China moves and drafts the large-scale dilatation G network Three is carved to plot an arrow
China Mobile a huge sum of money dilatation G network plans to cause the strong response in the industry. " father of China TD " Li ShiHe calls upon recently, still costs several numerous more than one hundred billion yuan to extend 2G network instead of now, not so good as taking this sum of money to build 3G network. In fact, by May of this year, China Mobile's group and tries investing 14,200 million yuan together commercially for TD technical test. Why China Mobile in so stingy at TD put into, spare no high price, break to already complete the intersection of 2G and network originally? Insider think the intersection of China Mobile and this measure may be said one arrow 3 carve.
Seize user resources
It has been already very complete that China's moving G network covered, according to convention, do not need such big own handwriting at all. China Mobile has over 300,000 base stations at present, cover 99% of the areas in China, the number of users has exceeded 400 million. The hegemony of China Mobile on 2G market is unshakable.
Even so, China Mobile has not relaxed 2G expanding paces at all, hope to occupy more market share. According to schedule, China Mobile will invest 100 billion this year, will increase the carrier frequency of 2G one time of networks. Can clear away the urban blind angle to do it in this way on one hand, on the other hand can also open up the rural market. China Mobile will obtain users and increase the advantage brought.
Through carrying on dilatation to G network, China Mobile can further seize the rural market. The rural market has already become China Mobile's newly-increased customer's important source and important motive force that the income increases. In first quarter of this year, China's moving average has a net increase of users per month and is close to 7,500,000, more monthly than the whole year of last year to have a net increase of 5,680,000 to increase by 33.9%. China move powerful growth deeply cut rural market to be inseparable continuously.
The lasting expansion of the rural market, will make the multi-user centralized to China Mobile. The urban mobile subscriber's popularity is very high at present, the users of rural area will become the key field that the operator fights for. Lyons securities think China Mobile has obvious advantages on the rural market, its occupation rate reaches 80%. The trend that the cellular telephone of rural market substitutes the fixed net is obvious, it is very favorable to increase to China's moving profit.
There can not be in China Mobile, raise the new entrant and difficulty of managing mobile service of weak enterprise. Wang JianZhou, Chairman of China Mobile, once showed, among them when national champion machine users were up to 800 million, China Mobile's market will prone to the saturation. As the mobile subscriber increases and approaches the ceiling, the development space that the market leaves to the new entrant has not been already big.
Support TD to develop
Because of having China's most complete GSM networks, China Mobile is in very initiative position in 3G construction. Even if China Mobile only gets TD license plate, continue improving GSM network, can offer the good 2G network foundation for TD development. By the look of technology, the all right TD network to 3G of staging of GSM network.
China moving 2G expands to do the business to store for 3G, even if future is appointed to have TD rule, the cluster of its customer that accumulates at 2G age can be changed into TD network users at once too. China Mobile occupies the Chinese cellphone subscriber 70%, has exceeded 40% to advanced user's recoverable amount. The bulky user's foundation offers the guarantee for development of user of TD.
Meanwhile, the profit from GSM business can offer essential financial support for TD networking. The yearbook reveals, the net profit of those years of China Mobile is up to 87,100 million yuan in 2007. In first quarter of this year, China Mobile's net profit is up to 24,102 million yuan. Strong profit ability and plentiful fund can support TD network construction.
Certainly, to China Mobile, it is the act forced to undertake the construction of TD network. TD development is regarded as " The national strategy " ,Have very strong national wills, China's moving behavior can be influenced by national mandatory guide. China Mobile proceeds from one's own interests, carry on games between G network and TD network at present.
According to news, China Mobile has already submitted TD two plans of networking to industry and informationization department, the second stage of plan TD is covered while networking with all provincial capitals and cities under direct planning by the state of drib in China, but does not exceed 30 cities. 8 large city cost, estimate the second stage of expense that network under 40 billion by 21 billion more than according to network while being the first stage of, it is far unable to compare with the scale of the dilatation G network.
In order to choose WCDMA to do spade work
China Mobile originally has no interest to TD, but under the pressure of " parents " The requirement, have to do. 100 billion dilatation G network of China Mobile, whether show its confidence or deficiency to TD. A good all the time one of China Mobile is WCDMA, and GSM network staging is the current 3G scheme in the world to WCDMA.
Report that three electricity consult think China Mobile above-mentioned act increase oneself deal in threshold of TD undoubtedly. User quantity continues heightening, China Mobile can rely on one's own fund and user's scale, and then force the king to abdicate in the government through users, give up TD a few years later, get on horse overnight WCDMA technology of one's own heart appearance is not late too.
Analyze that is thought before this, the gradual progress tactics that China Mobile may adopt are: GSM GPRS EDGE WCDMA. And China Mobile has already reached the present network staging EDGE network relative to GPRS3-4 one time of speeds in a lot of areas. In 2007, China Mobile carried on the investment of 35 billion yuan from EDGE in the staging.
TD becomes a trump which strives for the support policy in the hand of China Mobile. The analyst think, if unable turned down TD this " burden " ,China Mobile hopes WCDMA mix the network connection with TD. It adopt TD TDD technological for way,can network connections single,be be be be too can last network connection of mutual-complementary type as WCDMA.
The maximum changes of China Mobile 3G tactics will come from TD. As to the possible choice, China Mobile has obviously already made good preparations. China Mobile is still trying every means to fight for users, this and recombinate the spiritual contradiction, supervising should get involved in right time.













