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Bill McKibben, "Global Warming's Terrifying New Math"

When we think about global warming at all, the arguments tend to be ideological, theological and economic. But to grasp the seriousness of our predicament, you just need to do a little math. This analysis upends most of the conventional political thinking about climate change. And it allows us to understand our precarious – our almost-but-not-quite-finally hopeless – position with three simple numbers.

The organization chose to analyze a four-degree increase because that's the worst-case scenario envisioned by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change—and it could be a reality as early as 2060.