#varys

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Hard to say. On the one hand, Varys sure did have a whole end-to-end escape route lined up on very short notice, from Tyrion's cell right to Illyrio's manse. It's the ship connection that's more interesting to me than the tunnels - it requires more logistical coordination, which takes more time in a society without even telegraph lines. It's not as though Varys can call a rideshare service or bundle Tyrion anonymously onto a train. Ships might be coming in and out of King's Landing regularly, the King's Landing-Pentos route might be one of the most common shipping lanes in the area full stop, but Varys still needs a reasonably trustworthy captain.

Of course, it's also part of Varys' job to be able to do this sort of thing. If anyone could get Tyrion out of the dungeons and headed to the Free Cities with only half a day to plan, it's Varys. That's exactly why Jaime outsourced that aspect of the plan to him. It doesn't necessarily speak to Varys having a route lined up for Tyrion specifically in advance. It's just consistent with the theory.

On the other hand, the fact that Tyrion's in that cell, awaiting execution for regicide, means freeing him is very high risk for Varys. I think faking Tyrion's death would be a very hard sell, while an obvious escape raises different red flags. As we see in AFFC, freeing Tyrion in such a way means that Varys is an immediate and very obvious co-conspirator. He has to leave his position, forfeiting his ability to feed curated information directly to Cersei (and other functionaries) and forgoing his invites to high-level political meetings just when the regime's going to be making some important decisions that will affect how they respond to Aegon.