Melbourne researchers say extreme weather will lead to a century insect extinctions
A future without bugs? Yay! We should be so lucky. But donât be too quick to rejoice.
Future episodes of extreme weather will lead to mass extinctions of insects and reptiles in the next century, according to a new international study by Danish and Australian scientists.
Study zoology at Melbourne
Cold-blooded species like insects, spiders and skinks are collectively referred to as âectothermsâ and they rely on the environment to regulate body temperature, so are more vulnerable to environmental changes.
Professor Ary Hoffmann from the University of Melbourne said, âThe study revealed that extreme temperatures will determine the future distribution of insects, rather than increases in the average temperature.
âWith more extreme weather expected in the future due to climate change, our study indicates we are going to see substantial extinctions of some ectothermic species in the next 50 years or so.â
âSuch losses would not only pose a great threat to biodiversity, but also destabilize entire ecosystems,â said Professor Hoffmann
Small ectotherms such as bees, worms and spiders provide services that are essential for both the health of ecosystems and the viability of agriculture: pollination, pest control, and soil turnover.
In research published in Global Change Biology, Professor Hoffmann and Dr Michael Kearney from the University of Melbourne and Dr Johannes Overgaard from Aarhus University examined in unprecedented detail 10 Australian fruit fly species of the Drosophila genus from both temperate and tropical regions of the east coast.
First, the scientists determined the temperatures at which the species could develop and reproduce and their limits of tolerance for hot and cold temperatures. From these results and the present distribution of the fruit fly species, they then examined whether the present distribution of the species correlated with the temperatures required for growth and reproduction, or whether in fact their distribution was limited by weather extremes.
The results clearly indicated that distribution of the species was defined by their tolerance of unusually hot or cold days. While temperate species are more able to adapt to changes in average temperature than tropical species, extreme weather poses an equal threat to both.
âThe research implies that extreme eventsâeven though they donât last very longâcan have a very large impact on whether a species is going to into a decline or not,â Professor Hoffmann said.
University of Melbourne Department of Zoology
The Department of Zoology is tackling some of the major problems facing the world and society today. Whether it is climate change, food security, environmental toxicology or species extinction, scientists in zoology are tackling such major issues head-on.
Within the department you will find an international renowned group of academics, some 50-plus research fellows, and more than 100 postgraduate students, making zoology an incredibly vibrant workplace. Staff and students are active in many areas and the department has a vigorous and diverse research program with interests ranging from the structure and function of single cells through to the ecology, reproduction, development and evolution of animals.
Conservation and Climate Change
Research in Conservation and Climate Change examines aspects of wildlife and conservation biology of a wide range of terrestrial taxa, including mammals, birds, amphibians and invertebrates. Particular interests include abundance and composition of terrestrial vertebrate faunas as indices of environmental disturbance; habitat use and ecology of native mammals including marsupials; and the management of threatened species and overabundant native species.
