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Qualifying Offer
Expect some big news either way tomorrow. Players will have to decide wether or not they want to stay on their current team for a single year at $15.3M. With 4 players (Cuddyer, Liriano, Santana, and Robertson) that have a legitimate shot at taking the offer, history will likely be made tomorrow. In the first two years of the qualifying offer, none of the 22 players accepted.
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Reactions/Analysis of Qualifying Offers
A dozen players received the $15.3M qualifying offer. Here are my thoughts on each player receiving the offer.
To avoid redundancy I’ll lump each stud poised for a boatload of cash into one list. These guys were given the offer just as a formality. Teams making offers to these players will completely disregard the draft pick compensation. The top tier:
Max Scherzer James Shields Nelson Cruz Victor Martinez Hanley Ramirez
Now for the men who will make around $15.3M annually or more (not supreme dough), but are intrigued by a multiyear deal. Expect them to reject their offer with little to no question.
Russell Martin Pablo Sandoval Melky Cabrera Francisco Liriano
We now turn to three very distinct and interesting cases.
David Robertson Robertson’s name has floated around for quite some time as to wether or not he would accept the qualifying offer. Robertson surely wouldn’t earn $15.3M on the open market, but does he want a multiyear contract? He seems content in the Big Apple, and has some thinking to do that will impact his career. I would take the offer after a down year for Robertson.
Ervin Santana Santana was a man who had to wait until late March to find a suitor willing to punt their first round draft pick. He has firsthand experience with the controversial turmoil the CBA created, and may want to stay out. After a 3.96 ERA, Ervin may have a tough time finding a team with compensation attached to him. If I were Ervin, I would take the qualifying offer.
Michael Cuddyer In the first two years of the qualifying offer, none of the 22 offers extended were accepted. Cuddyer is a classic example of the issue surrounding the CBA’s new method. He wants to leave Colorado. But with all odds no team willing to pay the draft pick going along with him, he would have to wait until after the MLB draft to sign with a team. He would virtually lose a year of his career but wouldn’t be eligible for a QO in the 2015 offseason. Cuddyer was trapped by Rockies GM Dan O’Dowd in a clever move. For the former batting champ, one question faces him. Is giving in to your age 36 season worth leaving Denver for a contender? I can only ask Cuddyer that question. He’ll probably agree to the qualifying offer.
I leave you on a small tidbit. Jon Lester did not receive a qualifying offer because he wasn’t eligible. Lester had 0% chance of taking the offer and it wouldn’t have affected his stock in GM’s eyes. The rules state that a player must have been on a team for a full season to be eligible for a qualifying offer.
