2017 NBA Finals -- Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors
We're less than 24 hours away from the 2017 NBA Finals and I'm still holding off any predictions lmao I'm a big Lebron James fan and I've been picking his teams every year; this is actually the first time I'm having second thoughts on things.
Golden State is healthier this time and they upgraded Harrison Barnes for a Kevin Durant. Almost every article I've read and videos I've seen has the Warriors winning it all. Even Vegas odds have the Warriors -270 to win which makes them the biggest favored team in the modern era. I can't blame them! It just feels impossible to pick against a championship team adding another MVP to the mix.
I want to say the Cavaliers would go back to back but I'd be lying to myself. The warriors are just too good of an offensive team and they're just too strong and talented on both ends of the floor. However, the Lebron trash in me still thinks they could win and I feel it's wrong to dismiss whatever Cleveland has going right now. They're the defending champions for pete's sake! If you look at it closely, the real pressure is on Kevin Durant and the warriors. Imagine the backlash they would get if they lose the series.
Here are some key issues I think the series would revolve around:
Having the Christmas day game and recent match-ups as basis, the games could go either way. We might see blowouts but I doubt it would happen every game. As I see it, the Warriors should overwhelm and create separation ealry because when games are close and possessions slow down; it all goes down to the team who can generate more efficient shots. I personally think the Cavaliers work better on their freelance half court sets.
Lebron is a master of mismatches and he's like a shark pouncing on every mismatch he can find on the court. We will see a lot of handpicked pick & rolls involving Curry. They will attack him relentlessly and get physical on him. Golden State will have to find ways to hide him on defense. The same goes to the Cavaliers and Kevin Love; GSW will look for ways to get Love to defend KD and that would really work for them.
Everyone's talking about the Warriors having three of the best shooters in the league and having court vision with Draymond but Cleveland is a great offensive team in their own right and they have the best point forward in basketball history! The matchups are really identical~
Kevin Durant is GSW's designated scorer and he will surely score 35+ points this series. Cleveland doesn't have a stopper for him other than Lebron and it appears to me that they have no plans on doing so-- they'd just hope he misses shots. On the other hand, the cavaliers has Kyrie Irving and he will shoulder the scoring load for the team-- he will no doubt win that matchup against Curry.
Kevin and Kyrie will negate each other and it leaves us with Klay and Curry versus Cleveland's plethora of shooters: Korver, Frye, Williams, Smith, Love. I'm really looking forward to this shootout.
Tristan Thompson advantage
We live on an era where playing small is an advantage. There's a reason why both teams did not bother signing an adept post scorer and rim protector. Both teams rely on ball movement and finding the open shot. That said, CLE gets the advantage on rebounding with Tristan manning Pachulia and Love getting at least 10 boards a game. Winning few extra possesions will be a big thing.
The Warriors' Triple Switch
The warriors defensive scheme to counter the forced swithces up top which killed them last series. This is to compensate on Curry being killed on screens. Having Draymond gives them the luxury to switch heavily on court. Videos of this defensive genius can be found on Youtube-- go see it! some innovative shit right there.
However, I refuse to believe the Cavaliers are new to this concept and I'm sure they've seen this on tape. I look forward to seeing how Tyrone Lue will counter this defensive scheme by the warriors and that adjustment will be a key this series.
Stephen Curry as X-factor
This is Durant's basketball team now and Curry is taking a backseat. I've heard a lot of excuses on the past finals matchup and we're yet to see Curry play on big games. Some say he's not made for the spotlight and as a shooter, he has a knack of chucking contested, long threes. That game doesn't translate well on big games especially on close ones. If he can prove he can hit those big shots then good for him.
Another thing is that he's considered a liability on defense. Can he defend kyrie and score big at the same time? Cleveland will get physical and they will force him to fight off screens. His presence will be big for Golden State and he's gotta prove he's the MVP.
GSW looks deeper on paper with West, Barnes, Iggy, Livingston, McCaw, Clark and McGee but no one's talking about how stacked and seasoned the cavs bench is: Richard Jefferson, Channing Frye, Deron williams, Kyle Korver and Iman Shumpert. I'm not being delusional but I give the cavaliers the advantage.
Play sets gets old fast on a playoff series and it's the players' discipline and continuity that keeps the offense flowing. Steve Kerr is sidelined with back problems and Mike Brown has stepped up to lead the team.
I actually think the Warriors players would actually make more adjustments on the floor than I do Mike Brown. On the other hand, Tyrone Lue has proven he can make key matchup adjustments on the fly like what he did last finals with Curry. I don't know, I'm just giving the edge to Tyrone Lue over Mike Brown right now.
On this series, the obvious issue is the Cavaliersâ defense and It will take unreal performances from Kyrie and Lebron to win back to back. Itâs foolish to count them out easily but the Warriors are the favorite for a reason. Theyâve been a pretty good team and has lead 3-1 on a finals series at some point; now they just got better with Kevin Durant leading the team.
However, they are not unbeatable and they've showed signs of vulnerability on the San Antonio series. If Kawhi was able to assert his dominance over the Warriors defense, I believe Lebron can do so too. If there's a chance the Cleveland can win then I'm taking it!
The series can easily be over at five games with Durant bagging his first title. and they should! because if the series gets to six or seven games, the odds would change drastically and I'm clinging on to that tiny sliver of hope that the warriors would play poorly and choke another series.
The Cleveland Cavaliers in six!. #DefendTheLand