#ca47

Statewide, there's the odd phenomenon of Democrats' advantage among voters continuing to grow – and yet Democrats also have the districts that need to expand the most. Fortunately, I'm spared the algebra of figuring out if it's possible for Republicans to lose voter share and still gain districts. Spared, because there are going to be a lot more competitive seats. "It's likely many districts will swing from election to election, depending on which party is more popular at the time," said Douglas Johnson, a reapportionment expert at the Rose Institute. Whether that means Democrats could actually lose any of those three Orange County districts in upcoming election cycles remains to be seen. Sanchez was thought by some to be vulnerable in 2010, but ended up trouncing Republican Van Tran 53 percent to 39 percent. Democrats in Sanchez's district, the 47th, currently have a 47 percent to 31 percent advantage in voter registration over Republicans. That's a lot of ground for Republicans to make up.