#oott

Major indices green with the Dow clearing 52k for the first time.

Semis revision breadth pressing historical ceilings; SOX maintains correlation with SIL’s lead. WTI breaks structural levels and screens oversold on RSI.

ht MarketWatch #materials #oott #energysecurity $sox #AI #investor #riskarb @ennovance

𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚 𝐣𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐚𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 𝐟𝐥𝐞𝐱: 𝟖.𝟐 𝐦𝐛/𝐝 𝐨𝐟 𝐫𝐞𝐟𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐝𝐮𝐜𝐭𝐬 𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐨𝐫, 𝐝𝐢𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐥 𝐚𝐭 𝐚 𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐫𝐝 𝟏.𝟗 𝐦𝐛/𝐝 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐣𝐞𝐭 𝐟𝐮𝐞𝐥 𝐛𝐫𝐮𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐥𝐥‑𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐡𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐬!

US shale isn’t “leaving money on the table” — it’s avoiding a 2021–22 replay. With rigs down 10–15%, key services running >90% utilization, and capex inflation ready to rip breakevens toward $90, chasing $100 spot makes no sense. Discipline > temptation when the marginal barrel just enriches the supply chain, not the operator.

#Energysecurity #oott #Opec @ennovance

https://x.com/mohossain/status/2052054818324185338?s=46

Middle East exports collapsing, US barrels rerouting to Asia, Gulf revenues bifurcating, and refined‑product prices ripping; the global oil system is out of slack, and price is now the only balancing mechanism; …. whipping around with the volatility of a Truth Social chart, which raises the question: how stable is the oil balance, really?

#Energysecurity #oott #Opec @ennovance

https://x.com/mohossain/status/2052058767383027811?s=46

America just set another export flex: 8.2 mb/d of refined products out the door, diesel at a record 1.9 mb/d and jet fuel brushing all‑time highs!

Tax refunds are still providing a meaningful boost, even with higher gas prices in the mix, consumers are holding up well. How long can households realistically sustain this balance?

#energysecurity #oott #consumer $

𝐈𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐇𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐮𝐳 𝐒𝐡𝐮𝐭𝐝𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐏𝐮𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐎𝐢𝐥 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐓𝐨𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝 𝐃𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐂𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐩𝐬𝐞?

https://x.com/mohossain/status/2043373941159293401?s=46

A billion barrels gone, Hormuz still shut, and the rich world is burning through buffers like nothing’s wrong. Demand destruction isn’t coming — it’s already creeping from petrochemicals to planes to pumps. Every extra week of closure pushes the global economy closer to the edge.

#energysecurity #opec #oott

𝐆𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐒𝐜𝐫𝐚𝐦𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐖𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐒𝐮𝐛𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐚𝐬 𝐅𝐮𝐞𝐥 𝐒𝐡𝐨𝐜𝐤 𝐒𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝟎.𝟒% 𝐎𝐟𝐟 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐰𝐭𝐡

As the fuel shock deepens, governments are deploying everything from subsidies to rationing — and with 2026 GDP growth now revised down by 0.4% globally (Euro area ‑0.6%, US ‑0.5%, Japan ‑0.3%, China ‑0.2%), the data shows emergency financial support remains the most common first line of defense.

@ennovance

🇮🇳 #Indian bhai* plays 4D chess while everyone else bargains.

Refiners just locked in 60mb of #Russian crude for April at a $5–15 premium to Brent, enough to displace ~70% of Gulf barrels.

And meanwhile?

Middle Eastern producers are scooping up cash like there’s no tomorrow, modern‑day rent‑seeking at its finest, as Dubai cash blows past swaps and Brent.

*bhai (in India) = quiet kingmaker who moves the board -:)

#Energysecurity #war #Riskarb #oott #opec #shaleoil #commodity #investor $

ht:gs #Ukraine #oil #wti #