Market Misbehavior

Should I Use Leveraged Nasdaq ETFs? Don't miss this leveraged Nasdaq ETF's video. When the market turns lower, I'm often asked about leveraged ETFs. So, how do Leveraged ETFs work? Here we'll break down the benefits of single, double, and triple long and short exposure to the Nasdaq 100 using leveraged ETFs. We'll also outline the risks embedded in these products, which were designed for short-term trading exposure.

Is the RSI Bullish or Bearish? What is Relative Strength Index? The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a technical indicator that measures price momentum.  Here we'll talk about the range of the RSI indicator, and how to identify when the RSI moves to a bullish or bearish range.  Examples will include the S&P 500 index (SPX) and Walt Disney (DIS).

Confirmation Bias in Behavioral Finance: Why Do I Need to Use Checklists? Confirmation bias can inspire investors to become obsessed with some companies or a few investment types. As a student pilot, I was struck by how many checklists you used to safely operate an airplane.  Literally everything had a checklist and as a result you would make decisions based on well-established processes instead of letting your emotions take over! Here I'll discuss one particular behavioral bias called "Confirmation Bias" and why checklists can help you minimize its negative impact on your portfolio returns.

Four Signs the Bull Market Is Over When will the bull market end and a bear market begin? The S&P 500 index has made new all-time highs every month in 2021.  So how do we know when the bull market phase is exhausted?  We'll list out four technical signals to watch for in the coming weeks which would suggest an end to the bull market phase and potential transition to a bear market phase for $SPX.

What's Next for TSLA? Is Tesla stock a buy? In this choose-your-own-adventure style video, we'll discuss the technical outlook for Tesla stock (TSLA) and present four potential future paths for the stock. Which do you think is most likely over the next 6-8 weeks, and why?  Tell us in in the comments below!

How to Pick Support and Resistance Levels How do you select the best support and resistance levels on a chart?  I recorded a recent video on the topic (link below!) and today it's a follow up video answering some of the great questions I've received.  We'll review how to identify the best price levels to use, and which levels are more important than others! Support and resistance levels are one of the key concepts when determining market supply and demand.

How Do I Use a Trailing Stop? How does a trailing stop work? I'm often asked about how to use trailing stops to manage risk. The trailing stop is used to limit losses in the event that the market is positioned against us. Here we'll discuss two simple ways to make sure small losses don't become large losses: support/resistance levels and moving averages.  The chart of DIS provides solid examples of both approaches!

What's Wrong With Robinhood? Does a good trading app become a good stock? We'll review the strengths and weaknesses of Robinhood the company, and identify key price levels that could prove significant for Robinhood the stock.

Four Stocks Testing Their 200-Day Moving Average The 200-day moving average is called the "long-term barometer" for stock prices as it tells you all about the long-term trend. Why do we use the 200-day moving average? Here we'll highlight four stocks testing their 200-day and discuss how we can roll this up into a breadth indicator illustrating rotation from bullish to bearish phase.

Why is Bitcoin 42,000 So Important? Today I'll share which of the scenarios I see as most probable, and why Bitcoin 42,000 is the ultimate line in the sand.

Choose Your Own Adventure: What's Next for Bitcoin? In this video, I will be talking about Bitcoin price prediction and analysis. After remaining rangebound in the 30K-42K range for three months, Bitcoin has now broken that range to the upside. So what's next? Here we'll review four potential scenarios, discuss the technical implications for each, and invite you to choose your own adventure for Bitcoin.

What is the Bullish Percent Index? The Bullish Percent Index is a market breadth indicator based on point & figure charts. Here we'll provide a quick primer on point & figure charts, and discuss what the weakening Bullish Percent Index suggests about deteriorating conditions for the S&P 500 index.

How to Apply Support and Resistance Levels What are the best tools and indicators for support and resistance trading? I always coach investors to start at the most recent price data, or the "Final Bar", then look to the left to see where the current price is relative to key support and resistance levels.  There are price levels where the market has turned previously, and can tell you where other investors may be placing their own bets.  Today we'll discuss the chart of PayPal (PYPL) using support and resistance levels!

Sector Rotation: What's Working, and What's Not? What is a sector rotation strategy? Today we'll use the Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) to visualize how the eleven S&P 500 sectors are rotating through periods of strength and weakness. We'll also discuss how to identify opportunities for outperformance and highlight three particular sectors: Technology, Industrials, and Real Estate. You should visualize sector rotation and identify where are the opportunities of emerging outperformance.

Choose Your Own Adventure: What's Next for the S&P 500? In this S&P 500 technical analysis, we'll discuss four potential paths for the S&P 500 in the next six weeks: the bullish scenario, the rangebound scenario, the minor correction scenario and the dreaded doomsday scenario. Which of these is most likely, and why? Choose your own adventure...

What Does a Market Correction Look Like for the S&P 500? As the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes have pounded away at new all-time highs basically every month in 2021, investors are left to wonder when a market correction may actually be coming. Here we'll discuss the three types of market corrections, and what a further pullback from current levels may look like!