#geo211

And so I did this piece, it was the front of the Week in Review section of the Times, called Yelling "Fire" on a Hot Planet, and it was the first time ... So, 1988 to 2006, that was the first time I interviewed a social scientist about climate change. First time. And Helen Ingram at UC Irvine, who was in that arena of social and political science, she said to me, and there's a quote in that story, you know, things that people vote on are things that are "soon, salient, and certain."

To check their math, the researchers ran historic climate data from 2004 to 2015 and compared it to their model predictions for 2010 to 2039. The five-year overlap period verified the model’s accuracy. It also showed that every western state where wildfire was expected to at least double by 2039 had already blown past that threshold, suggesting that even the most drastic forecasts for wildfire in the West have probably underestimated the destruction to come.