Automation and the Case Against Universal Basic Income
One might say, âItâs all very well and good to sit around discussing the fundamental immorality of taxation when the population starves because of automation. We need Universal Basic Income to ensure that the richest portion of society, who control the robots, do not simply let the rest die. Either that or we need to regulate robots for the common good!â
Ignoring the conceitedness of protesting the existence of methods of production that are better alternatives than you, letâs focus on the thrust of why the argument for UBI is not only the wrong response to automation but may in fact be disastrous in the long run.
Automation is not a binary switch, in fact itâs a process that has gone on, piece by piece since the dawn of time. From the first time someone used a stick to extend their reach, we have been using tools to do portions of the work for us. And for every great leap and bound, there has been a cadre of people shouting, âThis spells the end.â Iâm sure the scribes shouted this at Gutenberg and the reapers to the inventor of the harvester. In fact, history is a long sequence of jobs appearing and disappearing, though for most of it, as existence has been a mean thing, the primary share of them still remained in the province of survival.
Some people point to disparity of wealth as a reason for why we will need to adopt UBI in response to automation. However, this presupposes that wealth disparity is directly linked to the lack of wealth. Wealth, in this case I will use as a catch-all for both income and goods generally. And while income disparity is an issue (which I hope to discuss fully at a later date) it is not the issue that is at the heart of the fear. The fear is that people will not have enough to live, to survive, to prosper even. But while income disparity has increased, the standard of living has too. When computers first began to gain the public attention, they were big, expensive, specific things, far removed from the common American, let alone a person living in a âthird-worldâ country. As time has passed though, these computers have found their way to such a wide audience that even areas such as Africa, a far cry from the economic conditions of the âfirst-worldâ, are showing a massive rise in cellphone ownership. These cellphones, in comparison to the lumbering and expensive pieces found in decades past, have exponentially more computing power and utility and come at an exponentially lower cost. Is it really out of the realm of reason that if computers have become so widespread that âautomationâ cannot either?
I say words like âautomationâ and âhappenâ (air quotes and all) because what exactly are computers but automation? Even the simplest cellphone does the work of hundreds of ancient people in sending a message across continents. And that is ignoring the thousands or millions of applications we have gotten computers to do in the last few years alone. Has this destroyed everyoneâs lives? Has the ubiquity of technology ushered in a new age of despair? Even if you think we do live in the worst of times (in which case I urge you to take a look at how and for what length people actually lived throughout history) it cannot simply be blamed on technology. After all, technology is nothing more than a utility, a tool, an extension of our will and intellect. The adage of âguns donât kill people, people kill peopleâ certainly comes to mind. However, if blame it to be laid at anyoneâs feet, Iâm not discussing that here.
Is it not inconceivable that in the same way computers only became more cheap and more useful, allowing humans to spend more time doing things that the computers now do, is it not possible (or inevitable) that the robots will undergo the same treatment. More and more we see robots finding uses in warehouses, where once it was cheaper to employ people and have them steer vehicles. If itâs not warehouses itâs supermarket checkouts or coffee-shops or even the floor of our own homes (Iâm looking at you Roomba, you evil job stealing monster).
If these robots become cheaper, just as computers did, just as 3-D printing is as well, we will find ourselves in the place where the means of high-tech production will be affordable, decentralized, and convenient. As more low-scale producers arise, we will find ourselves given more choice as to any of the myriad things we want. This might have the effect of curbing the aforementioned income disparity. Where once a few kings owned the world and the means of production, we may find ourselves in a time when every home has the potential to be the new seat of a great entrepreneur, ready to tap into an unknown market, unburdened by the need to produce on a huge scale to make up his or her overhead costs. Setting up a factory, managing shipping deals, and employing many employees works might seem comically inefficient when one could invent a product, then print it, even sell the plans online.
It benefits nobody to see the rest of the world starve, least of all the businessmen. Henry Ford famously increased his workers wages so that they too could afford a Model T, spurring new growth in the industry. If, as some people believe, businessmen are dragons, merely interested in hoarding resources for their den, we would have to assume that instead of constantly lowering the cost of new technologies, endlessly improving them, and generally improving everyoneâs lives, they would simply price everything as highly as possible, never innovate, and intentionally try to make everyone miserable. This is of course labouring under the assumption that the aforementioned behaviour would actually make any money at all. In fact, it would be such a bad tactic, that if they did decide to never cheapen robots and leave the world to burn in their wake, that they would live in constant fear of reprisal and would certainly lose the benefits of living in a healthier, happier world. After all, if we break it down to the most selfish and heartless motivations, a world starved and impoverished is unpleasant to live in, even if youâre rich as a king.
Businessmen are not a unified class with a unified interest. They compete endlessly with one another, innovating to make their products better, more appealing, or cheaper. In fact, I would go so far as to say that the self-interest of businessmen is a better line to rely on than the altruistic urge of the progressives, who merely want to hand out money as if that will necessarily improve things. Sure, people for a time may have a decent amount of money, but will it achieve growth or change? The transition from ârobots can do basic tasks at a high costâ to ârobots can do any task at a low costâ will not happen overnight. I warrant that by the time we have found our way to the end of that line, robots will be so cheap and ubiquitous, that a universal basic income would be a wasteful redundancy.