Those are not the first two possibilities to consider.
I had no idea what it meant. βAll right, what are the first two possibilities to consider?"
That it either happened, or it didnβt.
"If it's not true, it ought to be" - my mother's response when confronted with the fact that most of what Trump said was lies. She didn't care. She wanted it to be true, and that's what mattered to her.
Hitchen's Razor: "What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence." (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hitchens%27s_razor)
"A lie can travel halfway around the world before the truth can get its boots on" (not sure who said it first: https://quoteinvestigator.com/2014/07/13/truth/)
If someone keeps pushing a particularly outrageous, upsetting version of a reality you know to be different, you should consider that they wouldn't have to push it so hard if it were true.