I said till the math aint mathing
george russell wdc propaganda post incoming because apparently some of you need to be reminded how mathematics works.
okay. everyone, take a deep breath.
I know we are in the trenches right now but let us all just breathe. My first popular post is the notorious Till the math ain’t mathing manifiesto, where from the get-go I stated that:
“I’m done doom posting about this.
Until the numbers say otherwise, George Russell is still perfectly capable of winning that title. He has the experience, even if the current narrative likes to undermine it. He has the skills, even if the internet won’t acknowledge them. He has the car, even if it’s not bending to his favor yet. He has the mindset, even if people who don’t know shit are twisting his own words to make him look like he’s chickening out.”
So let us take a step back and analyse the situation, putting our feelings aside, zooming in on the numbers and the variables and the percentages and the lingering faith that hope is the last thing that dies, even if the power unit does so first.
Yes, Spa was catastrophic. A disaster. The word I’d use? Anticlimactic. It was game over from the start, when the lights went out and he was already being embarrassingly overtaken due to the speed straight line issue. Perhaps I am comforting myself by saying that lowkey this nightmare scenario saved us from a humiliation ritual for George. Still, not ideal, not motivating, not great for the ‘we are so back’ agenda my tiktok reposts have been spreading.
Yes, Kimi winning while George retired is quite literally the worst possible combination of results. Not great for the ‘till the math ain’t mathing’ agenda, because, why does it matter that George tries and tries, that we call Mercedes out in their IG posts, that we rant over here about the mercedes shitshow, that we blow up the anti kimi antonelli tag -
Why does any of that matter if the car is fucked? How is it a fair fight if the chance to fight is not within grasp?
Yes, George Russell is now 50 points behind Kimi Antonelli in the Drivers' Championship, with Kimi on 204 and George on 154. Yes, George has dropped to third - again, behind Hamilton on 159.
Yes, I too would like to lie face-down on the floor and scream. I too would like to doompost and say see you in hungary. I too would like to spend the rest of the week opening Tumblr to check new posts that drag Mercedes to the ground, anything to feel validated, anything to feel like we haven’t lost this, that this hasn’t slipped through our fingers.
I too would like to sit on the floor and just take the defeat.
But that ain’t the manifesto I wrote, not the reason with which I picked my username.
The Hamilton Musical wisely sung:
“I’m laughing in the face of casualties and sorrow. For the first time I’m thinking past tomorrow”
Because George Russell is not mathematically out of the 2026 World Championship.
He’s not ‘technically still alive’ in the way people say something is technically possible when it would require a miracle, a blood moon and three different drivers to spontaneously vanish.
I mean genuinely, mathematically, absolutely still in the fight.
There are still 12 Grands Prix and 2 Sprints remaining. That is 316 points still available. George is 50 points behind Kimi, meaning he needs to outscore him by 51 points over the remaining races to take the lead.
That is a big gap and haters love to say that he is not max verstappen.
But let them talk, tweet and mock, because it is not an impossible gap.
A 50-point deficit with this much season left is not a championship funeral. Okay? It is a championship setback. An obstacle.
A narrative tool, if we chose to view it that way, if we decide to say fuck it we ball and carry forth.
Let’s explore the terrain, the land of possibility on which George can still pull this off.
First off, most importantly, George does not need to win every remaining race, he does not need to suddenly become the only driver capable of operating a motor vehicle. The obsession with expecting every champion to dominate is part of max verstappen’s legacy, but not part of george russell’s successful comeback. he’s got his own character arc, no need to copy and paste verstappen BORING!
So, George does not need Kimi to DNF every Sunday. And we shouldn’t be asking for it. Despite my past blog having had certain relevance in the anti antonelli tag, we should not be wishing for Kimi to crash every race. Or anyone else for that matter. Yes, we are pissed off. But safety is still important here and death is still an outcome and funerals aren’t as expensive as their yachts.
“And I believe that we are in for one of the most indisputable champion campaigns in the last of Formula 1 history. After everything that has gone wrong, when it finally turns around and George is on the first step of the podium again and again, over and over, when the dust clears, it will be unquestionable that he earned that title.
For that exact reason, I wish the best for the rest of the grid.
I wish for their race strategies to be thought-out properly, for their tyre management to be smartly handled, for their wins and losses to be entirely their own. I won’t be praying for DNFs, I won’t be manifesting for Kimi to fuck up.
I want George Russell to prove that he can win on his own right, that he doesn’t need for someone else to fuck up to get there. If they do fuck up, amazing. But I want clean races, where his skill is shown, where it’s obvious that the talent is there, that is had been earned, fought for and polished like the rest of him.”
In fact, like in another previous post, I believe that our fury at Kimi and our thirst for his blood is a result of Mercedes’ braindead propaganda that will one day blow up on their faces, on Kimi’s. They aren’t making that man - man because he is nearly twenty - any favors by putting him in a pedestal they had to put a staircase on for him to reach. This unfounded narrative is planting the seeds for the massive hate wave that will one day swim over antonelli. You already have a good chunk of ferrari and mclaren fans travelling to the anti kimi antonelli tag and that will only grow because he is not doing enough to actually earn that fabricated image. But Mercedes - Toto - doesn’t care. For them, Kimi is short-term liquidity, a ‘gifted kid’ who is now first in the standings but last year was outscored by 169 points by his ‘washed’ teammate in already a competitive car. This is not Kimi’s first time in a good car. It’s his first time in a battling car while George’s ‘equal machinery’ is constantly MIA.
As logic has it, to get that title George needs to consistently outscore Kimi. That much is obvious, but let’s explore the scenarios.
George wins a race: 25 points.
Kimi finishes fourth: 12 points.
George gains 13 points in one weekend.
Do that four times and suddenly the 50-point gap is basically gone.
George finishes second: 18 points.
Kimi finishes fifth: 10 points.
That is another 8 points gained.
George wins while Kimi has a bad weekend? gang that can be a 15–25 point swing in a single race.
And we have twelve of those left. Twelve and this is Formula 1. We have literally just watched a championship swing dramatically because one driver won and the other retired on the opening lap, the opening lap. The same mechanism that made Spa so devastating for George is the mechanism that means the championship is not over.
And please, for the love of God, stop thinking about this as ‘Kimi has a 50-point lead, therefore George needs to win 50 points.’
No. George needs to outscore Kimi by 51 points over the remaining 14 scoring events.
That is, if I’m correct, an average differential of about 3.6 points per scoring event.
Obviously, points are not distributed evenly and this is not how a championship actually unfolds, but the point is: George does not need to be massively better than Kimi every single weekend.
He needs to have the better second half of the season. A few wins, a few podiums. Kimi having one or two bad weekends due to his own errors or w2w with other drivers. George avoiding another zero.
If George averages 20 points per Grand Prix and Kimi averages 15, George gains 5 points per race. Over twelve races, that is 60 points.
And that means the championship is overturned.
If George wins three or four races and Kimi has a DNF or two, the gap can evaporate frighteningly quickly. If George wins Hungary next weekend and Kimi has a bad result, the conversation immediately changes. If George wins Hungary and the Netherlands while Kimi has one genuinely disastrous weekend, suddenly we're not talking about a 50-point deficit anymore.
If George enters the final five races within 15 points?
Chat, that is not a championship deficit. That is a fucking title fight.
And yes, I know that right now Kimi is the favorite. I am not going to lie to you and gaslight ourselves by pretending that George is in the statistically stronger position. He is not. Kimi has been phenomenal and has built a serious lead.
My honest estimate, based on the current situation, is that George's chances are somewhere around 25–30% right now.
But do you understand what that means? That means roughly one chance in four.
Let me grab you by the shoulders and tell you that doesn’t mean ‘George is finished’ or that ‘the championship is over, see you in 2027’.
It means that George Russell has a difficult, tough, obstructed but very real comeback path.
And that estimate can change after a single race. You hear me? It’s within reach.
A win for George and a bad result for Kimi? The odds can improve dramatically. Two George wins and one Kimi DNF? We are suddenly looking at a completely different championship and narratives love to change from one race to another, don’t they? George entering the final stretch within striking distance? All bets are off.
Please, for the love of God, don’t fall for the propaganda of how this season is decided by what the standings look like on July 19th. Nah, today we care about the World Cup because the F1 championship is decided at the end of the season.
And the current standings are:
That is a 50-point gap. It is painful and frustrating and i know you want to rip your hair out and objectively, the gap is a massive punch to the face after the season George has had, after the renowned hope from the past weekend.
But there are still 316 points on the table. I can’t express this enough.
George Russell has won races this year. He has been on the podium. He has shown the pace required to win. The Mercedes is capable of winning because that team has the resources and the advantages to do so.
The season is not over. So please stop writing his championship obituary in July.
You can cry and I am crying too and I have personally already mentally gone through all five stages of grief over Spa. You can be angry and devastated and hate everyone on tiktok for dismissing george.
But do not say it is over. Because it is not.
Not mathematically, not strategically, not with twelve Grands Prix and two Sprints still to go.
The gap is 50 points and yes, the deficit is difficult but news flash, in this blog, in my house of russell, the comeback is absolutely possible.
It is not over until the chequered flag in Abu Dhabi. Y’all can keep doubting him till december idc
And until then, I will be here, not delusional but informed, calculating points, threatening the universe, and believing in George Russell's World Championship because apparently someone has to do it because oh my god you guys clearly haven’t listened to That’s Life by mafia boss Frank Sinatra and it shows:
“I've been up and down and over and out
That's life (that's life)
I tell you, I can't deny it
I thought of quitting, baby
But my heart just ain't gonna buy it”
Which, also, why are we acting as if kimi and george race each other in vacuum? We already have had two races won by ferrari. My fellow 63ers, why are people looking at the standings and acting like the championship is a two-person private competition happening in a sealed laboratory. And why are we playing along with that??
KIMI ANTONELLI AND GEORGE RUSSELL DO NOT RACE IN A VACUUM!!!
There are still twelve Grands Prix and two Sprints left, and they are not going to spend all of those races peacefully finishing 1-2 in front of the rest of the field while politely exchanging championship points between themselves. Like, honestly, we need to be so for real. We should know better, gang, because this if Formula 1 and other teams can catch up, can take wins, can split Mercedes, can finish between George and Kimi, can take points away from Kimi.
And do you know who that helps?
Because the championship is not George vs Kimi, winner takes all, everyone else go home sponsored by Meta AI and oh look at that Louis Vuitton baner.
People wake up, don’t let the doom and gloom get to you. It is a points championship. If George finishes second and Kimi finishes fifth because a Ferrari, a Red Bull, a McLaren, or whoever else has a strong weekend gets between them, George gains points.
If George wins and Kimi finishes third, George gains seven points.
If George finishes second and Kimi finishes sixth, George gains ten.
If George wins and Kimi has a mechanical failure, a bad strategy, a penalty, a collision, or simply a terrible weekend, that is a massive swing.
And the more competitive the field becomes, the more opportunities there are for exactly that to happen.
The current Mercedes advantage is not a guarantee that every remaining race will be another clean Mercedes 1-2. Formula 1 does not work like that, even if every dumb TikTok creator likes to larp as if it does. Performance changes and development happens and upgrades are brought in and circuits suit different cars and the strategy goes wrong and drivers make mistakes and -
fucking hell, Kimi does not need to lose to George every weekend for George to gain on him.
He just needs to finish behind him. And if other teams are capable of getting between them? Even bloody better.
The title fight is not over because Kimi is currently the faster championship scorer and no, that is not the same thing as saying that Kimi is unbeatable.
And this is where I am going to say something that some people clearly do not want to hear:
George Russell and Kimi Antonelli are not the same type of driver.
Kimi has been good this season. Obviously. I am not going to sit here and pretend that he has accidentally stumbled into 204 points. He is fast. He is talented. He is winning races.
But a championship is not won solely by being fast when everything is going right, not when it feels as though every win is handed to you in a silver platter because the only guy who could give you a run for your money didn’t start the race, didn’t find the speed, didn’t even fucking finish the race.
No. Eventually, you have to deal with pressure.
You have to deal with a championship leader suddenly being hunted. You have to deal with your teammate closing the gap. You have to deal with races where the car is not perfect. You have to deal with wheel-to-wheel combat. You have to deal with making decisions when the driver behind you has nothing to lose.
And this is where George has something that Kimi, simply by virtue of being younger and less experienced at this level, has not had the same opportunity to build.
George Russell has been here before.
Guys, George knows what it is like to drive under pressure, what it is like to have a teammate who is being positioned as the next great thing, what it is like to have a championship fight turn against him. George knows how to fight for a position and he knows how to race wheel-to-wheel and he knows how to survive ugly races and he knows how to drag points out of weekends that should have been disasters.
To quote my manifesto again because I cooked so hard with it:
“George Russell has the guts.
You hear me? He has the guts to challenge his teammate, to fight for his positions, to stand tall when the public has already written him off and to act unbothered and to be too PR trained and to be too whiny and whatever else they want to throw at him without actually giving him a chance to show that he is more than the driver Mercedes seems eager to drop for 2027.
George Russell has the guts to be bullied by the internet, to be misunderstood and to be taken out of context. He has the guts to be turned into a meme and not flinch. He has the guts to stay respectful when interviewers, after every race, ask their questions in their ‘what does it feel to be a loser, george?’ tone.
George Russell, for his entire career, has had the courage to be a fucking loser.
To be uncool. To cry in public. To be called feminine in an emasculating way. He has faced scrutiny before, first by the stopwatch of his own father and then by the team he has been loyal to since the age of sixteen.”
And no, this does not mean Kimi is incapable of doing those things.
It means that we have not yet seen him tested by the exact kind of pressure that George would be applying if this gap starts to disappear. Simple as that.
Because being the championship leader is one thing.
Being the championship leader while your teammate has won three races in a row, while the media is asking whether the momentum has shifted, while every mistake is being analysed, while George Russell is appearing in your mirrors with absolutely nothing left to lose? Oh, honey, that is a completely different environment.
And George has a very obvious advantage in one particular area: our boy knows how to fight.
Chat wake up this is not a pity campaign. I need everyone to understand this, need to also climb up the Empire State with a flag that says it:
We are not rooting for George because he is sad.
We are not rooting for George because he had a bad day.
We are not rooting for George because we think he deserves a participation trophy for trying very hard.
Hell, I am not even rooting for him because I think he’s perfect for rpf and would hate to only see him winning this season as an AU.
No, gang, we know who we are bloody rooting for! We have always known, no mercedes marketing scheme will make us, will make me, forget that I am rooting for George Russell because he is a fucking Formula 1 driver capable of winning the World Championship.
He is not some meek child sitting in a corner waiting for Toto Wolff to decide whether he is allowed to have a career. He is a 28 year old man, with a yacht and years of Formula 1 experience.
He has been at Mercedes for years. He knows that team, its politics, how the organisation works.
He knows how to play the game. He’s the PR doll for a reason, no? He knows how to be extremely polite while also making it very clear that he is not going to be walked over.
And this brings me to the Toto thing. The elephant in the room.
Yes, I understand why the optics are making everyone insane and I too have posted countless of anti mercedes, anti toto wolff takes.
Yes, it can absolutely look like Toto is more emotionally invested in Kimi. And I believe he is.
Yes, Mercedes' public narrative around Kimi has been extremely loud (and obnoxious) and it can definitely feel Kimi is being presented as the future while George is expected to quietly accept whatever is left over.
But Toto Wolff is not the entire Mercedes organisation. And thank fuck for that.
Mercedes is not one man standing in a garage with a clipboard deciding who gets to win the World Championship and George is being dragged into a room for electroshock. Mercedes is a massive organisation, we cannot overlook it. Again, for the people in the back: this teams do not exist in a vacuum
There are executives and a board and the shareholders and fact that there are people whose entire job is to care about the success of Mercedes-Benz and the Mercedes-AMG F1 Team.
And I am sorry, but Mercedes cannot afford to throw away a Drivers' Championship because one person has a favourite. With this much money involved, they cannot risk losing a Constructors' Championship because the team cannot manage two drivers. Or because Toto refuses to do so.
They cannot allow a championship fight to become a civil war and simply shrug because at some point, Mercedes has to get its shit together.
Because whatever the optics are, whatever Toto's personal preferences are, whatever the narrative machine is pushing, the team still has a championship to win.
And George Russell’s job is not to sit there and wait for Mercedes to decide to be fair to him.
His job is to make himself impossible to ignore. He needs the races wins, to score points, to put pressure on Kimi, to make the championship close, to force this hell he calls home to deal with the fact that they have two drivers capable of winning it.
George does not need to beg for the championship. He needs to take it.
And do we really think that after everything George has already dealt with at Mercedes, he is going to look at a 50-point deficit and go well. that's unfortunate. congratulations, Kimi. padel tomorrow?
Be serious. Genuinely. Gang they are brainwashing us into hopelessness. We cannot be booed into silence, we need to be loud and proud about who we support, about the unfairness of the conditions, we need to help the movement of george russell being impossible to ignore.
And yes, George is devastated today.
Of course he bloody is. He has every right to be. He lost a massive amount of ground in a race where his teammate won. Anyone pretending that does not hurt is lying. It does not make weak, does not turn him into a cry baby.
He is probably heartbroken rn and the world may have titled underneath him.
But George Russell being devastated after a race does not mean George Russell is defeated.
We have seen this man get knocked down and then show up the next weekend ready to fight again.
We know what he does. He gets angry. He processes it.
And he gets back in the car.
He pushes. He pushes because GEORGE RUSSELL HAS THE GUTS
And that is the thing about George that people keep forgetting when they reduce him to some sad little victim of Mercedes politics: he is not waiting to be saved. bro in real life isn’t little omega playing damsel in distress.
Because, unlike Kimi, apparently, George Russell is, in fact, a grown ass man.
He is not waiting for Toto to hand him a championship. He is not waiting for Kimi to make the fight easy. He is not waiting for us to feel sorry for him. He is a bloody racing driver, living his dream even if it looks like a fucking nightmare right now.
He knows exactly what the objective is.
And if the championship comes down to George Russell needing to take it from Mercedes, from Kimi, from the media narrative, from the points deficit and from every single person who has already decided that the fight is over?
Because George has 154 points. Kimi has 204. There are still 316 points available. Other teams can take points off Kimi. George can beat Kimi. Kimi can make mistakes under pressure. Mercedes can be forced to recognise the actual championship situation. George can go on a run.
The gap can close. The entire narrative can and will change.
And when it does, I do not want to hear oh, I always believed in George.
No, hands off Gabriella. Some of you are currently acting like his championship is over because he had one disastrous Sunday.
The season is not over. The points are not all awarded. The other teams are not going to politely stay out of the way. Kimi is not invincible and George is not helpless.
Mercedes is not a one-man dictatorship and George Russell is not going to roll over.
So no, we are not supporting George out of pity.
We are not saying poor George, maybe he can get lucky fingers crossed, manifesting, let’s ask Jesus and the crystals.
for fuck’s sake, that is NOT what we’re doing.
Bitch take a look around because we are saying that George Russell is a World Championship-calibre Formula 1 driver. He is 50 points behind with 14 scoring opportunities remaining. He has the experience, the racecraft, the pressure management and the ability to fight back.
And I, for one, would rather be the person backing George Russell with a 50-point deficit in July than the person celebrating a championship victory in July and then discovering that Formula 1 has another four months of races left.
WE KNOW WHO WE ARE ROOTING FOR.
We are not here because George needs our pity. We are here because we know what he can do.
And George Russell still has twelve Grands Prix, two Sprints, a Mercedes, a very long memory, and absolutely no reason whatsoever to roll over.
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