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Failed Breakout at Resistance — Left Translated Cycle Formation in Play
Summary XLE broke above 46.50 on Friday but reversed into a bearish close. Monday delivered bearish follow-through, forming a swing high. Pattern favors a left-translated daily cycle, increasing downside risk. A close below the 10 day MA will confirm the daily cycle decline. A close below the lower daily cycle band would begin a daily downtrend. XLE had been contained by resistance at the…
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Stocks Close Below The 10 Day MA
After forming a swing high on Monday, stocks delivered bearish follow through on Tuesday. Stocks closed below the May 1st high of 4186.92 on Tuesday. This opens the door to the possibility of a failed breakout is unfolding. Stocks also closed below the 10 day MA on Tuesday, potentially setting up a left translated daily cycle formation. A break below the daily cycle trend line would signal the…
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Did You Notice ...
While stocks closed higher on the day … Stocks formed a daily swing high. This maybe nothing since stocks are in a daily uptrend that is printing higher highs. Stocks may simply be consolidating to allow the 10 day MA to catch up to price. But it is worth noting that a close below the May 1st high of 4186.92 would open the door to the possibility of a failed breakout is unfolding.
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