#the argument

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She is dead. You all murdered her.

unapologetically horny gifs i made a while ago that immediately got hit with a mature content label before i could post them lmao

let's see how long it takes this time

Key Takeaways:

Trump’s net approval is -22 — a historical low even for him. Approaching Bush ‘43 levels. But Democrats lead the generic ballot by just 6 points.

Why?

Among voters who disapprove of Trump but still lean GOP, 47% think republicans are better on crime to just 1% who thinks democrats are better, implying crime is a key issue preventing democrats from picking up more voters

In general there is far more support for being harsh on crime than on being lenient

Apropos of a notorious NYT column recently, most voters support jail time for repeat shoplifters. Only 8% want a pure social services focus and only 21% want only fines as a punishment.

In fact, a “progressive” approach to crime reduction is broadly popular if it focuses on education and job training. But there are still large majorities in favor of harsher sentencing and increased police funding as well.

If I were to try to square that circle I’d say voters are open to socially based crime prevention but once someone commits a crime would prefer you throw the book at them

The saving grace for the democrats isn’t persuasion but rather turnout. With Trump-disapproving republicans simply more likely to stay home

This means in terms of who shows up Dems could win by 10 points

The key thing to understand here is that you can win a blow out victory in a midterm because the president is deeply unpopular, but if you want to win big in a presidential year when people are more likely to show up, you have got to actually meet the voters where they are.