals/Panthers OVER 5.5 (+104). In college pigskin we have some FCS games tonight (the playoffs formerly known as 1-AA). It's actually pretty hard to get decent data on some of these teams. Eastern Illinois is an offensive powerhouse. The weather is too iffy to play the total, but I like them to cover against Towson. I'm taking Eastern Illinois -16 (-101).

Tonight the Bruins visit Edmonton.  The Oilers give up lots of goals, this is a great play on the spread with Tuukka Rask in net.  I'm taking Bruins -1.5 (puck line +221). Depaul hosts Florida Atlantic.  With the Blue Demons at home and the better FT shooters, look for a cover here.  I'm taking DePaul -12 (+106).

Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Penn State ML/Bowling Green ML/Notre Dame ML (parlay +191) Another light schedule tonight. Surging Penn State visits Duquesne. North Dakota visits Bowling Green and North Dakota State visits the Irish in South Bend. I'm fading the Dakotas and putting together a three team parlay. I'm taking Penn State ML/Bowling Green ML/Notre Dame ML (parlay +191).

Picks by Buffalo66 College Hoops: Indiana -16.5 (+106) Illinois -16.5 (+108) Minnesota -16 (+103) I'm all in on Big Ten basketball tonight. Three huge mismatches I hope to cover. Indiana is home against Oakland, Dartmouth visits Illinois and SD State heads to Minnesota, youbetcha. Please hit your free throws! I'm taking Indiana -16.5 (+106), Illinois -16.5 (+108) and Minnesota -16 (+103).

It’s an unusually quiet night in college hoops. I do like the Irish to cover at home versus Bryant. I’m taking Notre Dame -13.5 (+103).