Oct 23, 2013
The bodies of four soldiers were discovered earlier this month near the capital and several others, including a Colonel, remain unaccounted for. These apparent extrajudicial executions and disappearances raise fears that soldiers loyal to General Amadou Haya Sanogo, who staged a coup in March 2012, are purging their ranks to quell dissent.
My statistical forecasts suggest that the risk of new coup attempts will remain high in Mali for at least a few years, and this grim story hints at how and why that's true. I also wrote about this "coup trap" in a blog post inspired by Mali's December 2012 putsch.
