Pessimists are often right. Optimists are often rich.
2025 on Tumblr: Trends That Defined the Year


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@gilrefs
Pessimists are often right. Optimists are often rich.

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https://lethain.com/good-eng-mgmt-is-a-fad/ Software Engineering Management principles.
How To Speak
"Sometimes you're an investment, sometimes you're insurance, and other times you're a luxury or even an impulse buy." - Apt HN comment about evaluating your reason to exist in an organization as an IC.
Podcast Episode Β· Lenny's Podcast: Product | Growth | Career Β· 04/06/2025 Β· 1h 34m

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Podcast Episode Β· The Peter Attia Drive Β· 03/24/2025 Β· 2h 5m
The sin of respectable people reveals itself in flight from responsibility. - Eberhard Bethge
Sin boldly but believe and rejoice in Christ more boldly still. - Martin Luther
The curse of a Godless man can sound more pleasant in God's ears than the Hallelujah of the pious. - Martin Luther
Your behaviors are usually a reflection of your identity. What you do is an indication of the type of person you think you areβeither consciously or nonconsciously. β James Clear

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The dashes: - (dash) β (en-dash) β (em-dash)
dash β for compound words, end-of-line divisions, or stuttering affect (m-m-good), en-dash β for replacing to and from (e.g. 6amβ6pm, BostonβNY) em-dash β function like commas, colons, or parenthesis to offset extra information Note: en-dash are the width of a capital N and em-dashed are the width of capital M β hence the name
SDR β Single Decisive Reason Donβt make decisions based on pros/cons lists. Blended reasoning leads to decisions that are neither compelling nor durable. Force yourself to identify one clear criterion and then take action on it.
To anyone currently working in the big labs it's strikingly obvious that all major progress in autonomous systems will be through redesigning the models in the first place.
https://ipinfo.io/ip
"To admit that an opponent might be both honest and intelligent is felt to be intolerable. It is more immediately satisfying to shout that he is a fool or a scoundrel, or both, than to find out what he is really like." - George Orwell

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The key is identifying what markets are and are not winner take all.
You can't just get the technology trend correct, you have to identify where the value will accrue.