Eisman Is Betting Against 2 UK Banks on Brexit
Steve Eisman, the Neuberger Berman Group money manager who famously predicted the collapse of subprime mortgages before the 2008 financial crisis, is shorting two UK banks over expectations the country will leave the European Union without a trade deal.
The U.K. is one of the biggest risks Eisman is watching, he said at a conference in Dubai on Sunday, declining to name the banks heâs betting against. The fund manager expects the UK government to agree its exit from the bloc, but said Parliament is likely to reject the deal after that.
âIâm shorting two stocks in the UK, but Iâve got a screen of about 50, and I might short all 50 if I think Jeremy Corbyn is going to be prime minister,â Eisman said. âCorbynâs a Trotskyite. Now I know my Trotskyites well and I know you donât want to be invested in the U.K. if a Trotskyite is prime minister.â
While Eisman didnât give any clues as to which lenders heâs targeting, Metro Bank Plc and CYBG Plc are the most shorted financials in the FTSE 350 Index, according to data from Markit. Metro has 7.9 percent of its outstanding shares shorted, double the ratio at CYBG.
British and European negotiators are locked in talks to break the deadlock over how the UK will exit the EU with just five months left before the deadline. The uncertainty has prompted more than 70 business leaders, from lastminute.com founder Martha Lane Fox and former J. Sainsbury Plc chief Justin King, to sign a letter arguing that both the governmentâs current plans, and a no-deal Brexit, would be bad for companies and jobs.
Eisman also said that heâs still shorting Tesla Inc., even though the electric car-maker exceeded expectations in October, reporting its third quarter of positive earnings in its history.
Eismanâs bets against the housing market before the 2008 crisis were chronicled in Michael Lewisâs 2010 book âThe Big Short,â which highlighted money managers who foresaw and profited from the market turmoil. A character based on him was played by Steve Carell in the movie of the same name.
The post Eisman Is Betting Against 2 UK Banks on Brexit appeared first on Bloomberg Businessweek Middle East.
from WordPress https://ift.tt/2JCylSc
via IFTTT